Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 13
MVV vs VVV Venlo
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 15:30 UTC · De Geusselt, Maastricht
MVV host VVV Venlo on Sat 31 Oct 2026 (Eerste Divisie); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: MVV 34%, draw 29%, VVV Venlo 37%.
- Average value of the expected XI: MVV €288K, VVV Venlo €283K.
- Only 2 of VVV Venlo's expected starters are past their position's peak age.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. MVV goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–09%
- 0–19%
- 1–08%
- 1–28%
- 2–18%
- Other scores44%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
voetbalpoules.nl1–1expected 3.3 pts
Team Elo: MVV 1528 · VVV Venlo 1614
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
MVV · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1611
VVV Venlo · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Good) · Elo 1601
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
MVV
9th in Eerste Divisie · 16 pts from 11
- 18 OctLHeracles Netherlands Eerste Divisie1585
- 9 OctLNAC Breda Netherlands Eerste Divisie1557
- 3 OctLFC OSS Netherlands Eerste Divisie1565
- 26 SepWHelmond Sport Netherlands Eerste Divisie1537
- 18 SepLWaalwijk Netherlands Eerste Divisie1570
VVV Venlo
3rd in Eerste Divisie · 22 pts from 11
- 16 OctDJong AZ Netherlands Eerste Divisie1565
- 9 OctWJong Ajax Netherlands Eerste Divisie1535
- 4 OctWRoda Netherlands Eerste Divisie1530
- 26 SepLFC Volendam Netherlands Eerste Divisie1575
- 18 SepWJong Utrecht Netherlands Eerste Divisie1529
Season outlook
From the Eerste Divisie simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MVV | 16 /11 | 47.3 | 0% | 1% | 16% | 14th |
| VVV Venlo | 22 /11 | 58.7 | 3% | 30% | <1% | 5th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
MVV: balanced profile (how Andries Jonker plays) · VVV Venlo: balanced profile (how Marinus Dijkhuizen plays)