Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 17
NAC Breda vs Den Bosch
Fri 27 Nov 2026 · 19:00 UTC · Rat Verlegh Stadion, Breda
NAC Breda host Den Bosch on Fri 27 Nov 2026 (Eerste Divisie); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: NAC Breda 49%, draw 27%, Den Bosch 24%.
- Average value of the expected XI: NAC Breda €650K, Den Bosch €348K.
- NAC Breda are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
- Den Bosch are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. NAC Breda goals first.
- 1–112%
- 2–19%
- 1–07%
- 2–07%
- 2–27%
- 1–26%
- Other scores52%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
voetbalpoules.nl2–1expected 3.8 pts
Team Elo: NAC Breda 1648 · Den Bosch 1544
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
NAC Breda · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1707
Den Bosch · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.9 (Elite) · Elo 1647
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
NAC Breda
4th in Eerste Divisie · 25 pts from 14
- 6 NovDDordrecht Netherlands Eerste Divisie1733
- 23 OctDHeracles Netherlands Eerste Divisie1714
- 16 OctWHelmond Sport Netherlands Eerste Divisie1709
- 9 OctWMVV Netherlands Eerste Divisie1670
- 3 OctDVitesse Netherlands Eerste Divisie1703
Den Bosch
9th in Eerste Divisie · 19 pts from 14
- 7 NovDJong Utrecht Netherlands Eerste Divisie1592
- 1 NovWEmmen Netherlands Eerste Divisie1544
- 27 OctWRijnsburgse Boys Netherlands KNVB Beker1479
- 23 OctDMVV Netherlands Eerste Divisie1536
- 16 OctWFC OSS Netherlands Eerste Divisie1514
Season outlook
From the Eerste Divisie simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NAC Breda | 25 /14 | 58.5 | 1% | 26% | <1% | 6th |
| Den Bosch | 19 /14 | 46.7 | 0% | 1% | 11% | 15th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
NAC Breda: balanced profile (how Rick Kruys plays) · Den Bosch: direct (how Bart Schreuder plays)