Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 17
MVV vs Jong PSV U21
Fri 27 Nov 2026 · 19:00 UTC · De Geusselt, Maastricht
MVV host Jong PSV U21 on Fri 27 Nov 2026 (Eerste Divisie); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: MVV 34%, draw 29%, Jong PSV U21 37%.
- Average value of the expected XI: MVV €298K, Jong PSV U21 €636K.
- Eerste Divisie: N. Fernandez is the highest-rated midfielder (1853).
- Style contrast in dribbling (Eerste Divisie): MVV rank #18 of 20, Jong PSV U21 #3.
- Only 0 of Jong PSV U21's expected starters are past their position's peak age.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. MVV goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–28%
- 2–18%
- 2–28%
- 0–17%
- 1–06%
- Other scores50%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
voetbalpoules.nl1–1expected 3.3 pts
Team Elo: MVV 1520 · Jong PSV U21 1608
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
MVV · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Good) · Elo 1630
Jong PSV U21 · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.5 (Average) · Elo 1564
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
MVV
8th in Eerste Divisie · 20 pts from 14
- 8 NovWEmmen Netherlands Eerste Divisie1514
- 31 OctLVVV Venlo Netherlands Eerste Divisie1554
- 28 OctLExcelsior Netherlands KNVB Beker1542
- 23 OctDDen Bosch Netherlands Eerste Divisie1555
- 18 OctLHeracles Netherlands Eerste Divisie1582
Jong PSV U21
13th in Eerste Divisie · 17 pts from 14
- 6 NovDVVV Venlo Netherlands Eerste Divisie1571
- 23 OctWFC Eindhoven Netherlands Eerste Divisie1558
- 9 OctDRoda Netherlands Eerste Divisie1502
- 19 SepLVitesse Netherlands Eerste Divisie1541
- 14 SepDJong AZ Netherlands Eerste Divisie1638
Season outlook
From the Eerste Divisie simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MVV | 20 /14 | 47.0 | 0% | 1% | 12% | 14th |
| Jong PSV U21 | 17 /14 | 49.1 | 0% | 2% | 6% | 12th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: dribble-heavy
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
MVV: balanced profile (how Andries Jonker plays) · Jong PSV U21: possession-based · dribble-heavy (how Stijn Schaars plays)