Premiership · Regular Season - 8
Motherwell 0–2 Celtic
Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 11:00 UTC · Fir Park, Motherwell
MotherwellTeam 1669CelticTeam 2054- Camilo Duran 9'
- Benjamin Nygren 58'
We gave Celtic 59% to win: they did.
- 9'Camilo Duran 1954 +23*Celtic:Camilo Duran 1954 +23*
- Joe Hodge 1656 −9*41'Motherwell:Joe Hodge 1656 −9*
- 58'Benjamin Nygren 2304 +4* assist Kasper Hogh 2152 +19Celtic:Benjamin Nygren 2304 +4* assist Kasper Hogh 2152 +19
- Ibrahim Said 1767 −15* for Willy Gabriel Vogt 1525 −8*60'Motherwell:Ibrahim Said 1767 −15* for Willy Gabriel Vogt 1525 −8*
- Jardell Kanga 1538 −8* for Sebastian Palmer-Houlden 1576 −8*71'Motherwell:Jardell Kanga 1538 −8* for Sebastian Palmer-Houlden 1576 −8*
- Eythor Bjørgolfsson 1308 −8* for Dylan Levitt 1780 −15*71'Motherwell:Eythor Bjørgolfsson 1308 −8* for Dylan Levitt 1780 −15*
- 73'Haissem Hassan 1913 −5* for Camilo Duran 1954 +23*Celtic:Haissem Hassan 1913 −5* for Camilo Duran 1954 +23*
- 73'Shumaira Mheuka 1106 +1* for Kasper Hogh 2152 +19Celtic:Shumaira Mheuka 1106 +1* for Kasper Hogh 2152 +19
- 74'Jota 2003 −6* for Sebastian Tounekti 1995 +21*Celtic:Jota 2003 −6* for Sebastian Tounekti 1995 +21*
- 78'Oliver Sorensen 1975 −3* for Benjamin Nygren 2304 +4*Celtic:Oliver Sorensen 1975 −3* for Benjamin Nygren 2304 +4*
- 82'Kieran Tierney 2154 +12*Celtic:Kieran Tierney 2154 +12*
- 82'Jordan Lotomba 2039 −7* for Kieran Tierney 2154 +12*Celtic:Jordan Lotomba 2039 −7* for Kieran Tierney 2154 +12*
- Jake Max Girdwood-Reich 1778 −8* for Stephen O'Donnell 1647 −15*83'Motherwell:Jake Max Girdwood-Reich 1778 −8* for Stephen O'Donnell 1647 −15*
- Tawanda Maswanhise 1755 −8* for Alex·Lowry 1689 −11*83'Motherwell:Tawanda Maswanhise 1755 −8* for Alex·Lowry 1689 −11*
- 85'Jordan Lotomba 2039 −7*Celtic:Jordan Lotomba 2039 −7*
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 18% · 23% · 59%(Motherwell · draw · Celtic)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (11%); the result 0–2 had 10%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Motherwell €607K, Celtic €3.8M.
- Premiership: V. Sinisalo was the highest-rated goalkeeper (2104).
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Motherwell
9th in Premiership · 8 pts from 7
- 19 SepLDundee Scotland Premiership1741
- 15 SepLAberdeen Scotland Premiership1741
- 5 SepLRangers Scotland Premiership1773
- 2 SepWDundee Utd Scotland Premiership1706
- 30 AugDST Mirren Scotland Premiership1748
Celtic
2nd in Premiership · 18 pts from 7
- 20 SepLRangers Scotland Premiership2106
- 17 SepLFerencvarosi TC UEFA Europa League2024
- 9 SepWST Johnstone Scotland Premiership2027
- 5 SepWST Mirren Scotland Premiership2091
- 2 SepWAberdeen Scotland Premiership2073
Season outlook
From the Premiership simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Motherwell | 8 /7 | 43.8 | 0% | 24% | 9% | 6th |
| Celtic | 18 /7 | 74.7 | 80% | 100% | 0% | 1st |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Motherwell · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1749
Celtic · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.9 (Elite) · Elo 2059
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Motherwell: balanced profile (how Alfred Johansson plays) · Celtic: possession-based · creative (how Martin Hugh Michael O'Neill plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.