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3. Liga · Regular Season - 10

MSV Duisburg 1–1 FC Viktoria Köln

Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 14:30 UTC · MSV-Arena, Duisburg

MSV Duisburg crestMSV DuisburgTeam 1649
1–1
Full time
HT 1–0
FC Viktoria Köln crestFC Viktoria KölnTeam 1627

Match story

MSV Duisburg · draw · FC Viktoria Köln

Before kick-off: 46% · 26% · 27%

Live chances: MSV Duisburg 3%, draw 95%, FC Viktoria Köln 2% at 90+5'2' · 0–0 · MSV Duisburg 46%, draw 27%, FC Viktoria Köln 27%3' · 0–0 · MSV Duisburg 46%, draw 27%, FC Viktoria Köln 27%4' · 0–0 · MSV Duisburg 46%, draw 27%, FC Viktoria Köln 27%5' · 0–0 · MSV Duisburg 46%, draw 27%, FC Viktoria Köln 27%6' · 0–0 · MSV Duisburg 46%, draw 27%, FC Viktoria Köln 27%7' · 0–0 · MSV Duisburg 46%, draw 27%, FC Viktoria Köln 27%8' · 0–0 · MSV Duisburg 46%, draw 27%, FC Viktoria Köln 27%9' · 0–0 · MSV Duisburg 45%, draw 27%, FC Viktoria Köln 27%10' · 0–0 · MSV Duisburg 45%, draw 27%, FC Viktoria Köln 27%11' · 0–0 · MSV Duisburg 45%, draw 28%, FC Viktoria Köln 27%12' · 0–0 · MSV Duisburg 45%, draw 28%, FC Viktoria Köln 27%13' · 0–0 · MSV Duisburg 45%, draw 28%, FC Viktoria Köln 27%14' · 0–0 · MSV Duisburg 45%, draw 28%, FC Viktoria Köln 27%15' · 0–0 · MSV Duisburg 45%, draw 28%, FC Viktoria Köln 27%16' · 0–0 · MSV Duisburg 44%, draw 28%, FC Viktoria Köln 27%17' · 0–0 · MSV Duisburg 44%, draw 28%, FC Viktoria Köln 27%18' · 0–0 · MSV Duisburg 44%, draw 29%, FC Viktoria Köln 27%20' · 0–0 · MSV Duisburg 44%, draw 29%, FC Viktoria Köln 27%21' · 0–0 · MSV Duisburg 44%, draw 29%, FC Viktoria Köln 27%22' · 0–0 · MSV Duisburg 44%, draw 29%, FC Viktoria Köln 27%23' · 0–0 · MSV Duisburg 43%, draw 29%, FC Viktoria Köln 27%24' · 0–0 · MSV Duisburg 43%, draw 30%, FC Viktoria Köln 27%25' · 0–0 · MSV Duisburg 43%, draw 30%, FC Viktoria Köln 27%26' · 0–0 · MSV Duisburg 43%, draw 30%, FC Viktoria Köln 27%27' · 0–0 · MSV Duisburg 43%, draw 30%, FC Viktoria Köln 27%28' · 0–0 · MSV Duisburg 43%, draw 30%, FC Viktoria Köln 27%29' · 1–0 · MSV Duisburg 71%, draw 19%, FC Viktoria Köln 10%30' · 1–0 · MSV Duisburg 71%, draw 19%, FC Viktoria Köln 10%31' · 1–0 · MSV Duisburg 71%, draw 19%, FC Viktoria Köln 10%32' · 1–0 · MSV Duisburg 71%, draw 20%, FC Viktoria Köln 9%33' · 1–0 · MSV Duisburg 71%, draw 20%, FC Viktoria Köln 9%34' · 1–0 · MSV Duisburg 71%, draw 20%, FC Viktoria Köln 9%35' · 1–0 · MSV Duisburg 71%, draw 20%, FC Viktoria Köln 9%36' · 1–0 · MSV Duisburg 71%, draw 20%, FC Viktoria Köln 9%37' · 1–0 · MSV Duisburg 71%, draw 20%, FC Viktoria Köln 9%38' · 1–0 · MSV Duisburg 71%, draw 20%, FC Viktoria Köln 9%39' · 1–0 · MSV Duisburg 71%, draw 20%, FC Viktoria Köln 9%40' · 1–0 · MSV Duisburg 72%, draw 20%, FC Viktoria Köln 9%41' · 1–0 · MSV Duisburg 72%, draw 20%, FC Viktoria Köln 9%42' · 1–0 · MSV Duisburg 72%, draw 20%, FC Viktoria Köln 8%43' · 1–0 · MSV Duisburg 72%, draw 20%, FC Viktoria Köln 8%44' · 1–0 · MSV Duisburg 72%, draw 20%, FC Viktoria Köln 8%45' · 1–0 · MSV Duisburg 72%, draw 20%, FC Viktoria Köln 8%45+1' · 1–0 · MSV Duisburg 72%, draw 20%, FC Viktoria Köln 