Indian Super League · Regular Season - 4
Mumbai City vs SC Delhi
Sun 1 Nov 2026 · 11:30 UTC · Mumbai Football Arena, Mumbai
Mumbai City host SC Delhi on Sun 1 Nov 2026 (Indian Super League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Mumbai City 54%, draw 25%, SC Delhi 20%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Mumbai City €173K, SC Delhi €112K.
- Largest team-Elo gap of Indian Super League matchday 4: 158 points.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Mumbai City goals first.
- 1–112%
- 2–110%
- 1–010%
- 2–010%
- 0–07%
- 3–16%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Mumbai City 1440 · SC Delhi 1282
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Mumbai City · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Elite) · Elo 1270
SC Delhi · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.0 (Average) · Elo 1311
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Mumbai City
12th in Indian Super League · 0 pts from 1
- 11 OctLChurchill Brothers India ISL1433
- 21 MayWMinerva Punjab India ISL1500
- 15 MayWMohammedan India ISL1489
- 5 MayLEast Bengal II India ISL1513
- 25 AprDBengaluru India ISL1513
SC Delhi
13th in Indian Super League · 0 pts from 2
- 10 OctLBengaluru India ISL1294
- 21 MayLATK Mohun Bagan India ISL1294
- 17 MayDInter Kashi India ISL1209
- 26 AprDMohammedan India ISL1399
- 17 AprLChennaiyin India ISL1402
Season outlook
From the Indian Super League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mumbai City | 0 /1 | 15.9 | 3% | 23% | 18% | 8th |
| SC Delhi | 0 /2 | 10.5 | 0% | 2% | 68% | 13th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 13th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.