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3. Liga · Regular Season - 8

MSV Duisburg 3–2 Hoffenheim II

Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 14:30 UTC · MSV-Arena, Duisburg

MSV Duisburg crestMSV DuisburgTeam 1639
3–2
Full time
HT 0–2
Hoffenheim II crestHoffenheim IITeam 1464

Match story

MSV Duisburg · draw · Hoffenheim II

Before kick-off: 59% · 23% · 18%

Live chances: MSV Duisburg 99%, draw 1%, Hoffenheim II 0% at 90+6'1' · 0–0 · MSV Duisburg 59%, draw 23%, Hoffenheim II 18%2' · 0–0 · MSV Duisburg 59%, draw 23%, Hoffenheim II 18%3' · 0–0 · MSV Duisburg 58%, draw 23%, Hoffenheim II 18%5' · 0–0 · MSV Duisburg 58%, draw 24%, Hoffenheim II 18%6' · 0–0 · MSV Duisburg 58%, draw 24%, Hoffenheim II 18%7' · 0–0 · MSV Duisburg 58%, draw 24%, Hoffenheim II 18%8' · 0–0 · MSV Duisburg 58%, draw 24%, Hoffenheim II 18%9' · 0–0 · MSV Duisburg 57%, draw 24%, Hoffenheim II 18%10' · 0–0 · MSV Duisburg 57%, draw 24%, Hoffenheim II 18%11' · 0–0 · MSV Duisburg 57%, draw 25%, Hoffenheim II 19%12' · 0–0 · MSV Duisburg 57%, draw 25%, Hoffenheim II 19%13' · 0–0 · MSV Duisburg 56%, draw 25%, Hoffenheim II 19%14' · 0–0 · MSV Duisburg 56%, draw 25%, Hoffenheim II 19%15' · 0–0 · MSV Duisburg 56%, draw 25%, Hoffenheim II 19%16' · 0–0 · MSV Duisburg 56%, draw 26%, Hoffenheim II 19%17' · 0–0 · MSV Duisburg 55%, draw 26%, Hoffenheim II 19%19' · 0–0 · MSV Duisburg 55%, draw 26%, Hoffenheim II 19%20' · 0–0 · MSV Duisburg 55%, draw 26%, Hoffenheim II 19%21' · 0–0 · MSV Duisburg 54%, draw 27%, Hoffenheim II 19%22' · 0–0 · MSV Duisburg 54%, draw 27%, Hoffenheim II 19%23' · 0–1 · MSV Duisburg 34%, draw 27%, Hoffenheim II 40%24' · 0–1 · MSV Duisburg 33%, draw 27%, Hoffenheim II 40%25' · 0–1 · MSV Duisburg 33%, draw 27%, Hoffenheim II 40%26' · 0–1 · MSV Duisburg 32%, draw 27%, Hoffenheim II 41%27' · 0–1 · MSV Duisburg 32%, draw 27%, Hoffenheim II 41%28' · 0–1 · MSV Duisburg 32%, draw 27%, Hoffenheim II 41%29' · 0–1 · MSV Duisburg 31%, draw 27%, Hoffenheim II 41%30' · 0–1 · MSV Duisburg 31%, draw 27%, Hoffenheim II 42%31' · 0–1 · MSV Duisburg 30%, draw 28%, Hoffenheim II 42%33' · 0–1 · MSV Duisburg 29%, draw 28%, Hoffenheim II 43%34' · 0–1 · MSV Duisburg 29%, draw 28%, Hoffenheim II 43%35' · 0–1 · MSV Duisburg 29%, draw 28%, Hoffenheim II 43%36' · 0–1 · MSV Duisburg 28%, draw 28%, Hoffenheim II 44%37' · 0–1 · MSV Duisburg 28%, draw 28%, Hoffenheim II 44%38' · 0–1 · MSV Duisburg 27%, draw 28%, Hoffenheim II 44%40' · 0–2 · MSV Duisburg 7%, draw 14%, Hoffenheim II 79%41' · 0–2 · MSV Duisburg 7%, draw 14%, Hoffenheim II 79%42' · 0–2 · MSV Duisburg 6%, draw 14%, Hoffenheim II 80%43' · 0–2 · MSV Duisburg 6%, draw 14%, Hoffenheim II 80%44' · 0–2 · MSV Duisburg 6%, draw 13%, Hoffenheim II 81%45' · 0–2 · MSV Duisburg 6%, draw 13%, Hoffenheim II 81%45+1' · 0–2 · MSV Duisburg 6%, draw 13%, Hoffenheim II 81%45+2' · 0–2 · MSV Duisburg 5%, draw 13%, Hoffenheim II 82%45+3' · 0–2 · MSV Duisburg 5%, draw 13%, Hoffenheim II 82%45+4' · 0–2 · MSV Duisburg 5%, draw 