Czech Liga · Regular Season - 11
Mlada Boleslav 1–0 Teplice
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC · Mestsky stadion UMT, Mlada Boleslav
Mlada BoleslavTeam 1614TepliceTeam 1527- Jan Zíka 25'
We gave Mlada Boleslav 49% to win: they did.
- Jan Zíka 1623 +29 assist Daniel Langhamer 1721 +2325'Mlada Boleslav:Jan Zíka 1623 +29 assist Daniel Langhamer 1721 +23
- 49'Jan Fortelný 1560 −1Teplice:Jan Fortelný 1560 −1
- Daniel Langhamer 1721 +2349'Mlada Boleslav:Daniel Langhamer 1721 +23
- 59'Idris Hopi 1407 0 for Matej Radosta 1639 0Teplice:Idris Hopi 1407 0 for Matej Radosta 1639 0
- 59'Robert Jukl 1444 −1 for Jan Fortelný 1560 −1Teplice:Robert Jukl 1444 −1 for Jan Fortelný 1560 −1
- 65'Marcel Cermak 1528 −1 for Daniel Mareček 1587 −1Teplice:Marcel Cermak 1528 −1 for Daniel Mareček 1587 −1
- Josef Kolarik 1521 +5 for Martin Šubert 1702 +767'Mlada Boleslav:Josef Kolarik 1521 +5 for Martin Šubert 1702 +7
- 69'Matyas Kozak 1468 0Teplice:Matyas Kozak 1468 0
- Lukas Letenay 1335 −3* for Jiří Klíma 1542 +1273'Mlada Boleslav:Lukas Letenay 1335 −3* for Jiří Klíma 1542 +12
- Denis Donat 1655 +6 for Jan Zíka 1623 +2973'Mlada Boleslav:Denis Donat 1655 +6 for Jan Zíka 1623 +29
- 79'Ladislav Krejčí 1099 −13* for John Auta 1367 0Teplice:Ladislav Krejčí 1099 −13* for John Auta 1367 0
- 79'Tomas Zlatohlavek 1450 0 for Matyas Kozak 1468 0Teplice:Tomas Zlatohlavek 1450 0 for Matyas Kozak 1468 0
- Filip Spatenka 1269 +2 for Daniel Langhamer 1721 +2385'Mlada Boleslav:Filip Spatenka 1269 +2 for Daniel Langhamer 1721 +23
- Matej Zachoval 1515 +1 for Solomon John 1744 +785'Mlada Boleslav:Matej Zachoval 1515 +1 for Solomon John 1744 +7
- Filip Matousek 1603 +3990'Mlada Boleslav:Filip Matousek 1603 +39
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 49% · 27% · 25%(Mlada Boleslav · draw · Teplice)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 1–0 had 9%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Mlada Boleslav €447K, Teplice €373K.
- Style contrast in dribbling (Czech Liga): Mlada Boleslav ranked #3 of 16, Teplice #14.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Mlada Boleslav
4th in Czech Liga · 17 pts from 10
- 14 OctLBohemians 1905 Czech Liga1652
- 10 OctLPlzen Czech Liga1696
- 19 SepWZbrojovka Brno Czech Liga1628
- 12 SepLSlovan Liberec Czech Liga1675
- 6 SepWBaník Ostrava Czech Liga1617
Teplice
7th in Czech Liga · 17 pts from 10
- 11 OctDSigma Olomouc Czech Liga1561
- 20 SepWHradec Králové Czech Liga1536
- 13 SepLSlavia Praha Czech Liga1548
- 6 SepWZlin Czech Liga1543
- 30 AugWFK Jablonec Czech Liga1525
Season outlook
From the Czech Liga simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mlada Boleslav | 17 /10 | 42.7 | <1% | 12% | 2% | 8th |
| Teplice | 17 /10 | 39.9 | 0% | 5% | 5% | 10th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Mlada Boleslav · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Good) · Elo 1770
Teplice · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Good) · Elo 1617
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: direct
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Mlada Boleslav: balanced profile (how Aleš Majer plays) · Teplice: direct (how Zdenko Frťala plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.