Czech Liga · Regular Season - 15
Mlada Boleslav vs Zlin
Sat 21 Nov 2026 · 14:00 UTC · Lokotrans Arena, Mlada Boleslav
Mlada Boleslav host Zlin on Sat 21 Nov 2026 (Czech Liga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Mlada Boleslav 65%, draw 21%, Zlin 14%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Mlada Boleslav €472K, Zlin €213K.
- Largest team-Elo gap of Czech Liga matchday 15: 282 points.
- Draw chance 21%, below the Czech Liga average of 27% this round.
- Style contrast in dribbling (Czech Liga): Mlada Boleslav rank #3 of 17, Zlin #17.
- Zlin's expected eleven is out of form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -2.0 over 180 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Mlada Boleslav goals first.
- 2–012%
- 1–011%
- 1–110%
- 2–110%
- 3–08%
- 3–17%
- Other scores42%
Team Elo: Mlada Boleslav 1634 · Zlin 1352
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Mlada Boleslav · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1808
Zlin · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.4 (Average) · Elo 1405
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Mlada Boleslav
3rd in Czech Liga · 25 pts from 14
- 8 NovDFK Jablonec Czech Liga1675
- 1 NovWHradec Králové Czech Liga1682
- 24 OctDSlavia Praha Czech Liga1676
- 17 OctWTeplice Czech Liga1653
- 14 OctLBohemians 1905 Czech Liga1649
Zlin
16th in Czech Liga · 3 pts from 14
- 7 NovLSlovácko Czech Liga1341
- 31 OctDArtis Czech Liga1336
- 24 OctDSigma Olomouc Czech Liga1294
- 17 OctLPardubice Czech Liga1377
- 9 OctLSlavia Praha Czech Liga1368
Season outlook
From the Czech Liga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mlada Boleslav | 25 /14 | 46.6 | <1% | 28% | <1% | 6th |
| Zlin | 3 /14 | 14.1 | 0% | 0% | 100% | 16th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Mlada Boleslav: balanced profile (how Aleš Majer plays) · Zlin: direct (how Pavel Hoftych plays)