13%, Hoffenheim II 82%45+5' · 0–2 · MSV Duisburg 5%, draw 13%, Hoffenheim II 82%HT · 0–2 · MSV Duisburg 5%, draw 13%, Hoffenheim II 82%46' · 0–2 · MSV Duisburg 5%, draw 12%, Hoffenheim II 83%47' · 0–2 · MSV Duisburg 5%, draw 12%, Hoffenheim II 83%49' · 0–2 · MSV Duisburg 4%, draw 12%, Hoffenheim II 84%50' · 0–2 · MSV Duisburg 4%, draw 12%, Hoffenheim II 84%51' · 0–2 · MSV Duisburg 4%, draw 11%, Hoffenheim II 85%52' · 0–2 · MSV Duisburg 4%, draw 11%, Hoffenheim II 85%53' · 0–2 · MSV Duisburg 4%, draw 11%, Hoffenheim II 86%54' · 0–2 · MSV Duisburg 3%, draw 11%, Hoffenheim II 86%55' · 0–2 · MSV Duisburg 3%, draw 10%, Hoffenheim II 87%56' · 0–2 · MSV Duisburg 3%, draw 10%, Hoffenheim II 87%57' · 0–2 · MSV Duisburg 3%, draw 10%, Hoffenheim II 88%58' · 0–2 · MSV Duisburg 3%, draw 9%, Hoffenheim II 88%59' · 0–2 · MSV Duisburg 3%, draw 9%, Hoffenheim II 88%60' · 0–2 · MSV Duisburg 2%, draw 9%, Hoffenheim II 89%61' · 0–2 · MSV Duisburg 2%, draw 8%, Hoffenheim II 89%62' · 0–2 · MSV Duisburg 2%, draw 8%, Hoffenheim II 90%63' · 0–2 · MSV Duisburg 2%, draw 8%, Hoffenheim II 90%64' · 0–2 · MSV Duisburg 2%, draw 8%, Hoffenheim II 91%65' · 0–2 · MSV Duisburg 2%, draw 7%, Hoffenheim II 91%66' · 0–2 · MSV Duisburg 2%, draw 7%, Hoffenheim II 91%67' · 0–2 · MSV Duisburg 1%, draw 7%, Hoffenheim II 92%68' · 0–2 · MSV Duisburg 1%, draw 6%, Hoffenheim II 92%69' · 0–2 · MSV Duisburg 1%, draw 6%, Hoffenheim II 93%71' · 0–2 · MSV Duisburg 1%, draw 6%, Hoffenheim II 93%72' · 1–2 · MSV Duisburg 8%, draw 26%, Hoffenheim II 66%73' · 2–2 · MSV Duisburg 30%, draw 55%, Hoffenheim II 15%74' · 2–2 · MSV Duisburg 29%, draw 56%, Hoffenheim II 15%75' · 2–2 · MSV Duisburg 28%, draw 57%, Hoffenheim II 15%76' · 2–2 · MSV Duisburg 27%, draw 59%, Hoffenheim II 14%77' · 2–2 · MSV Duisburg 26%, draw 60%, Hoffenheim II 14%78' · 3–2 · MSV Duisburg 86%, draw 12%, Hoffenheim II 1%79' · 3–2 · MSV Duisburg 87%, draw 12%, Hoffenheim II 1%80' · 3–2 · MSV Duisburg 87%, draw 12%, Hoffenheim II 1%81' · 3–2 · MSV Duisburg 88%, draw 11%, Hoffenheim II 1%82' · 3–2 · MSV Duisburg 88%, draw 11%, Hoffenheim II 1%83' · 3–2 · MSV Duisburg 89%, draw 11%, Hoffenheim II 1%84' · 3–2 · MSV Duisburg 89%, draw 10%, Hoffenheim II 1%85' · 3–2 · MSV Duisburg 90%, draw 10%, Hoffenheim II 1%86' · 3–2 · MSV Duisburg 90%, draw 9%, Hoffenheim II 1%87' · 3–2 · MSV Duisburg 91%, draw 9%, Hoffenheim II 1%88' · 3–2 · MSV Duisburg 92%, draw 8%, Hoffenheim II 0%89' · 3–2 · MSV Duisburg 92%, draw 7%, Hoffenheim II 0%90' · 3–2 · MSV Duisburg 93%, draw 7%, Hoffenheim II 0%90+1' · 3–2 · MSV Duisburg 94%, draw 6%, Hoffenheim II 0%90+2' · 3–2 · MSV Duisburg 95%, draw 5%, Hoffenheim II 0%90+3' · 3–2 · MSV Duisburg 96%, draw 4%, Hoffenheim II 0%90+4' · 3–2 · MSV Duisburg 97%, draw 3%, Hoffenheim II 0%90+5' · 3–2 · MSV Duisburg 98%, draw 2%, Hoffenheim II 0%90+6' · 3–2 · MSV Duisburg 99%, draw 1%, Hoffenheim II 0%

Last reading, 90+6': 99% · 1% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave MSV Duisburg 59% to win: they did.

