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Liga MX · Apertura - 12

Monterrey 2–1 CF Pachuca

Mon 19 Oct 2026 · 01:00 UTC · Estadio BBVA, Monterrey

Monterrey crestMonterreyTeam 1949
2–1
Full time
HT 2–0
CF Pachuca crestCF PachucaTeam 1860

Match story

Monterrey · draw · CF Pachuca

Before kick-off: 53% · 26% · 22%

Live chances: Monterrey 97%, draw 3%, CF Pachuca 0% at 90+4'1' · 0–0 · Monterrey 53%, draw 26%, CF Pachuca 22%2' · 0–0 · Monterrey 53%, draw 26%, CF Pachuca 22%3' · 0–0 · Monterrey 53%, draw 26%, CF Pachuca 22%4' · 0–0 · Monterrey 52%, draw 26%, CF Pachuca 22%5' · 0–0 · Monterrey 52%, draw 26%, CF Pachuca 22%6' · 0–0 · Monterrey 52%, draw 26%, CF Pachuca 22%7' · 0–0 · Monterrey 52%, draw 26%, CF Pachuca 22%8' · 0–0 · Monterrey 52%, draw 26%, CF Pachuca 22%9' · 0–0 · Monterrey 52%, draw 26%, CF Pachuca 22%10' · 0–0 · Monterrey 52%, draw 27%, CF Pachuca 22%11' · 0–0 · Monterrey 51%, draw 27%, CF Pachuca 22%12' · 0–0 · Monterrey 51%, draw 27%, CF Pachuca 22%13' · 0–0 · Monterrey 51%, draw 27%, CF Pachuca 22%14' · 0–0 · Monterrey 51%, draw 27%, CF Pachuca 22%15' · 1–0 · Monterrey 76%, draw 17%, CF Pachuca 8%16' · 2–0 · Monterrey 93%, draw 6%, CF Pachuca 2%17' · 2–0 · Monterrey 93%, draw 6%, CF Pachuca 2%18' · 2–0 · Monterrey 93%, draw 6%, CF Pachuca 2%19' · 2–0 · Monterrey 93%, draw 6%, CF Pachuca 2%20' · 2–0 · Monterrey 93%, draw 6%, CF Pachuca 2%21' · 2–0 · Monterrey 93%, draw 6%, CF Pachuca 2%22' · 2–0 · Monterrey 93%, draw 5%, CF Pachuca 2%23' · 2–0 · Monterrey 93%, draw 5%, CF Pachuca 2%24' · 2–0 · Monterrey 93%, draw 5%, CF Pachuca 1%25' · 2–0 · Monterrey 93%, draw 5%, CF Pachuca 1%26' · 2–0 · Monterrey 93%, draw 5%, CF Pachuca 1%27' · 2–0 · Monterrey 93%, draw 5%, CF Pachuca 1%28' · 2–0 · Monterrey 93%, draw 5%, CF Pachuca 1%29' · 2–0 · Monterrey 93%, draw 5%, CF Pachuca 1%30' · 2–0 · Monterrey 93%, draw 5%, CF Pachuca 1%31' · 2–0 · Monterrey 93%, draw 5%, CF Pachuca 1%32' · 2–0 · Monterrey 93%, draw 5%, CF Pachuca 1%33' · 2–0 · Monterrey 94%, draw 5%, CF Pachuca 1%34' · 2–0 · Monterrey 94%, draw 5%, CF Pachuca 1%35' · 2–0 · Monterrey 94%, draw 5%, CF Pachuca 1%36' · 2–0 · Monterrey 94%, draw 5%, CF Pachuca 1%37' · 2–0 · Monterrey 94%, draw 5%, CF Pachuca 1%38' · 2–0 · Monterrey 94%, draw 5%, CF Pachuca 1%39' · 2–0 · Monterrey 94%, draw 5%, CF Pachuca 1%40' · 2–0 · Monterrey 94%, draw 5%, CF Pachuca 1%41' · 2–0 · Monterrey 94%, draw 5%, CF Pachuca 1%42' · 2–0 · Monterrey 94%, draw 5%, CF Pachuca 1%43' · 2–0 · Monterrey 94%, draw 5%, CF Pachuca 1%44' · 2–0 · Monterrey 94%, draw 5%, CF Pachuca 1%45' · 2–0 · Monterrey 94%, draw 5%, CF Pachuca 1%45+1' · 2–0 · Monterrey 94%, draw 5%, CF Pachuca 1%45+2' · 2–0 · Monterrey 94%, draw 5%, CF Pachuca 1%45+3' · 2–0 · Monterrey 95%, draw 