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Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 11

Motor Lublin 3–2 Slask Wroclaw

Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 12:45 UTC · Motor Lublin Arena, Lublin

Motor Lublin crestMotor LublinTeam 1641
3–2
Full time
HT 0–1
Slask Wroclaw crestSlask WroclawTeam 1554

Match story

Motor Lublin · draw · Slask Wroclaw

Before kick-off: 50% · 27% · 23%

Live chances: Motor Lublin 100%, draw 0%, Slask Wroclaw 0% at 90+12'2' · 0–0 · Motor Lublin 50%, draw 27%, Slask Wroclaw 23%3' · 0–0 · Motor Lublin 50%, draw 27%, Slask Wroclaw 23%4' · 0–0 · Motor Lublin 50%, draw 27%, Slask Wroclaw 23%5' · 0–0 · Motor Lublin 50%, draw 27%, Slask Wroclaw 23%6' · 0–0 · Motor Lublin 50%, draw 27%, Slask Wroclaw 23%7' · 0–0 · Motor Lublin 50%, draw 27%, Slask Wroclaw 23%8' · 0–0 · Motor Lublin 49%, draw 28%, Slask Wroclaw 23%9' · 0–0 · Motor Lublin 49%, draw 28%, Slask Wroclaw 23%10' · 0–0 · Motor Lublin 49%, draw 28%, Slask Wroclaw 23%11' · 0–0 · Motor Lublin 49%, draw 28%, Slask Wroclaw 23%12' · 0–1 · Motor Lublin 31%, draw 27%, Slask Wroclaw 41%13' · 0–1 · Motor Lublin 31%, draw 27%, Slask Wroclaw 42%14' · 0–1 · Motor Lublin 31%, draw 27%, Slask Wroclaw 42%15' · 0–1 · Motor Lublin 31%, draw 27%, Slask Wroclaw 42%16' · 0–1 · Motor Lublin 30%, draw 27%, Slask Wroclaw 42%17' · 0–1 · Motor Lublin 30%, draw 28%, Slask Wroclaw 42%18' · 0–1 · Motor Lublin 30%, draw 28%, Slask Wroclaw 43%19' · 0–1 · Motor Lublin 29%, draw 28%, Slask Wroclaw 43%20' · 0–1 · Motor Lublin 29%, draw 28%, Slask Wroclaw 43%21' · 0–1 · Motor Lublin 29%, draw 28%, Slask Wroclaw 43%22' · 0–1 · Motor Lublin 29%, draw 28%, Slask Wroclaw 44%23' · 0–1 · Motor Lublin 28%, draw 28%, Slask Wroclaw 44%24' · 0–1 · Motor Lublin 28%, draw 28%, Slask Wroclaw 44%25' · 0–1 · Motor Lublin 28%, draw 28%, Slask Wroclaw 44%26' · 0–1 · Motor Lublin 27%, draw 28%, Slask Wroclaw 45%27' · 0–1 · Motor Lublin 27%, draw 28%, Slask Wroclaw 45%28' · 0–1 · Motor Lublin 27%, draw 28%, Slask Wroclaw 45%29' · 0–1 · Motor Lublin 26%, draw 28%, Slask Wroclaw 45%30' · 0–1 · Motor Lublin 26%, draw 28%, Slask Wroclaw 46%31' · 0–1 · Motor Lublin 26%, draw 28%, Slask Wroclaw 46%32' · 0–1 · Motor Lublin 25%, draw 28%, Slask Wroclaw 46%33' · 0–1 · Motor Lublin 25%, draw 28%, Slask Wroclaw 46%34' · 0–1 · Motor Lublin 25%, draw 29%, Slask Wroclaw 47%35' · 0–1 · Motor Lublin 24%, draw 29%, Slask Wroclaw 47%36' · 0–1 · Motor Lublin 24%, draw 29%, Slask Wroclaw 47%38' · 0–1 · Motor Lublin 23%, draw 29%, Slask Wroclaw 48%39' · 0–1 · Motor Lublin 23%, draw 29%, Slask Wroclaw 48%40' · 0–1 · Motor Lublin 23%, draw 29%, Slask Wroclaw 49%41' · 0–1 · Motor Lublin 22%, draw 29%, Slask Wroclaw 49%42' · 0–1 · Motor Lublin 22%, draw 29%, Slask Wroclaw 49%43' · 0–1 · Motor Lublin 22%, draw 29%, Slask Wroclaw 49%44' · 0–1 · Motor Lublin 21%, draw 29%, Slask Wroclaw 50%45' · 0–1 · Motor Lublin 21%, draw 29%, Slask Wroclaw 50%45+1' · 0–1 · Motor Lublin 20%, draw 29%, Slask Wroclaw 51%45+2' · 0–1 · Motor Lublin 20%, draw 29%, Slask Wroclaw 51%45+3' · 0–1 · Motor Lublin 20%, draw 29%, Slask Wroclaw 51%45+4' · 0–1 · Motor Lublin 19%, draw 29%, Slask Wroclaw 51%HT · 0–1 · Motor Lublin 19%, draw 29%, Slask Wroclaw 51%46' · 0–1 · Motor Lublin 19%, draw 29%, Slask Wroclaw 52%47' · 0–1 · Motor Lublin 19%, draw 29%, Slask Wroclaw 52%48' · 0–1 · Motor Lublin 19%, draw 29%, Slask Wroclaw 52%49' · 0–1 · Motor Lublin 18%, draw 29%, Slask Wroclaw 53%50' · 0–1 · Motor Lublin 18%, draw 29%, Slask Wroclaw 53%51' · 0–1 · Motor Lublin 17%, draw 29%, Slask Wroclaw 54%52' · 0–1 · Motor Lublin 17%, draw 29%, Slask Wroclaw 54%53' · 0–1 · Motor Lublin 16%, draw 29%, Slask Wroclaw 55%54' · 0–1 · Motor Lublin 16%, draw 29%, Slask Wroclaw 55%55' · 0–1 · Motor Lublin 15%, draw 29%, Slask Wroclaw 56%56' · 0–1 · Motor Lublin 15%, draw 29%, Slask Wroclaw 56%57' · 0–1 · Motor Lublin 14%, draw 29%, Slask Wroclaw 57%58' · 0–1 · Motor Lublin 14%, draw 29%, Slask Wroclaw 57%59' · 0–1 · Motor Lublin 13%, draw 29%, Slask Wroclaw 58%60' · 0–1 · Motor Lublin 13%, draw 28%, Slask Wroclaw 59%61' · 0–1 · Motor Lublin 12%, draw 28%, Slask Wroclaw 59%62' · 0–1 · Motor Lublin 12%, draw 28%, Slask Wroclaw 60%63' · 1–1 · Motor Lublin 33%, draw 46%, Slask Wroclaw 20%64' · 1–1 · Motor Lublin 33%, draw 47%, Slask Wroclaw 20%65' · 1–1 · Motor Lublin 32%, draw 48%, Slask Wroclaw 20%66' · 1–1 · Motor Lublin 32%, draw 49%, Slask Wroclaw 20%67' · 1–2 · Motor Lublin 10%, draw 27%, Slask Wroclaw 63%68' · 1–2 · Motor Lublin 9%, draw 27%, Slask Wroclaw 64%69' · 1–2 · Motor Lublin 9%, draw 27%, Slask Wroclaw 64%70' · 1–1 · Motor Lublin 30%, draw 52%, Slask Wroclaw 19%71' · 1–2 · Motor Lublin 8%, draw 26%, Slask Wroclaw 66%72' · 1–2 · Motor Lublin 8%, draw 26%, Slask Wroclaw 67%73' · 1–2 · Motor Lublin 7%, draw 25%, Slask Wroclaw 68%74' · 1–2 · Motor Lublin 7%, draw 25%, Slask Wroclaw 68%75' · 1–2 · Motor Lublin 6%, draw 25%, Slask Wroclaw 69%76' · 1–2 · Motor Lublin 6%, draw 24%, Slask Wroclaw 70%77' · 1–2 · Motor Lublin 5%, draw 24%, Slask Wroclaw 71%78' · 2–2 · Motor Lublin 24%, draw 61%, Slask Wroclaw 16%79' · 2–2 · Motor Lublin 23%, draw 62%, Slask Wroclaw 15%80' · 2–2 · Motor Lublin 22%, draw 63%, Slask Wroclaw 15%81' · 2–2 · Motor Lublin 21%, draw 65%, Slask Wroclaw 14%82' · 2–2 · Motor Lublin 20%, draw 66%, Slask Wroclaw 14%83' · 2–2 · Motor Lublin 19%, draw 68%, Slask Wroclaw 13%84' · 2–2 · Motor Lublin 18%, draw 69%, Slask Wroclaw 12%85' · 2–2 · Motor Lublin 17%, draw 71%, Slask Wroclaw 12%86' · 2–2 · Motor Lublin 16%, draw 73%, Slask Wroclaw 11%87' · 2–2 · Motor Lublin 15%, draw 74%, Slask Wroclaw 10%88' · 2–2 · Motor Lublin 14%, draw 77%, Slask Wroclaw 10%89' · 2–2 · Motor Lublin 13%, draw 79%, Slask Wroclaw 9%90' · 2–2 · Motor Lublin 11%, draw 81%, Slask Wroclaw 8%90+1' · 2–2 · Motor Lublin 10%, draw 83%, Slask Wroclaw 7%90+2' · 3–2 · Motor Lublin 94%, draw 6%, Slask Wroclaw 0%90+3' · 3–2 · Motor Lublin 95%, draw 5%, Slask Wroclaw 0%90+4' · 3–2 · Motor Lublin 97%, draw 3%, Slask Wroclaw 0%90+5' · 3–2 · Motor Lublin 98%, draw 2%, Slask Wroclaw 0%90+6' · 3–2 · Motor Lublin 99%, draw 1%, Slask Wroclaw 0%90+7' · 3–2 · Motor Lublin 100%, draw 0%, Slask Wroclaw 0%90+8' · 3–2 · Motor Lublin 100%, draw 0%, Slask Wroclaw 0%90+9' · 3–2 · Motor Lublin 100%, draw 0%, Slask Wroclaw 0%90+10' · 3–2 · Motor Lublin 100%, draw 0%, Slask Wroclaw 0%90+11' · 3–2 · Motor Lublin 100%, draw 0%, Slask Wroclaw 0%90+12' · 3–2 · Motor Lublin 100%, draw 0%, Slask Wroclaw 0%

Last reading, 90+12': 100% · 0% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Motor Lublin 50% to win: they did.

