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Primera División · Clausura - 12

Monagas SC 2–1 Estudiantes de Merida FC

Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 22:00 UTC

Monagas SC crestMonagas SCTeam 1346
2–1
Full time
HT 2–0
Estudiantes de Merida FC crestEstudiantes de Merida FCTeam 1306

We gave Monagas SC 45% to win: they did.

  1. 11'Monagas SC:F. Basante – assist H. Diaz –
  2. 24'Monagas SC:F. Basante – assist E. Carrion –
  3. 39'Estudiantes de Merida FC:J. Hernandez – for C. Magallan –
  4. 41'Monagas SC:F. Jaramillo –
  5. 45+2'Monagas SC:E. Carrion –
  6. 49'Monagas SC:K. De La Hoz –
  7. 57'Monagas SC:L. Rodriguez – for E. Carrion –
  8. 57'Monagas SC:S. Asibe – for A. Romero –
  9. 65'Estudiantes de Merida FC:J. Lobo – assist J. Hernandez –
  10. 69'Estudiantes de Merida FC:H. Acosta –
  11. 69'Monagas SC:F. Basante –
  12. 70'Monagas SC:S. Natera – for H. Diaz –
  13. 70'Monagas SC:A. Romero – for L. Gonzalez –
  14. 73'Estudiantes de Merida FC:C. Rodriguez –
  15. 76'Estudiantes de Merida FC:A. Montero – for J. Lobo –
  16. 76'Estudiantes de Merida FC:R. Chacon – for C. Rodriguez –
  17. 80'Monagas SC:A. Rodas – for F. Basante –
  18. 89'Estudiantes de Merida FC:Y. Lacruz – for D. Matheus –
  19. 89'Estudiantes de Merida FC:M. Maldonado – for J. A. Montilla Maldonado –
  20. 90+1'Estudiantes de Merida FC:L. Caicedo –
  21. 90+2'Monagas SC:A. Romero –
Before kick-off (provisional): 45% · 28% · 27%(Monagas SC · draw · Estudiantes de Merida FC)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 2–1 had 9%.

  • Average value of the expected XI: Monagas SC €244K, Estudiantes de Merida FC €210K.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Monagas SC

10th in Primera División · 25 pts from 24

  • 16 SepWZamora FC 1364
  • 13 SepWCaracas FC 1328
  • 6 SepLMetropolitanos FC 1328
  • 3 SepWAnzoátegui FC 1292
  • 25 AprDPuerto Cabello 1224

Estudiantes de Merida FC

8th in Primera División · 36 pts from 24

  • 16 SepLPortuguesa FC 1270
  • 12 SepWDeportivo Tachira FC 1267
  • 7 SepLCarabobo FC 1272
  • 3 SepDUCV 1293
  • 31 MayLDeportivo Tachira FC 1327

Season outlook

From the Primera División simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Monagas SC25 /2427.60%0%11%10th
Estudiantes de Merida FC36 /2438.40%5%0%8th
Monagas SC
Estudiantes de Merida FC

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 14th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Primera División

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

A. Rodas
A. Rodas

Monagas SC · -1.8 (Below) · Elo 1623

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Jesus Ortiz

Coach DNA: –

Jesus Gomez

Coach DNA: –