Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 14
Motor Lublin vs Wisla Plock
Sat 7 Nov 2026 · 17:00 UTC · Motor Lublin Arena, Lublin
Motor Lublin host Wisla Plock on Sat 7 Nov 2026 (Ekstraklasa); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Motor Lublin 44%, draw 28%, Wisla Plock 28%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Motor Lublin €543K, Wisla Plock €601K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Motor Lublin goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–19%
- 0–08%
- 2–08%
- 0–17%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Motor Lublin 1699 · Wisla Plock 1685
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Motor Lublin · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Elite) · Elo 1663
Wisla Plock · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1859
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Motor Lublin
12th in Ekstraklasa · 12 pts from 11
- 17 OctWSlask Wroclaw Ekstraklasa1677
- 12 OctWRadomiak Radom Ekstraklasa1646
- 19 SepDGornik Zabrze Ekstraklasa1630
- 11 SepLRaków Częstochowa Ekstraklasa1676
- 5 SepLLegia Warszawa Ekstraklasa1688
Wisla Plock
10th in Ekstraklasa · 14 pts from 10
- 19 OctWRadomiak Radom Ekstraklasa1690
- 9 OctLWieczysta Kraków Ekstraklasa1679
- 20 SepWZaglebie Lubin Ekstraklasa1665
- 13 SepWCracovia Krakow Ekstraklasa1630
- 7 SepDPogon Szczecin Ekstraklasa1642
Season outlook
From the Ekstraklasa simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Motor Lublin | 12 /11 | 41.2 | 0% | 1% | 16% | 14th |
| Wisla Plock | 14 /10 | 43.9 | 0% | 3% | 8% | 11th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Motor Lublin: balanced profile (how Mariusz Misiura plays) · Wisla Plock: balanced profile (how A. Majewski plays)