5%, CF Pachuca 1%45+4' · 2–0 · Monterrey 95%, draw 5%, CF Pachuca 1%45+5' · 2–0 · Monterrey 95%, draw 5%, CF Pachuca 1%45+6' · 2–0 · Monterrey 95%, draw 5%, CF Pachuca 1%HT · 2–0 · Monterrey 95%, draw 5%, CF Pachuca 1%46' · 2–0 · Monterrey 95%, draw 4%, CF Pachuca 1%47' · 2–0 · Monterrey 95%, draw 4%, CF Pachuca 1%48' · 2–0 · Monterrey 95%, draw 4%, CF Pachuca 1%49' · 2–0 · Monterrey 95%, draw 4%, CF Pachuca 1%50' · 2–0 · Monterrey 95%, draw 4%, CF Pachuca 1%51' · 2–0 · Monterrey 95%, draw 4%, CF Pachuca 1%52' · 2–0 · Monterrey 95%, draw 4%, CF Pachuca 1%53' · 2–0 · Monterrey 95%, draw 4%, CF Pachuca 1%54' · 2–0 · Monterrey 95%, draw 4%, CF Pachuca 1%55' · 2–0 · Monterrey 96%, draw 4%, CF Pachuca 1%56' · 2–0 · Monterrey 96%, draw 4%, CF Pachuca 1%57' · 2–0 · Monterrey 96%, draw 4%, CF Pachuca 1%58' · 2–0 · Monterrey 96%, draw 4%, CF Pachuca 1%59' · 2–0 · Monterrey 96%, draw 3%, CF Pachuca 1%60' · 2–0 · Monterrey 96%, draw 3%, CF Pachuca 1%61' · 2–0 · Monterrey 96%, draw 3%, CF Pachuca 0%62' · 2–0 · Monterrey 96%, draw 3%, CF Pachuca 0%63' · 2–0 · Monterrey 96%, draw 3%, CF Pachuca 0%64' · 2–0 · Monterrey 97%, draw 3%, CF Pachuca 0%65' · 2–0 · Monterrey 97%, draw 3%, CF Pachuca 0%66' · 2–0 · Monterrey 97%, draw 3%, CF Pachuca 0%67' · 2–0 · Monterrey 97%, draw 3%, CF Pachuca 0%68' · 2–0 · Monterrey 97%, draw 3%, CF Pachuca 0%69' · 2–0 · Monterrey 97%, draw 3%, CF Pachuca 0%70' · 2–0 · Monterrey 97%, draw 2%, CF Pachuca 0%71' · 2–0 · Monterrey 97%, draw 2%, CF Pachuca 0%72' · 2–0 · Monterrey 98%, draw 2%, CF Pachuca 0%73' · 2–0 · Monterrey 98%, draw 2%, CF Pachuca 0%74' · 2–0 · Monterrey 98%, draw 2%, CF Pachuca 0%75' · 2–1 · Monterrey 82%, draw 15%, CF Pachuca 2%76' · 2–1 · Monterrey 83%, draw 15%, CF Pachuca 2%77' · 2–1 · Monterrey 83%, draw 15%, CF Pachuca 2%78' · 2–1 · Monterrey 84%, draw 14%, CF Pachuca 2%79' · 2–1 · Monterrey 84%, draw 14%, CF Pachuca 2%80' · 2–1 · Monterrey 85%, draw 14%, CF Pachuca 2%81' · 2–1 · Monterrey 85%, draw 13%, CF Pachuca 1%82' · 2–1 · Monterrey 86%, draw 13%, CF Pachuca 1%83' · 2–1 · Monterrey 87%, draw 12%, CF Pachuca 1%84' · 2–1 · Monterrey 87%, draw 12%, CF Pachuca 1%85' · 2–1 · Monterrey 88%, draw 11%, CF Pachuca 1%86' · 2–1 · Monterrey 89%, draw 11%, CF Pachuca 1%87' · 2–1 · Monterrey 89%, draw 10%, CF Pachuca 1%88' · 2–1 · Monterrey 90%, draw 9%, CF Pachuca 1%89' · 2–1 · Monterrey 91%, draw 8%, CF Pachuca 0%90' · 2–1 · Monterrey 92%, draw 8%, CF Pachuca 0%90+1' · 2–1 · Monterrey 93%, draw 7%, CF Pachuca 0%90+2' · 2–1 · Monterrey 94%, draw 6%, CF Pachuca 0%90+3' · 2–1 · Monterrey 95%, draw 5%, CF Pachuca 0%90+4' · 2–1 · Monterrey 97%, draw 3%, CF Pachuca 0%

Last reading, 90+4': 97% · 3% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Monterrey 53% to win: they did.