8%45+2' · 1–0 · MSV Duisburg 72%, draw 20%, FC Viktoria Köln 8%HT · 1–0 · MSV Duisburg 72%, draw 20%, FC Viktoria Köln 8%46' · 1–0 · MSV Duisburg 72%, draw 20%, FC Viktoria Köln 8%47' · 1–0 · MSV Duisburg 72%, draw 20%, FC Viktoria Köln 8%48' · 1–0 · MSV Duisburg 73%, draw 20%, FC Viktoria Köln 7%49' · 1–0 · MSV Duisburg 73%, draw 20%, FC Viktoria Köln 7%50' · 1–0 · MSV Duisburg 73%, draw 20%, FC Viktoria Köln 7%51' · 1–0 · MSV Duisburg 73%, draw 20%, FC Viktoria Köln 7%52' · 1–0 · MSV Duisburg 73%, draw 20%, FC Viktoria Köln 7%53' · 1–0 · MSV Duisburg 73%, draw 20%, FC Viktoria Köln 7%54' · 1–0 · MSV Duisburg 74%, draw 20%, FC Viktoria Köln 7%55' · 1–0 · MSV Duisburg 74%, draw 20%, FC Viktoria Köln 6%56' · 1–0 · MSV Duisburg 74%, draw 20%, FC Viktoria Köln 6%57' · 1–0 · MSV Duisburg 74%, draw 20%, FC Viktoria Köln 6%58' · 1–0 · MSV Duisburg 75%, draw 20%, FC Viktoria Köln 6%59' · 1–0 · MSV Duisburg 75%, draw 20%, FC Viktoria Köln 6%60' · 1–0 · MSV Duisburg 75%, draw 20%, FC Viktoria Köln 5%61' · 1–0 · MSV Duisburg 75%, draw 19%, FC Viktoria Köln 5%62' · 1–0 · MSV Duisburg 76%, draw 19%, FC Viktoria Köln 5%63' · 1–0 · MSV Duisburg 76%, draw 19%, FC Viktoria Köln 5%64' · 1–0 · MSV Duisburg 76%, draw 19%, FC Viktoria Köln 5%65' · 1–0 · MSV Duisburg 76%, draw 19%, FC Viktoria Köln 5%66' · 1–0 · MSV Duisburg 77%, draw 19%, FC Viktoria Köln 4%67' · 1–0 · MSV Duisburg 77%, draw 19%, FC Viktoria Köln 4%68' · 1–0 · MSV Duisburg 77%, draw 19%, FC Viktoria Köln 4%69' · 1–0 · MSV Duisburg 78%, draw 18%, FC Viktoria Köln 4%70' · 1–0 · MSV Duisburg 78%, draw 18%, FC Viktoria Köln 4%71' · 1–0 · MSV Duisburg 78%, draw 18%, FC Viktoria Köln 4%72' · 1–0 · MSV Duisburg 79%, draw 18%, FC Viktoria Köln 3%73' · 1–0 · MSV Duisburg 79%, draw 17%, FC Viktoria Köln 3%74' · 1–1 · MSV Duisburg 26%, draw 55%, FC Viktoria Köln 19%75' · 1–1 · MSV Duisburg 25%, draw 56%, FC Viktoria Köln 19%76' · 1–1 · MSV Duisburg 25%, draw 57%, FC Viktoria Köln 18%77' · 1–1 · MSV Duisburg 24%, draw 58%, FC Viktoria Köln 18%78' · 1–1 · MSV Duisburg 23%, draw 59%, FC Viktoria Köln 17%79' · 1–1 · MSV Duisburg 22%, draw 61%, FC Viktoria Köln 17%80' · 1–1 · MSV Duisburg 22%, draw 62%, FC Viktoria Köln 16%81' · 1–1 · MSV Duisburg 21%, draw 63%, FC Viktoria Köln 16%82' · 1–1 · MSV Duisburg 20%, draw 65%, FC Viktoria Köln 15%83' · 1–1 · MSV Duisburg 19%, draw 67%, FC Viktoria Köln 15%84' · 1–1 · MSV Duisburg 18%, draw 68%, FC Viktoria Köln 14%85' · 1–1 · MSV Duisburg 17%, draw 70%, FC Viktoria Köln 13%86' · 1–1 · MSV Duisburg 16%, draw 72%, FC Viktoria Köln 12%87' · 1–1 · MSV Duisburg 15%, draw 73%, FC Viktoria Köln 12%88' · 1–1 · MSV Duisburg 14%, draw 76%, FC Viktoria Köln 11%89' · 1–1 · MSV Duisburg 12%, draw 78%, FC Viktoria Köln 10%90' · 1–1 · MSV Duisburg 11%, draw 80%, FC Viktoria Köln 9%90+1' · 1–1 · MSV Duisburg 10%, draw 83%, FC Viktoria Köln 8%90+2' · 1–1 · MSV Duisburg 8%, draw 86%, FC Viktoria Köln 6%90+3' · 1–1 · MSV Duisburg 6%, draw 88%, FC Viktoria Köln 5%90+4' · 1–1 · MSV Duisburg 5%, draw 91%, FC Viktoria Köln 4%90+5' · 1–1 · MSV Duisburg 3%, draw 95%, FC Viktoria Köln 2%

Last reading, 90+5': 3% · 95% · 2%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave MSV Duisburg 46% to win: it ended in a draw.

  1. 28'MSV Duisburg:Conor Noss 1661 −2
  2. 44'FC Viktoria Köln:Taylan Duman 1621 +11
  3. 52'MSV Duisburg:niklas jessen 1621 0
  4. 61'FC Viktoria Köln:Kilian Jakob 1488 −7* for Yannick Aime Tonye 1613 +3
  5. 63'MSV Duisburg:Peter Remmert 1568 −8* for niklas jessen 1621 0
  6. 63'MSV Duisburg:Ramien Safi 1597 −8* for Conor Noss 1661 −2
  7. 73'FC Viktoria Köln:Taylan Duman 1621 +11
  8. 74'MSV Duisburg:Can Coskun 1616 −1 for Frederik Christensen 1770 −3
  9. 74'MSV Duisburg:Florian Krüger 1626 −8* for Dominik Kother 1708 −2
  10. 81'FC Viktoria Köln:Noah Maboulou 1531 −7* for David Otto 1680 +3
  11. 81'FC Viktoria Köln:Jakob Sachse 1442 −7* for Niklas Horst Castelle 1702 +3
  12. 90'MSV Duisburg:Max Besuschkow 1617 −9* for Lex-Tyger Lobinger 1667 −2
  13. 90+2'FC Viktoria Köln:Niklas Swider 1716 +3
  14. 90+5'MSV Duisburg:Rasim Bulic 1712 −2

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

5-4-1Formations3-4-3
GM. Braune1708−2
DN. Jessen16210
DJ. Bitter1660−4
DT. Fleckstein1705−2
DB. Schlicke16190
DF. Christensen1770−3
MC. Noß1661−2
MA. Casar1680−2
MR. Bulić1712−2
MD. Kother1708−2
FL. Lobinger1667−2
CD. Hirsch1699−3
GA. Schulz1683+3
DM. Sponsel1712+3
DT. Eisenhuth1661+4
DTim Kloss1654+4
MP. Fallmann1611+5
MT. Duman1621+11
MNiklas Swider1716+3
MY. Tonye1613+3
FL. Wolf1675+4
FD. Otto1680+3
FN. Castelle1702+3
CM. Wilhelm1682+6
Before kick-off: 46% · 26% · 27%(MSV Duisburg · draw · FC Viktoria Köln)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (12%), and that was the result.

  • Average value of the starting XI: MSV Duisburg €483K, FC Viktoria Köln €396K.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

MSV Duisburg

1st in 3. Liga · 24 pts from 9

  • 13 OctWFC Saarbrücken 1663
  • 10 OctWHoffenheim II 1652
  • 20 SepWSV Wehen 1626
  • 15 SepWHavelse 1578
  • 12 SepLFortuna Düsseldorf 1616

FC Viktoria Köln

2nd in 3. Liga · 19 pts from 9

  • 11 OctWAlemannia Aachen 1644
  • 19 SepWFC Ingolstadt 04 1625
  • 15 SepWSV Meppen 1598
  • 11 SepWHansa Rostock 1589
  • 5 SepLRot-Weiß Essen 1599

Season outlook

From the 3. Liga simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
MSV Duisburg24 /970.652%88%0%1st
FC Viktoria Köln19 /960.05%36%<1%4th
MSV Duisburg
FC Viktoria Köln

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: 3. Liga

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

L. Lobinger
L. Lobinger

MSV Duisburg · +0.5 (Good) · Elo 1668

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Dietmar Hirsch

Coach DNA: –

Marian Wilhelm

Coach DNA: possession-based

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

MSV Duisburg: balanced profile (how Dietmar Hirsch plays) · FC Viktoria Köln: balanced profile (how Marian Wilhelm plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.