Super Liga · Regular Season - 14
Mladost Lucani vs Radnik Surdulica
Sun 1 Nov 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Mladost Lucani host Radnik Surdulica on Sun 1 Nov 2026 (Super Liga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Mladost Lucani 38%, draw 29%, Radnik Surdulica 33%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Mladost Lucani €279K, Radnik Surdulica €384K.
- Style contrast in pressing & duels (Super Liga): Mladost Lucani rank #14 of 16, Radnik Surdulica #3.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Mladost Lucani goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 0–09%
- 2–18%
- 0–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Mladost Lucani 1531 · Radnik Surdulica 1519
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Mladost Lucani · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1519
Radnik Surdulica · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Elite) · Elo 1535
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Mladost Lucani
7th in Super Liga · 17 pts from 12
- 18 OctLFK Crvena Zvezda Serbian Super Liga1544
- 12 OctDOFK Beograd Serbian Super Liga1551
- 20 SepWMacva Serbian Super Liga1526
- 12 SepLRadnicki 1923 Serbian Super Liga1530
- 5 SepWRadnicki NIS Serbian Super Liga1481
Radnik Surdulica
6th in Super Liga · 17 pts from 12
- 16 OctWRadnicki NIS Serbian Super Liga1499
- 10 OctLIMT Novi Beograd Serbian Super Liga1521
- 19 SepDFK Partizan Serbian Super Liga1491
- 14 SepDZemun Serbian Super Liga1494
- 10 SepDFK Crvena Zvezda Serbian Super Liga1440
Season outlook
From the Super Liga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mladost Lucani | 17 /12 | 34.5 | 0% | 11% | 4% | 8th |
| Radnik Surdulica | 17 /12 | 34.2 | 0% | 12% | 4% | 9th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 14th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Mladost Lucani: low-volume · direct (how Radovan Ćurčić plays) · Radnik Surdulica: direct (how Zoran Rendulic plays)