Liga Pro · Relegation Group - 5
Mushuc Runa SC vs Manta FC
Sun 1 Nov 2026 · 21:00 UTC · Estadio Bellavista, Ambato
Mushuc Runa SC host Manta FC on Sun 1 Nov 2026 (Liga Pro); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Mushuc Runa SC 48%, draw 27%, Manta FC 24%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Mushuc Runa SC €276K, Manta FC €212K.
- Style contrast in attacking (Liga Pro): Mushuc Runa SC rank #3 of 16, Manta FC #16.
- All 11 of Manta FC's expected starters are past their position's peak age.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Mushuc Runa SC goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–19%
- 2–09%
- 0–08%
- 1–26%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Mushuc Runa SC 1518 · Manta FC 1432
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Mushuc Runa SC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Elite) · Elo 1556
Manta FC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1371
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Mushuc Runa SC
11th in Liga Pro · 38 pts from 30
- 9 OctLDelfin SC Ecuador Liga Pro1523
- 20 SepDDeportivo Cuenca Ecuador Liga Pro1520
- 12 SepLGuayaquil City FC Ecuador Liga Pro1533
- 8 SepDLeones del Norte Ecuador Liga Pro1551
- 28 AugWDelfin SC Ecuador Liga Pro1542
Manta FC
16th in Liga Pro · 21 pts from 30
- 18 OctLDelfin SC Ecuador Liga Pro1434
- 10 OctWTecnico Universitario Ecuador Liga Pro1429
- 21 SepWOrense SC Ecuador Liga Pro1409
- 12 SepDAucas Ecuador Liga Pro1414
- 8 SepLEmelec Ecuador Liga Pro1445
Season outlook
From the Liga Pro simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mushuc Runa SC | 39 /32 | 50.9 | 0% | <1% | 2% | 8th |
| Manta FC | 27 /33 | 35.3 | 0% | 0% | 99% | 16th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Mushuc Runa SC: direct (how Angeles Paúl Vélez Ordoñez plays) · Manta FC: balanced profile (how Eduardo Carvajal Burgos Javier plays)