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1. Lig · Regular Season - 10

Muğlaspor 0–3 Bursaspor

Thu 15 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UTC · Mugla Ataturk Stadyumu, Mugla/Marmaris

Muğlaspor crestMuğlasporTeam 1539
0–3
Full time
HT 0–0
Bursaspor crestBursasporTeam 1720

Match story

Muğlaspor · draw · Bursaspor

Before kick-off: 30% · 28% · 42%

Live chances: Muğlaspor 0%, draw 0%, Bursaspor 100% at 90+4'1' · 0–0 · Muğlaspor 30%, draw 28%, Bursaspor 42%2' · 0–0 · Muğlaspor 30%, draw 28%, Bursaspor 42%3' · 0–0 · Muğlaspor 30%, draw 28%, Bursaspor 42%4' · 0–0 · Muğlaspor 30%, draw 28%, Bursaspor 42%5' · 0–0 · Muğlaspor 30%, draw 28%, Bursaspor 42%6' · 0–0 · Muğlaspor 30%, draw 29%, Bursaspor 42%7' · 0–0 · Muğlaspor 30%, draw 29%, Bursaspor 42%8' · 0–0 · Muğlaspor 30%, draw 29%, Bursaspor 42%9' · 0–0 · Muğlaspor 29%, draw 29%, Bursaspor 41%10' · 0–0 · Muğlaspor 29%, draw 29%, Bursaspor 41%11' · 0–0 · Muğlaspor 29%, draw 29%, Bursaspor 41%12' · 0–0 · Muğlaspor 29%, draw 30%, Bursaspor 41%13' · 0–0 · Muğlaspor 29%, draw 30%, Bursaspor 41%14' · 0–0 · Muğlaspor 29%, draw 30%, Bursaspor 41%15' · 0–0 · Muğlaspor 29%, draw 30%, Bursaspor 41%16' · 0–0 · Muğlaspor 29%, draw 30%, Bursaspor 41%17' · 0–0 · Muğlaspor 29%, draw 30%, Bursaspor 40%18' · 0–0 · Muğlaspor 29%, draw 31%, Bursaspor 40%19' · 0–0 · Muğlaspor 29%, draw 31%, Bursaspor 40%20' · 0–0 · Muğlaspor 29%, draw 31%, Bursaspor 40%21' · 0–0 · Muğlaspor 29%, draw 31%, Bursaspor 40%22' · 0–0 · Muğlaspor 29%, draw 31%, Bursaspor 40%23' · 0–0 · Muğlaspor 29%, draw 32%, Bursaspor 40%24' · 0–0 · Muğlaspor 29%, draw 32%, Bursaspor 39%25' · 0–0 · Muğlaspor 29%, draw 32%, Bursaspor 39%26' · 0–0 · Muğlaspor 29%, draw 32%, Bursaspor 39%27' · 0–0 · Muğlaspor 29%, draw 32%, Bursaspor 39%28' · 0–0 · Muğlaspor 29%, draw 33%, Bursaspor 39%29' · 0–0 · Muğlaspor 28%, draw 33%, Bursaspor 39%31' · 0–0 · Muğlaspor 28%, draw 33%, Bursaspor 38%32' · 0–0 · Muğlaspor 28%, draw 34%, Bursaspor 38%33' · 0–0 · Muğlaspor 28%, draw 34%, Bursaspor 38%34' · 0–0 · Muğlaspor 28%, draw 34%, Bursaspor 38%35' · 0–0 · Muğlaspor 28%, draw 34%, Bursaspor 38%36' · 0–0 · Muğlaspor 28%, draw 35%, Bursaspor 37%37' · 0–0 · Muğlaspor 28%, draw 35%, Bursaspor 37%39' · 0–0 · Muğlaspor 28%, draw 36%, Bursaspor 37%40' · 0–0 · Muğlaspor 28%, draw 36%, Bursaspor 36%41' · 0–0 · Muğlaspor 27%, draw 36%, Bursaspor 36%42' · 0–0 · Muğlaspor 27%, draw 37%, Bursaspor 36%43' · 0–0 · Muğlaspor 27%, draw 37%, Bursaspor 36%45' · 0–0 · Muğlaspor 27%, draw 38%, Bursaspor 35%45+1' · 0–0 · Muğlaspor 27%, draw 