Eliteserien · Regular Season - 27
Molde vs Bodo/Glimt
Fri 20 Nov 2026 · 18:00 UTC · Aker Stadion, Molde
Molde host Bodo/Glimt on Fri 20 Nov 2026 (Eliteserien); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Molde 16%, draw 23%, Bodo/Glimt 61%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Molde €982K, Bodo/Glimt €5.3M.
- Eliteserien: N. Haikin is the highest-rated goalkeeper (2177).
- Bodo/Glimt's expected eleven is in form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.5 over 180 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Molde goals first.
- 1–111%
- 0–210%
- 1–210%
- 0–19%
- 0–37%
- 1–37%
- Other scores46%
Team Elo: Molde 1735 · Bodo/Glimt 2062
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Molde · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Good) · Elo 1774
Bodo/Glimt · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +7.2 (Good) · Elo 2196
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Molde
3rd in Eliteserien · 43 pts from 25
- 1 NovLBrann Eliteserien1734
- 25 OctWFredrikstad Eliteserien1710
- 18 OctWStart Eliteserien1681
- 11 OctDLillestrom Eliteserien1685
- 19 SepLAalesund Eliteserien1673
Bodo/Glimt
2nd in Eliteserien · 59 pts from 25
- 3 NovDLille UEFA Champions League2119
- 30 OctWViking Eliteserien2095
- 24 OctLValerenga Eliteserien2118
- 20 OctLNapoli UEFA Champions League2151
- 17 OctWHam-Kam Eliteserien2047
Season outlook
From the Eliteserien simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molde | 43 /25 | 49.2 | 0% | 53% | 0% | 4th |
| Bodo/Glimt | 59 /25 | 70.8 | 64% | 100% | 0% | 1st |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: possession-based · dribble-heavy
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Molde: possession-based (how Sindre Tjelmeland plays) · Bodo/Glimt: possession-based (how Kjetil Knutsen plays)