Premier League · Regular Season - 25
ML Vitebsk 1–0 Neman
Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UTC · Tikhinichi Sportcomplex, Gomel
ML VitebskTeam 1615
NemanTeam 1404- Artem Kontsevoy 27'
We gave ML Vitebsk 58% to win: they did.
- Artem Kontsevoy 1710 +11 assist Pavel Pavlyuchenko 1763 +1027'
ML Vitebsk:Artem Kontsevoy 1710 +11 assist Pavel Pavlyuchenko 1763 +10 - Yan Skibsky 1558 for Sergei Balanovich 1354 +1756'
ML Vitebsk:Yan Skibsky 1558 for Sergei Balanovich 1354 +17 - Radivoj Bosić 1724 for Denilho Cleonise 1765 +1056'
ML Vitebsk:Radivoj Bosić 1724 for Denilho Cleonise 1765 +10 - 64'Anton Suchkov 1535 for Danu Spătaru 1353 −4
Neman:Anton Suchkov 1535 for Danu Spătaru 1353 −4 - 64'Andrija Ratkovic 992 for Pavel Savitskiy 1532 −8
Neman:Andrija Ratkovic 992 for Pavel Savitskiy 1532 −8 - Silas Gnaka 1765 for Aleksandar Mesarovic 1744 +968'
ML Vitebsk:Silas Gnaka 1765 for Aleksandar Mesarovic 1744 +9 - Timur Ivanov 1400 for Valeri Gromyko 1682 +1168'
ML Vitebsk:Timur Ivanov 1400 for Valeri Gromyko 1682 +11 - 80'Yuri Pantya 1464 −10
Neman:Yuri Pantya 1464 −10 - 82'Igor Kovalevich
Neman:Igor Kovalevich - 88'alexey dayneka 1286 for Andrey Yakimov 1229 −18*
Neman:alexey dayneka 1286 for Andrey Yakimov 1229 −18* - 88'Yuri Pavlyukovets 1279 for Dmitri Girs 1478 −3
Neman:Yuri Pavlyukovets 1279 for Dmitri Girs 1478 −3 - M. Bulanov 1183 for Artem Kontsevoy 1710 +1190'
ML Vitebsk:M. Bulanov 1183 for Artem Kontsevoy 1710 +11
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 58% · 25% · 17%(ML Vitebsk · draw · Neman)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (12%); the result 1–0 had 11%.
- Average value of the starting XI: ML Vitebsk €469K, Neman €134K.
- Premier League: P. Pavlyuchenko was the highest-rated goalkeeper (1753).
- ML Vitebsk were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
- Neman were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
ML Vitebsk
1st in Premier League · 50 pts from 23
- 15 OctWTorpedo Zhodino Belarus Premier League1667
- 11 OctWFC Gomel Belarus Premier League1628
- 18 SepWArsenal Belarus Premier League1610
- 13 SepDFC Dnepr Mogilev Belarus Premier League1555
- 6 SepDDinamo Minsk Belarus Premier League1583
Neman
5th in Premier League · 43 pts from 24
- 14 OctWBate Borisov Belarus Premier League1467
- 10 OctWBaranovichi Belarus Premier League1459
- 19 SepWFC Isloch Minsk R. Belarus Premier League1416
- 12 SepWTorpedo Zhodino Belarus Premier League1393
- 6 SepDBelshina Belarus Premier League1441
Season outlook
From the Premier League simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ML Vitebsk | 50 /23 | 62.1 | 72% | 100% | 0% | 1st |
| Neman | 43 /24 | 51.4 | <1% | 38% | 0% | 5th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

ML Vitebsk · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Elite) · Elo 1820
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.