38%, Bursaspor 35%45+2' · 0–0 · Muğlaspor 27%, draw 38%, Bursaspor 35%HT · 0–0 · Muğlaspor 26%, draw 39%, Bursaspor 34%46' · 0–0 · Muğlaspor 26%, draw 39%, Bursaspor 34%47' · 0–0 · Muğlaspor 26%, draw 39%, Bursaspor 34%48' · 0–0 · Muğlaspor 26%, draw 40%, Bursaspor 34%49' · 0–1 · Muğlaspor 8%, draw 22%, Bursaspor 69%50' · 0–1 · Muğlaspor 8%, draw 22%, Bursaspor 70%51' · 0–0 · Muğlaspor 26%, draw 41%, Bursaspor 33%52' · 0–0 · Muğlaspor 25%, draw 42%, Bursaspor 33%53' · 0–0 · Muğlaspor 25%, draw 43%, Bursaspor 32%54' · 0–0 · Muğlaspor 25%, draw 43%, Bursaspor 32%55' · 0–0 · Muğlaspor 25%, draw 44%, Bursaspor 31%56' · 0–0 · Muğlaspor 24%, draw 45%, Bursaspor 31%57' · 0–0 · Muğlaspor 24%, draw 45%, Bursaspor 31%59' · 0–1 · Muğlaspor 6%, draw 21%, Bursaspor 72%60' · 0–1 · Muğlaspor 6%, draw 21%, Bursaspor 73%61' · 0–1 · Muğlaspor 6%, draw 21%, Bursaspor 73%62' · 0–1 · Muğlaspor 6%, draw 21%, Bursaspor 73%63' · 0–1 · Muğlaspor 5%, draw 21%, Bursaspor 74%65' · 0–1 · Muğlaspor 5%, draw 20%, Bursaspor 75%66' · 0–1 · Muğlaspor 5%, draw 20%, Bursaspor 75%67' · 0–1 · Muğlaspor 5%, draw 20%, Bursaspor 75%68' · 0–1 · Muğlaspor 4%, draw 20%, Bursaspor 76%69' · 0–1 · Muğlaspor 4%, draw 20%, Bursaspor 76%70' · 0–1 · Muğlaspor 4%, draw 19%, Bursaspor 77%71' · 0–1 · Muğlaspor 4%, draw 19%, Bursaspor 77%72' · 0–1 · Muğlaspor 4%, draw 19%, Bursaspor 78%73' · 0–1 · Muğlaspor 3%, draw 18%, Bursaspor 78%74' · 0–1 · Muğlaspor 3%, draw 18%, Bursaspor 79%75' · 0–1 · Muğlaspor 3%, draw 18%, Bursaspor 79%76' · 0–1 · Muğlaspor 3%, draw 17%, Bursaspor 80%77' · 0–1 · Muğlaspor 3%, draw 17%, Bursaspor 80%78' · 0–1 · Muğlaspor 2%, draw 17%, Bursaspor 81%79' · 0–1 · Muğlaspor 2%, draw 16%, Bursaspor 82%80' · 0–2 · Muğlaspor 0%, draw 1%, Bursaspor 98%81' · 0–2 · Muğlaspor 0%, draw 1%, Bursaspor 99%82' · 0–2 · Muğlaspor 0%, draw 1%, Bursaspor 99%83' · 0–3 · Muğlaspor 0%, draw 0%, Bursaspor 100%84' · 0–3 · Muğlaspor 0%, draw 0%, Bursaspor 100%85' · 0–3 · Muğlaspor 0%, draw 0%, Bursaspor 100%86' · 0–3 · Muğlaspor 0%, draw 0%, Bursaspor 100%87' · 0–3 · Muğlaspor 0%, draw 0%, Bursaspor 100%88' · 0–3 · Muğlaspor 0%, draw 0%, Bursaspor 100%89' · 0–3 · Muğlaspor 0%, draw 0%, Bursaspor 100%90' · 0–3 · Muğlaspor 0%, draw 0%, Bursaspor 100%90+1' · 0–3 · Muğlaspor 0%, draw 0%, Bursaspor 100%90+2' · 0–3 · Muğlaspor 0%, draw 0%, Bursaspor 100%90+3' · 0–3 · Muğlaspor 0%, draw 0%, Bursaspor 100%90+4' · 0–3 · Muğlaspor 0%, draw 0%, Bursaspor 100%

Last reading, 90+4': 0% · 0% · 100%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Bursaspor 42% to win: they did.

  1. 35'Muğlaspor:Yasin Uzunoglu 1441 0
  2. 35'Bursaspor:Ertuğrul Ersoy 1797 +24
  3. 45'Muğlaspor:Ibrahim Sissoko 1619 −5 for Yasin Uzunoglu 1441 0
  4. 52'Muğlaspor:Jurgen Çelhaka 1598 −2
  5. 58'Bursaspor:Kelechi Iheanacho 1983 +25 assist Halil Akbunar 1745 +38*
  6. 62'Muğlaspor:Poyraz Yildirim 1581 0 for Korede Osundina 1628 −4
  7. 64'Bursaspor:Hüseyin Maldar 1609 +27 for Halil Akbunar 1745 +38*
  8. 72'Muğlaspor:Bilal Ceylan 1590 −8* for A. Kazmaz 1386 −8*
  9. 72'Muğlaspor:Daniel Avramovski 1597 −4 for Jurgen Çelhaka 1598 −2
  10. 72'Muğlaspor:Driton Camaj 1685 −4 for Oguzhan Matur 1434 0
  11. 74'Bursaspor:Lewis Baker 1823 +6 for Eyüp Akcan 1642 +27
  12. 74'Bursaspor:Emir Kaan Gultekin 1696 +5 for Amine Boutrah 1677 +24
  13. 79'Bursaspor:Kelechi Iheanacho 1983 +25 assist Juergen Elitim 1974 +30
  14. 83'Bursaspor:Hüseyin Maldar 1609 +27 assist Kelechi Iheanacho 1983 +25
  15. 84'Bursaspor:Zeki Yavru 1901 −6 for Rahmetullah Berisbek 1806 +11*
  16. 84'Bursaspor:Baran Başyiğit 1104 +5 for Kelechi Iheanacho 1983 +25
  17. 90'Muğlaspor:Luis Mago 1530 −4

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

3-4-3Formations4-4-2
GE. Kılıçarslan1714−18
DO. Nahırcı1543−1
DAlihan Kazmaz1386−8*
DL. Del Pino1530−4
MA. Engin1621−8
MJ. Çelhaka1598−2
MA. Güneren1620−6
MO. Matur14340
FM. Diarra15300
FY. Uzunoglu14410
FK. Osundina1628−4
CY. Koşukavak1672−25
GK. Matisli1571+75
DR. Berişbek1806+11*
DE. Ersoy1797+24
DEmirhan Başyiğit1781+68
DB. Gök1688+80
MH. Akbunar1745+38*
ME. Akcan1642+27
MJ. Elitim1974+30
MA. Boutrah1677+24
FLincoln1967+2*
FK. Ịheanachọ1983+25
CM. Er1822+39
Before kick-off: 30% · 28% · 42%(Muğlaspor · draw · Bursaspor)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 0–3 had 4%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Muğlaspor €324K, Bursaspor €961K.
  • 1. Lig: K. Ịheanachọ was the highest-rated forward (1959).
  • Muğlaspor were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Muğlaspor

12th in 1. Lig · 12 pts from 9

  • 11 OctDFatih Karagümrük 1579
  • 18 SepDIğdır FK 1589
  • 13 SepDSivasspor 1553
  • 6 SepDVanspor FK 1551
  • 28 AugWBoluspor 1550

Bursaspor

3rd in 1. Lig · 19 pts from 9

  • 11 OctLMardin 1969 1770
  • 19 SepWBatman Petrolspor 1759
  • 13 SepDEsenler Erokspor 1767
  • 7 SepWManisa F.K. 1741
  • 3 SepWİstanbulspor 1734

Season outlook

From the 1. Lig simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Muğlaspor12 /946.30%1%12%16th
Bursaspor19 /968.817%86%0%2nd
Muğlaspor
Bursaspor

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: 1. Lig

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

L. Del Pino
L. Del Pino

Muğlaspor · +2.7 (Good) · Elo 1533

J. Elitim
J. Elitim

Bursaspor · +2.7 (Good) · Elo 1944

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Yalçın Koşukavak

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Mustafa Er

Coach DNA: –

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.