  1. 11'Slask Wroclaw:Przemyslaw Banaszak 1364 −2 assist Piotr Samiec-Talar 1650 0
  2. 45'Slask Wroclaw:Malaly Dembele 1621 −2 for luka marjanac 1367 0
  3. 50'Motor Lublin:Karol Czubak 1753 +9 (penalty missed)
  4. 61'Motor Lublin:Makan Aiko 1592 +44 assist Yacine Bourhane 1663 +38
  5. 64'Slask Wroclaw:Przemyslaw Banaszak 1364 −2
  6. 66'Slask Wroclaw:Malaly Dembele 1621 −2 assist Piotr Samiec-Talar 1650 0
  7. 71'Motor Lublin:Fabio Ronaldo Costa Conceicao 1701 +2 for Kamil Lukoszek 1671 +11
  8. 73'Motor Lublin:Mbaye Jacques Ndiaye 1753 +28
  9. 75'Slask Wroclaw:Leltsin Jeronimo Semedo Camoes 1655 −1 for Przemyslaw Banaszak 1364 −2
  10. 77'Motor Lublin:Christopher Simon 1670 +38
  11. 81'Slask Wroclaw:Jan Jurčec 1679 −8* for Alex Timossi Andersson 1575 0
  12. 82'Motor Lublin:Thomas Santos 1652 −7* for Makan Aiko 1592 +44
  13. 83'Motor Lublin:Alioune Oumar Tall 1240 −5* for Rony Lopes 1680 +31
  14. 85'Slask Wroclaw:Grzegorz Tomasiewicz 1687 −3 for Eniss Shabani 1574 0
  15. 85'Slask Wroclaw:Adam Ciućka 1361 0 for Piotr Samiec-Talar 1650 0
  16. 87'Slask Wroclaw:Marc Llinares 1585 0
  17. 90+2'Slask Wroclaw:Karol Niemczycki 1605 0
  18. 90+2'Motor Lublin:Yacine Bourhane 1663 +38 (pen.)
  19. 90+4'Motor Lublin:Paskal Konrad Meyer 1451 0 for Christopher Simon 1670 +38
  20. 90+10'Motor Lublin:Karol Czubak 1753 +9

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-1-4-1Formations5-3-2
GG. Tratnik1636+15
DK. Lukoszek1671+11
DM. Bartoš1673+11
DT. Plavotić1821+5
DF. Luberecki1729+11
MY. Bourhane1663+38
MM. Ndiaye1753+28
MRony Lopes1680+31
MC. Simon1670+38
MM. Aïko1592+44
FK. Czubak1753+9
CM. Misiura1781+16
GK. Niemczycki16050
DA. Timossi Andersson15750
DE. Matsenko1662−1
DL. Ba1647−1
DM. Malec1634−3
DMarc Llinares15850
MP. Samiec-Talar16500
MK. Linetty1802−12
ME. Shabani15740
FP. Banaszak1364−2
FL. Marjanac13670
CA. Šimundža1670−2
Before kick-off: 50% · 27% · 23%(Motor Lublin · draw · Slask Wroclaw)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 3–2 had 3%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Motor Lublin €581K, Slask Wroclaw €470K.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Motor Lublin

14th in Ekstraklasa · 9 pts from 10

  • 12 OctWRadomiak Radom 1646
  • 19 SepDGornik Zabrze 1630
  • 11 SepLRaków Częstochowa 1676
  • 5 SepLLegia Warszawa 1688
  • 29 AugLPiast Gliwice 1633

Slask Wroclaw

17th in Ekstraklasa · 6 pts from 10

  • 10 OctLLech Poznan 1611
  • 18 SepLWisla Krakow 1609
  • 12 SepLKorona Kielce 1633
  • 6 SepLJagiellonia 1622
  • 28 AugDLegia Warszawa 1593

Season outlook

From the Ekstraklasa simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Motor Lublin9 /1039.50%1%25%15th
Slask Wroclaw6 /1032.10%0%73%18th
Motor Lublin
Slask Wroclaw

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Ekstraklasa

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Y. Bourhane
Y. Bourhane

Motor Lublin · +2.7 (Elite) · Elo 1624

E. Shabani
E. Shabani

Slask Wroclaw · +1.3 (Average) · Elo 1574

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Mariusz Misiura

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Ante Šimundža

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Motor Lublin: balanced profile (how Mariusz Misiura plays) · Slask Wroclaw: dribble-heavy (how Ante Šimundža plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.