  1. 13'Monterrey:Lucas Ocampos 2014 +15 (penalty missed)
  2. 13'Monterrey:Diego Rossi 2073 +16
  3. 16'Monterrey:Jesús Corona 1964 +22 assist Lucas Ocampos 2014 +15
  4. 22'Monterrey:Lucas Ocampos 2014 +15
  5. 56'CF Pachuca:Rodolfo Pizarro 1736 −5
  6. 63'CF Pachuca:Cristóbal Hernández 1658 −8* for Mauricio Isais 1962 −4
  7. 71'Monterrey:Lucas Orellano 2003 −6* for Lucas Ocampos 2014 +15
  8. 72'Monterrey:Óliver Torres 1971 −2 for Diego Rossi 2073 +16
  9. 75'CF Pachuca:Salomón Rondón 1828 −10 assist Jorge Berlanga 1818 −8*
  10. 78'Monterrey:Stefan Medina 1806 −11* for Jesús Corona 1964 +22
  11. 78'Monterrey:Paxon Levi Ruffin Tamez for Ricardo Chávez 1963 +7
  12. 81'CF Pachuca:Gael Álvarez 1614 0 for Javier Vallejo 1697 0
  13. 84'CF Pachuca:Sergio Barreto 2015 −9
  14. 85'Monterrey:Gerardo Arteaga 1977 +10
  15. 85'CF Pachuca:Carlos Moreno 2002 −8
  16. 87'CF Pachuca:Sebastian Santos 1823 0 for Jorge Berlanga 1818 −8*
  17. 87'CF Pachuca:Illian Hernández 1638 −8* for Rodolfo Pizarro 1736 −5
  18. 88'Monterrey:Óliver Torres 1971 −2
  19. 90'Monterrey:Jorge Rodríguez 1941 −10* for César Garza 1842 +16

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-2-3-1Formations4-2-3-1
GE. Andrada1912+10
DR. Chávez1963+7
DV. Guzmán2106+19
DC. Salcedo1814+45
DG. Arteaga1977+10
MCesar Garza Cantu1842+16
MO. Pineda2111+4
MD. Rossi2073+16
MJ. Corona1964+22
ML. Ocampos2014+15
FH. Cuypers2011+8
CM. Almeyda2077+14
GC. Moreno2002−8
DJ. Berlanga1818−8*
DEduardo Bauermann1989−13
DS. Barreto2015−9
DM. Isaís1962−4
MAlán Ernesto Bautista Gutiérrez1967−6
MC. Rivera1951−8
MN. Vallejo16970
MR. Pizarro1736−5
MO. Idrissi1984−9
FS. Rondón1828−10
CB. Mora1874−3
Before kick-off: 53% · 26% · 22%(Monterrey · draw · CF Pachuca)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (12%); the result 2–1 had 10%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Monterrey €2.8M, CF Pachuca €2.5M.
  • Style contrast in discipline (Liga MX): Monterrey ranked #3 of 18, CF Pachuca #16.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Monterrey

12th in Liga MX · 14 pts from 10

  • 11 OctDClub America 1971
  • 26 SepLAtlante FC 1962
  • 20 SepWCruz Azul 1979
  • 13 SepDTigres UANL 1987
  • 7 SepLToluca 2002

CF Pachuca

14th in Liga MX · 13 pts from 11

  • 11 OctDNecaxa 1921
  • 27 SepLSantos Laguna 1928
  • 21 SepDClub Tijuana 1957
  • 12 SepWAtlante FC 1959
  • 5 SepWFC Juarez 1953

Season outlook

From the Liga MX simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Monterrey14 /1024.31%15%<1%7th
CF Pachuca13 /1119.60%1%3%13th
Monterrey
CF Pachuca

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Liga MX

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

L. Ocampos
L. Ocampos

Monterrey · +1.3 (Average) · Elo 1999

C. Rivera
C. Rivera

CF Pachuca · +2.6 (Good) · Elo 1959

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Matías Jesús Almeyda

Coach DNA: creative · shot-heavy

Benjamín Mora Mendívil

Coach DNA: direct

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Monterrey: possession-based (how Matías Jesús Almeyda plays) · CF Pachuca: dribble-heavy (how Benjamín Mora Mendívil plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.