Liga Pro · Relegation Group - 6
Mushuc Runa SC vs Delfin SC
Sun 8 Nov 2026 · 21:00 UTC · Estadio Bellavista, Ambato
Mushuc Runa SC host Delfin SC on Sun 8 Nov 2026 (Liga Pro); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Mushuc Runa SC 45%, draw 28%, Delfin SC 27%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Mushuc Runa SC €273K, Delfin SC €257K.
- Style contrast in dribbling (Liga Pro): Mushuc Runa SC rank #16 of 16, Delfin SC #1.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Mushuc Runa SC goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–19%
- 0–08%
- 2–08%
- 1–27%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Mushuc Runa SC 1508 · Delfin SC 1457
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Mushuc Runa SC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.9 (Good) · Elo 1221
Delfin SC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1388
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Mushuc Runa SC
11th in Liga Pro · 38 pts from 30
- 19 OctDOrense SC Ecuador Liga Pro1508
- 9 OctLDelfin SC Ecuador Liga Pro1523
- 20 SepDDeportivo Cuenca Ecuador Liga Pro1520
- 12 SepLGuayaquil City FC Ecuador Liga Pro1533
- 8 SepDLeones del Norte Ecuador Liga Pro1551
Delfin SC
15th in Liga Pro · 28 pts from 30
- 18 OctWManta FC Ecuador Liga Pro1422
- 9 OctWMushuc Runa SC Ecuador Liga Pro1380
- 20 SepDTecnico Universitario Ecuador Liga Pro1399
- 13 SepDBarcelona SC Ecuador Liga Pro1394
- 6 SepLUniversidad Catolica Ecuador Liga Pro1384
Season outlook
From the Liga Pro simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mushuc Runa SC | 40 /33 | 50.1 | 0% | <1% | 3% | 8th |
| Delfin SC | 35 /33 | 43.6 | 0% | 0% | 48% | 15th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Mushuc Runa SC: direct (how P. Vélez plays) · Delfin SC: direct (how J. León plays)