1. Lig · Regular Season - 12
Muğlaspor vs İstanbulspor
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC · Mugla Ataturk Stadyumu
Muğlaspor host İstanbulspor on Sat 24 Oct 2026 (1. Lig); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Muğlaspor 45%, draw 28%, İstanbulspor 27%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Muğlaspor €309K, İstanbulspor €297K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Muğlaspor goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–19%
- 0–08%
- 2–08%
- 0–17%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Muğlaspor 1554 · İstanbulspor 1535
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Muğlaspor · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Good) · Elo 1530
İstanbulspor · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.3 (Average) · Elo 1648
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Muğlaspor
13th in 1. Lig · 12 pts from 10
- 15 OctLBursaspor Turkey 1 Lig1557
- 11 OctDFatih Karagümrük Turkey 1 Lig1579
- 18 SepDIğdır FK Turkey 1 Lig1589
- 13 SepDSivasspor Turkey 1 Lig1553
- 6 SepDVanspor FK Turkey 1 Lig1551
İstanbulspor
19th in 1. Lig · 5 pts from 11
- 18 OctLAntalyaspor Turkey 1 Lig1551
- 14 OctLBatman Petrolspor Turkey 1 Lig1554
- 10 OctLEsenler Erokspor Turkey 1 Lig1542
- 20 SepWManisa F.K. Turkey 1 Lig1547
- 14 SepLKayserispor Turkey 1 Lig1590
Season outlook
From the 1. Lig simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Muğlaspor | 12 /10 | 44.6 | 0% | 1% | 16% | 16th |
| İstanbulspor | 5 /11 | 36.9 | 0% | 0% | 59% | 19th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –