NB I · Regular Season - 10
MTK Budapest 1–0 Vasas
Fri 16 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UTC · Hidegkúti Nándor Stadion, Budapest
MTK BudapestTeam 1524VasasTeam 1444- Gyorgy Komaromi 26'
We gave MTK Budapest 45% to win: they did.
- Gyorgy Komaromi –26'MTK Budapest:Gyorgy Komaromi –
- 45'Márk Kovácsréti – for Rajmund horvath –Vasas:Márk Kovácsréti – for Rajmund horvath –
- 60'Botond Baráth –Vasas:Botond Baráth –
- 62'B. Rab –Vasas:B. Rab –
- Kristof Hinora – for Gabor Jurek –65'MTK Budapest:Kristof Hinora – for Gabor Jurek –
- 67'C. Molnár – for Milan Tóth –Vasas:C. Molnár – for Milan Tóth –
- 67'Bence Janos Petho – for Márk Koszta –Vasas:Bence Janos Petho – for Márk Koszta –
- 67'Szabolcs Mezei – for B. Rab –Vasas:Szabolcs Mezei – for B. Rab –
- Á Nyers – for Mark Kerezsi Zalan –76'MTK Budapest:Á Nyers – for Mark Kerezsi Zalan –
- Patrik kovacs –76'MTK Budapest:Patrik kovacs –
- 83'Gergo Janos Palinkas – for Sandor Hidi –Vasas:Gergo Janos Palinkas – for Sandor Hidi –
- Benedek Varju – for Á. Zubor –83'MTK Budapest:Benedek Varju – for Á. Zubor –
- 84'Dániel Csóka –Vasas:Dániel Csóka –
- 90+1'Bence Pávkovics –Vasas:Bence Pávkovics –
Before kick-off (provisional): 45% · 28% · 27%(MTK Budapest · draw · Vasas)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 1–0 had 10%.
- Average value of the expected XI: MTK Budapest €384K, Vasas €261K.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
MTK Budapest
9th in NB I · 9 pts from 9
- 10 OctLPaks NB I1544
- 20 SepLGyori ETO FC NB I1569
- 5 SepLKisvarda FC NB I1611
- 28 AugDDebreceni VSC NB I1559
- 7 AugLPuskas Academy NB I1572
Vasas
2nd in NB I · 15 pts from 9
- 10 OctDKisvarda FC NB I1468
- 19 SepWDebreceni VSC NB I1429
- 4 SepWNyiregyhaza NB I1341
- 29 AugLUjpest NB I1450
- 27 MayDFehérvár FC NB I1279
Season outlook
From the NB I simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTK Budapest | 9 /9 | 37.6 | 0% | 3% | 38% | 9th |
| Vasas | 15 /9 | 39.1 | 0% | 4% | 30% | 8th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
MTK Budapest · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.3 (Elite) · Elo 1610
Vasas · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.7 (Good) · Elo 1543
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –