Premiership · Regular Season - 12
Motherwell vs ST Mirren
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC · Fir Park, Motherwell
Motherwell host ST Mirren on Sat 31 Oct 2026 (Premiership); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Motherwell 57%, draw 24%, ST Mirren 18%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Motherwell €681K, ST Mirren €304K.
- Style contrast in discipline (Premiership): Motherwell rank #3 of 12, ST Mirren #11.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Motherwell goals first.
- 1–112%
- 2–010%
- 2–110%
- 1–010%
- 0–07%
- 3–06%
- Other scores45%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com2–1expected 0.9 pts
Team Elo: Motherwell 1709 · ST Mirren 1538
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Motherwell · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Good) · Elo 1714
ST Mirren · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.9 (Good) · Elo 1674
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Motherwell
10th in Premiership · 8 pts from 9
- 17 OctLKilmarnock Scotland Premiership1706
- 11 OctLCeltic Scotland Premiership1698
- 19 SepLDundee Scotland Premiership1741
- 15 SepLAberdeen Scotland Premiership1741
- 5 SepLRangers Scotland Premiership1773
ST Mirren
8th in Premiership · 10 pts from 9
- 17 OctLAberdeen Scotland Premiership1564
- 10 OctLHeart Of Midlothian Scotland Premiership1530
- 19 SepLDundee Utd Scotland Premiership1535
- 9 SepLRangers Scotland Premiership1487
- 5 SepLCeltic Scotland Premiership1536
Season outlook
From the Premiership simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Motherwell | 8 /9 | 39.6 | 0% | 12% | 25% | 9th |
| ST Mirren | 10 /9 | 33.2 | 0% | 1% | 69% | 12th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Motherwell: balanced profile (how Alfred Johansson plays) · ST Mirren: direct (how Craig McLeish plays)