Premiership · Regular Season - 10
Motherwell vs Heart Of Midlothian
Sun 25 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC · Fir Park, Motherwell
Motherwell host Heart Of Midlothian on Sun 25 Oct 2026 (Premiership); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Motherwell 38%, draw 29%, Heart Of Midlothian 33%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Motherwell €681K, Heart Of Midlothian €925K.
- Home advantage makes Motherwell the favourite here: it adds 8 points to their win chance.
- Style contrast in pressing & duels (Premiership): Motherwell rank #9 of 12, Heart Of Midlothian #3.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Motherwell goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 0–09%
- 2–18%
- 0–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores44%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com2–1expected 0.7 pts
Team Elo: Motherwell 1709 · Heart Of Midlothian 1771
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Motherwell · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Good) · Elo 1714
Heart Of Midlothian · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.5 (Elite) · Elo 1873
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Motherwell
10th in Premiership · 8 pts from 9
- 17 OctLKilmarnock Scotland Premiership1706
- 11 OctLCeltic Scotland Premiership1698
- 19 SepLDundee Scotland Premiership1741
- 15 SepLAberdeen Scotland Premiership1741
- 5 SepLRangers Scotland Premiership1773
Heart Of Midlothian
3rd in Premiership · 16 pts from 9
- 18 OctLCeltic Scotland Premiership1798
- 15 OctDFC Nordsjaelland UEFA Conference League1771
- 10 OctWST Mirren Scotland Premiership1736
- 19 SepDKilmarnock Scotland Premiership1788
- 15 SepLFalkirk Scotland Premiership1819
Season outlook
From the Premiership simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Motherwell | 8 /9 | 39.6 | 0% | 12% | 25% | 9th |
| Heart Of Midlothian | 16 /9 | 50.4 | 0% | 72% | 1% | 3rd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Motherwell: balanced profile (how Alfred Johansson plays) · Heart Of Midlothian: balanced profile (how Wouter Vrancken plays)