Serie B · Regular Season - 8
Modena vs Cesena
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC · Stadio Alberto Braglia, Modena
Modena host Cesena on Sat 24 Oct 2026 (Serie B); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Modena 53%, draw 26%, Cesena 21%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Modena €1.1M, Cesena €819K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Modena goals first.
- 1–112%
- 2–110%
- 1–010%
- 2–010%
- 0–07%
- 3–16%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Modena 1756 · Cesena 1629
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Modena · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1797
Cesena · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Good) · Elo 1636
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Modena
4th in Serie B · 13 pts from 7
- 17 OctLCarrarese Italy Serie B1826
- 11 OctWHellas Verona Italy Serie B1811
- 20 SepWEmpoli Italy Serie B1794
- 12 SepDSudtirol Italy Serie B1778
- 6 SepLAvellino Italy Serie B1789
Cesena
12th in Serie B · 8 pts from 7
- 18 OctDAvellino Italy Serie B1649
- 10 OctLBenevento Italy Serie B1662
- 18 SepDJuve Stabia Italy Serie B1662
- 12 SepDCremonese Italy Serie B1608
- 6 SepDMantova Italy Serie B1560
Season outlook
From the Serie B simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Modena | 13 /7 | 59.5 | 1% | 43% | <1% | 4th |
| Cesena | 8 /7 | 45.3 | 0% | 1% | 23% | 15th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Modena: balanced profile (how Daniele Galloppa plays) · Cesena: balanced profile (how Alessandro Diamanti plays)