  1. 22'Hoffenheim II:Tobias Fleckstein 1684 −1* (own goal)
  2. 24'Hoffenheim II:Diren Dağdeviren 1232 −8*
  3. 39'Hoffenheim II:Blessing Makanda Maleko 1431 −8* assist Tiago Poller 1538 −8*
  4. 40'Hoffenheim II:Matthew moore for Diren Dağdeviren 1232 −8*
  5. 43'MSV Duisburg:Joshua Bitter 1638 0*
  6. 44'Hoffenheim II:Sean Dulic 1681 −14*
  7. 45'MSV Duisburg:Ramien Safi 1606 for Conor Noss 1635 +1*
  8. 45'MSV Duisburg:Peter Remmert 1576 for Martin Ens 1653 +1*
  9. 45'MSV Duisburg:Frederik Christensen 1765 for Can Coskun 1618 +1*
  10. 60'Hoffenheim II:Tiago Poller 1538 −8*
  11. 63'MSV Duisburg:Aljaž Casar 1664 for Christian Viet 1647 0*
  12. 66'Hoffenheim II:Jykese Fields 1410 −8*
  13. 67'Hoffenheim II:jakov dedic 1474 for Jykese Fields 1410 −8*
  14. 67'Hoffenheim II:Lion Wagenbach 1297 for Yasin Zor 1430 −8*
  15. 69'Hoffenheim II:Lion Wagenbach 1297
  16. 71'MSV Duisburg:Peter Remmert 1576
  17. 71'MSV Duisburg:Lex-Tyger Lobinger 1641 +1*
  18. 72'MSV Duisburg:Peter Remmert 1576 assist Lex-Tyger Lobinger 1641 +1*
  19. 72'MSV Duisburg:Patrick Sussek 1558 for Dominik Kother 1687 −1*
  20. 75'MSV Duisburg:Ramien Safi 1606
  21. 77'MSV Duisburg:Peter Remmert 1576 assist Rasim Bulic 1692 −1*
  22. 78'MSV Duisburg:Peter Remmert 1576
  23. 82'Hoffenheim II:Alex honajzer 1283 for Tiago Poller 1538 −8*
  24. 82'Hoffenheim II:Maximilian Theuer 1297 for Tristan Spranger 1419 −8*

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-2-3-1Formations4-2-3-1
GM. Braune1687−1*
DJ. Bitter16380*
DB. Schlicke1586+4*
DT. Fleckstein1684−1*
DC. Coşkun1618+1*
MR. Bulić1692−1*
MMartin Ens1653+1*
MC. Noß1635+1*
MC. Viet16470*
MD. Kother1687−1*
FL. Lobinger1641+1*
CD. Hirsch16780*
GL. Petersson1588−10*
DNatnael Abraha1429−8*
DSean Dulic1681−14*
DV. Lässig1438−8*
DTristan Spranger1419−8*
ML. Engelns1652−13*
MDiren Dağdeviren1232−8*
MB. Makanda1431−8*
MJuan Tiago Esteban Poller1538−8*
MY. B. Zor Muhammed1430−8*
FJ. Fields1410−8*
CStefan Kleineheismann1649−13*
Before kick-off: 59% · 23% · 18%(MSV Duisburg · draw · Hoffenheim II)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (11%); the result 3–2 had 4%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: MSV Duisburg €415K, Hoffenheim II €297K.
  • Style contrast in attacking (3. Liga): MSV Duisburg ranked #17 of 20, Hoffenheim II #1.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

MSV Duisburg

1st in 3. Liga · 18 pts from 7

  • 20 SepWSV Wehen 1626
  • 15 SepWHavelse 1578
  • 12 SepLFortuna Düsseldorf 1616
  • 5 SepWSSV Jahn Regensburg 1633
  • 29 AugWWürzburger Kickers 1619

Hoffenheim II

5th in 3. Liga · 13 pts from 7

  • 19 SepWSV Meppen 1562
  • 16 SepWFC Ingolstadt 04 1449
  • 13 SepDFortuna Köln 1468
  • 6 SepLSG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 1557
  • 29 AugWSSV Jahn Regensburg 1441

Season outlook

From the 3. Liga simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
MSV Duisburg18 /767.232%73%0%1st
Hoffenheim II13 /753.81%11%1%11th
MSV Duisburg
Hoffenheim II

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: 3. Liga

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Dietmar Hirsch

Coach DNA: –

Stefan Kleineheismann

Coach DNA: –

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

MSV Duisburg: balanced profile (how Dietmar Hirsch plays) · Hoffenheim II: dribble-heavy · shot-heavy (how Stefan Kleineheismann plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.