Premier League · Regular Season - 16
ML Vitebsk 2–0 Torpedo Zhodino
Thu 15 Oct 2026 · 17:30 UTC · Tikhinichi Sportcomplex, Gomel
ML VitebskTeam 1624
Torpedo ZhodinoTeam 1407Match story
ML Vitebsk · draw · Torpedo ZhodinoBefore kick-off: 59% · 24% · 17%
Last reading, 90+3': 100% · 0% · 0%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score. Shaded: minutes without a reading.
- Denilho Cleonise 38'
- Artem Kontsevoy 73'
We gave ML Vitebsk 59% to win: they did.
- Denilho Cleonise 1756 +12 assist Radivoj Bosić 1724 +1338'
ML Vitebsk:Denilho Cleonise 1756 +12 assist Radivoj Bosić 1724 +13 - M. Bulanov 1183 for Radivoj Bosić 1724 +1357'
ML Vitebsk:M. Bulanov 1183 for Radivoj Bosić 1724 +13 - 63'Grigoriy Martyanov 1324 for Aleksandr Lomovitskiy 1437 −7
Torpedo Zhodino:Grigoriy Martyanov 1324 for Aleksandr Lomovitskiy 1437 −7 - 63'Vladislav Nalivayko 1280 for Timofey Sharkovskiy 1440 −14*
Torpedo Zhodino:Vladislav Nalivayko 1280 for Timofey Sharkovskiy 1440 −14* - Valeri Gromyko 1672 for Aleksandar Mesarovic 1735 +1266'
ML Vitebsk:Valeri Gromyko 1672 for Aleksandar Mesarovic 1735 +12 - Ode abdullahi 1676 for Silas Gnaka 1766 +2*66'
ML Vitebsk:Ode abdullahi 1676 for Silas Gnaka 1766 +2* - Artem Kontsevoy 1698 +14 assist Denilho Cleonise 1756 +1273'
ML Vitebsk:Artem Kontsevoy 1698 +14 assist Denilho Cleonise 1756 +12 - 75'Dmitriy Yusov 1225 for Aleksandr Frantsuzov 1396 −3
Torpedo Zhodino:Dmitriy Yusov 1225 for Aleksandr Frantsuzov 1396 −3 - 75'Maxim Gaevoy 1301 for Kirill Premudrov 1407 −11
Torpedo Zhodino:Maxim Gaevoy 1301 for Kirill Premudrov 1407 −11 - Timur Ivanov 1400 for Artem Kontsevoy 1698 +1478'
ML Vitebsk:Timur Ivanov 1400 for Artem Kontsevoy 1698 +14 - Milad Mohammadi 1873 for Denilho Cleonise 1756 +1278'
ML Vitebsk:Milad Mohammadi 1873 for Denilho Cleonise 1756 +12 - 81'Arseniy Ageev 1439 for Artem Bykov 1443 −13
Torpedo Zhodino:Arseniy Ageev 1439 for Artem Bykov 1443 −13
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 59% · 24% · 17%(ML Vitebsk · draw · Torpedo Zhodino)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (11%); the result 2–0 had 10%.
- Average value of the starting XI: ML Vitebsk €512K, Torpedo Zhodino €217K.
- Premier League: P. Pavlyuchenko was the highest-rated goalkeeper (1741).
- ML Vitebsk were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
ML Vitebsk
1st in Premier League · 47 pts from 22
- 11 OctWFC Gomel Belarus Premier League1628
- 18 SepWArsenal Belarus Premier League1610
- 13 SepDFC Dnepr Mogilev Belarus Premier League1555
- 6 SepDDinamo Minsk Belarus Premier League1583
- 2 SepDBelshina Belarus Premier League1573
Torpedo Zhodino
9th in Premier League · 30 pts from 23
- 10 OctWFC Minsk Belarus Premier League1415
- 20 SepLFC Vitebsk Belarus Premier League1431
- 12 SepLNeman Belarus Premier League1455
- 5 SepLFC Gomel Belarus Premier League1455
- 30 AugWArsenal Belarus Premier League1444
Season outlook
From the Premier League simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ML Vitebsk | 47 /22 | 60.8 | 69% | 100% | 0% | 1st |
| Torpedo Zhodino | 30 /23 | 40.7 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 9th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

ML Vitebsk · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Elite) · Elo 1814
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.