3. Liga · Regular Season - 14
MSV Duisburg vs Hansa Rostock
Sun 22 Nov 2026 · 18:30 UTC · Schauinsland-Reisen-Arena, Duisburg
MSV Duisburg host Hansa Rostock on Sun 22 Nov 2026 (3. Liga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: MSV Duisburg 49%, draw 27%, Hansa Rostock 24%.
- Average value of the expected XI: MSV Duisburg €442K, Hansa Rostock €341K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. MSV Duisburg goals first.
- 1–112%
- 2–19%
- 2–27%
- 2–07%
- 1–07%
- 1–26%
- Other scores52%
Team Elo: MSV Duisburg 1669 · Hansa Rostock 1602
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
MSV Duisburg · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1682
Hansa Rostock · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.4 (Average) · Elo 1692
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
MSV Duisburg
2nd in 3. Liga · 29 pts from 13
- 7 NovWPreußen Münster Germany 3 Liga1661
- 31 OctDStuttgart II Germany 3 Liga1670
- 24 OctLFC Ingolstadt 04 Germany 3 Liga1694
- 18 OctDFC Viktoria Köln Germany 3 Liga1692
- 13 OctWFC Saarbrücken Germany 3 Liga1660
Hansa Rostock
10th in 3. Liga · 19 pts from 13
- 7 NovWSG Sonnenhof Grossaspach Germany 3 Liga1571
- 31 OctLSSV Jahn Regensburg Germany 3 Liga1536
- 24 OctDFortuna Düsseldorf Germany 3 Liga1547
- 17 OctLAlemannia Aachen Germany 3 Liga1616
- 13 OctLSV Meppen Germany 3 Liga1621
Season outlook
From the 3. Liga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSV Duisburg | 29 /13 | 69.8 | 38% | 84% | 0% | 1st |
| Hansa Rostock | 19 /13 | 55.8 | 1% | 11% | <1% | 9th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
MSV Duisburg: balanced profile (how Dietmar Hirsch plays) · Hansa Rostock: balanced profile (how André Breitenreiter plays)