Championship · Regular Season - 12
Morton vs Ayr Utd
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC · Cappielow Park, Greenock
Morton host Ayr Utd on Sat 24 Oct 2026 (Championship); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Morton 37%, draw 29%, Ayr Utd 34%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Morton €118K, Ayr Utd €174K.
- Home advantage makes Morton the favourite here: it adds 8 points to their win chance.
- Max Thompson, M. McKenzie, B. Dempsey, S. Bannigan, L. King, L. Dick and A. Dowds (Ayr Utd) have not played for over 90 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Morton goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–09%
- 1–09%
- 0–18%
- 2–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Morton 1280 · Ayr Utd 1362
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches; Ayr Utd from last season's line-ups (latest 27 March 2026).
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Morton
9th in Championship · 7 pts from 11
- 29 AugDAyr Utd Scottish Championship1246
- 28 MarWArbroath Scottish Championship1254
- 13 MarLPartick Scottish Championship1288
- 7 MarLST Johnstone Scottish Championship1279
- 28 FebLAirdrie United Scottish Championship1270
Ayr Utd
7th in Championship · 12 pts from 11
- 29 AugDMorton Scottish Championship1344
- 27 MarLRaith Rovers Scottish Championship1349
- 14 MarDQueen's Park Scottish Championship1423
- 10 MarLQueen's Park Scottish Championship1407
- 3 MarDArbroath Scottish Championship1414
Season outlook
From the Championship simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morton | 7 /11 | 36.5 | 0% | 1% | 88% | 10th |
| Ayr Utd | 12 /11 | 47.0 | 1% | 22% | 28% | 6th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 10th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –