First League · Regular Season - 14
Mornar vs Petrovac
Sun 1 Nov 2026 · 14:00 UTC · Stadion Topolica, Bar
Mornar host Petrovac on Sun 1 Nov 2026 (First League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Mornar 36%, draw 29%, Petrovac 35%.
- Home advantage makes Mornar the favourite here: it adds 2 points to their win chance.
- Benjamin Krijestarac, A. Kaludjerovic, D. Škrijelj, S. Denković and D. Zorić (Mornar) have not played for over 90 days.
- D. Boljević and M. Roganović (Petrovac) have not played for over 90 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Mornar goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–09%
- 1–09%
- 0–18%
- 2–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Mornar 1329 · Petrovac 1340
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches; Mornar from last season's line-ups (latest 15 March 2026); Petrovac from last season's line-ups (latest 15 March 2026).
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Petrovac · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.5 (Average) · Elo 1425
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Mornar
3rd in First League · 17 pts from 11
- 29 AugDPetrovac Montenegro First League1322
- 16 JulLAtlètic Club d'Escaldes UEFA Conference League1330
- 9 JulLAtlètic Club d'Escaldes UEFA Conference League1359
- 15 MarWBuducnost Podgorica Montenegro First League1337
- 11 MarWBokelj Montenegro First League1328
Petrovac
9th in First League · 8 pts from 9
- 29 AugDMornar Montenegro First League1372
- 16 JulLFK Zalgiris Vilnius UEFA Conference League1370
- 9 JulLFK Zalgiris Vilnius UEFA Conference League1399
- 15 MarWJedinstvo Montenegro First League1343
- 11 MarWMladost DG Montenegro First League1313
Season outlook
From the First League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mornar | 17 /11 | 28.2 | 10% | 65% | 4% | 4th |
| Petrovac | 8 /9 | 21.2 | <1% | 9% | 50% | 9th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 10th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –