Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 10
Montpellier vs RED Star FC 93
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC · Stade de la Mosson, Montpellier
Montpellier host RED Star FC 93 on Sat 24 Oct 2026 (Ligue 2); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Montpellier 44%, draw 28%, RED Star FC 93 28%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Montpellier €951K, RED Star FC 93 €669K.
- Style contrast in discipline (Ligue 2): Montpellier rank #17 of 19, RED Star FC 93 #3.
- Montpellier's expected eleven is in form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.9 over 180 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Montpellier goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–19%
- 0–08%
- 2–08%
- 0–17%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Montpellier 1726 · RED Star FC 93 1689
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Montpellier · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Elite) · Elo 1811
RED Star FC 93 · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.6 (Good) · Elo 1764
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Montpellier
5th in Ligue 2 · 15 pts from 8
- 9 OctWGrenoble France Ligue 21724
- 18 SepDReims France Ligue 21753
- 11 SepWPAU France Ligue 21729
- 5 SepLSaint Etienne France Ligue 21736
- 28 AugDBoulogne France Ligue 21720
RED Star FC 93
3rd in Ligue 2 · 17 pts from 9
- 17 OctLSaint Etienne France Ligue 21677
- 10 OctWClermont Foot France Ligue 21671
- 19 SepWGuingamp France Ligue 21668
- 14 SepWMetz France Ligue 21664
- 4 SepWLaval France Ligue 21659
Season outlook
From the Ligue 2 simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montpellier | 15 /8 | 56.0 | 4% | 57% | 0% | 3rd |
| RED Star FC 93 | 17 /9 | 54.3 | 2% | 46% | <1% | 4th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Montpellier: balanced profile (how Zoumana Camara plays) · RED Star FC 93: balanced profile (how Damien Perrinelle plays)