Premier League · Regular Season - 29
ML Vitebsk vs Slavia Mozyr
Sat 21 Nov 2026 · 16:00 UTC · Vitebsk CSK, Vitebsk
ML Vitebsk host Slavia Mozyr on Sat 21 Nov 2026 (Premier League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: ML Vitebsk 66%, draw 21%, Slavia Mozyr 13%.
- Average value of the expected XI: ML Vitebsk €544K, Slavia Mozyr €187K.
- Largest team-Elo gap of Premier League matchday 29: 299 points.
- Premier League: P. Pavlyuchenko is the highest-rated goalkeeper (1791).
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. ML Vitebsk goals first.
- 1–013%
- 2–013%
- 1–110%
- 2–110%
- 3–08%
- 0–07%
- Other scores39%
Team Elo: ML Vitebsk 1668 · Slavia Mozyr 1369
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
ML Vitebsk · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Elite) · Elo 1825
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
ML Vitebsk
1st in Premier League · 62 pts from 28
- 7 NovWNaftan Belarus Premier League1659
- 1 NovWFC Minsk Belarus Premier League1649
- 28 OctLFC Isloch Minsk R. Belarus Premier League1691
- 24 OctWFC Vitebsk Belarus Premier League1662
- 18 OctWNeman Belarus Premier League1646
Slavia Mozyr
10th in Premier League · 34 pts from 28
- 8 NovWBaranovichi Belarus Premier League1333
- 1 NovLFC Isloch Minsk R. Belarus Premier League1392
- 25 OctWTorpedo Zhodino Belarus Premier League1369
- 19 OctWBelshina Belarus Premier League1341
- 15 OctLDinamo Minsk Belarus Premier League1320
Season outlook
From the Premier League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ML Vitebsk | 62 /28 | 66.4 | 68% | 100% | 0% | 1st |
| Slavia Mozyr | 34 /28 | 35.9 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 10th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –