3. Liga · Regular Season - 12
MSV Duisburg vs Stuttgart II
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC · Schauinsland-Reisen-Arena, Duisburg
MSV Duisburg host Stuttgart II on Sat 31 Oct 2026 (3. Liga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: MSV Duisburg 51%, draw 27%, Stuttgart II 23%.
- Average value of the expected XI: MSV Duisburg €477K, Stuttgart II €321K.
- MSV Duisburg are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. MSV Duisburg goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–110%
- 2–09%
- 0–08%
- 1–26%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: MSV Duisburg 1670 · Stuttgart II 1586
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
MSV Duisburg · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.5 (Good) · Elo 1667
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
MSV Duisburg
1st in 3. Liga · 25 pts from 10
- 18 OctDFC Viktoria Köln Germany 3 Liga1686
- 13 OctWFC Saarbrücken Germany 3 Liga1663
- 10 OctWHoffenheim II Germany 3 Liga1652
- 20 SepWSV Wehen Germany 3 Liga1626
- 15 SepWHavelse Germany 3 Liga1578
Stuttgart II
7th in 3. Liga · 14 pts from 10
- 16 OctWFortuna Köln Germany 3 Liga1556
- 13 OctWHoffenheim II Germany 3 Liga1556
- 10 OctDSV Meppen Germany 3 Liga1560
- 19 SepDSSV Jahn Regensburg Germany 3 Liga1546
- 16 SepLHansa Rostock Germany 3 Liga1543
Season outlook
From the 3. Liga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSV Duisburg | 25 /10 | 70.4 | 51% | 88% | 0% | 1st |
| Stuttgart II | 14 /10 | 53.4 | 1% | 9% | 1% | 11th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
MSV Duisburg: balanced profile (how Dietmar Hirsch plays) · Stuttgart II: dribble-heavy (how Nico Willig plays)