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Serie A · Regular Season - 31

Mirassol 2–0 Internacional

Fri 16 Oct 2026 · 23:00 UTC · José Maria de Campos Maia, Mirasol

Mirassol crestMirassolTeam 1805
2–0
Full time
HT 0–0
Internacional crestInternacionalTeam 1860

Match story

Mirassol · draw · Internacional

Before kick-off: 42% · 30% · 28%

Live chances: Mirassol 100%, draw 0%, Internacional 0% at 90+9'2' · 0–0 · Mirassol 42%, draw 30%, Internacional 28%3' · 0–0 · Mirassol 42%, draw 30%, Internacional 28%4' · 0–0 · Mirassol 42%, draw 31%, Internacional 28%5' · 0–0 · Mirassol 42%, draw 31%, Internacional 28%6' · 0–0 · Mirassol 42%, draw 31%, Internacional 28%7' · 0–0 · Mirassol 41%, draw 31%, Internacional 28%8' · 0–0 · Mirassol 41%, draw 31%, Internacional 28%9' · 0–0 · Mirassol 41%, draw 31%, Internacional 28%10' · 0–0 · Mirassol 41%, draw 32%, Internacional 27%11' · 0–0 · Mirassol 41%, draw 32%, Internacional 27%12' · 0–0 · Mirassol 41%, draw 32%, Internacional 27%13' · 0–0 · Mirassol 41%, draw 32%, Internacional 27%14' · 0–0 · Mirassol 40%, draw 32%, Internacional 27%15' · 0–0 · Mirassol 40%, draw 32%, Internacional 27%16' · 0–0 · Mirassol 59%, draw 27%, Internacional 14%17' · 0–0 · Mirassol 58%, draw 28%, Internacional 14%18' · 0–0 · Mirassol 58%, draw 28%, Internacional 14%19' · 0–0 · Mirassol 58%, draw 28%, Internacional 14%20' · 0–0 · Mirassol 58%, draw 28%, Internacional 14%21' · 0–0 · Mirassol 57%, draw 29%, Internacional 14%22' · 0–0 · Mirassol 57%, draw 29%, Internacional 14%23' · 0–0 · Mirassol 57%, draw 29%, Internacional 14%24' · 0–0 · Mirassol 57%, draw 29%, Internacional 14%25' · 0–0 · Mirassol 56%, draw 30%, Internacional 14%26' · 0–0 · Mirassol 56%, draw 30%, Internacional 14%27' · 0–0 · Mirassol 56%, draw 30%, Internacional 14%28' · 0–0 · Mirassol 56%, draw 30%, Internacional 14%29' · 0–0 · Mirassol 55%, draw 31%, Internacional 14%30' · 0–0 · Mirassol 55%, draw 31%, Internacional 14%31' · 0–0 · Mirassol 55%, draw 31%, Internacional 14%32' · 0–0 · Mirassol 54%, draw 31%, Internacional 14%33' · 0–0 · Mirassol 54%, draw 32%, Internacional 14%34' · 0–0 · Mirassol 54%, draw 32%, Internacional 14%35' · 0–0 · Mirassol 53%, draw 32%, Internacional 14%36' · 0–0 · Mirassol 53%, draw 33%, Internacional 14%37' · 0–0 · Mirassol 53%, draw 33%, Internacional 14%38' · 0–0 · Mirassol 52%, draw 33%, Internacional 14%39' · 0–0 · Mirassol 52%, draw 34%, Internacional 14%40' · 0–0 · Mirassol 52%, draw 34%, Internacional 14%41' · 0–0 · Mirassol 51%, draw 35%, Internacional 14%42' · 0–0 · Mirassol 51%, draw 35%, Internacional 14%43' · 0–0 · Mirassol 50%, draw 35%, Internacional 14%44' · 0–0 · Mirassol 50%, draw 36%, Internacional 14%45' · 0–0 · Mirassol 50%, draw 36%, Internacional 14%45+1' · 0–0 · Mirassol 49%, draw 37%, Internacional 14%45+2' · 0–0 · Mirassol 49%, draw 37%, Internacional 14%45+3' · 0–0 · Mirassol 48%, draw 38%, Internacional 14%45+4' · 0–0 · Mirassol 48%, draw 38%, Internacional 14%45+5' · 0–0 · Mirassol 48%, draw 38%, Internacional 14%45+6' · 0–0 · Mirassol 48%, draw 38%, Internacional 14%45+7' · 0–0 · Mirassol 48%, draw 38%, Internacional 14%45+8' · 0–0 · Mirassol 48%, draw 38%, Internacional 14%HT · 0–0 · Mirassol 48%, draw 38%, Internacional 14%46' · 0–0 · Mirassol 48%, draw 38%, Internacional 14%47' · 0–0 · Mirassol 48%, draw 38%, Internacional 14%48' · 0–0 · Mirassol 47%, draw 39%, Internacional 14%49' · 1–0 · Mirassol 85%, draw 12%, Internacional 2%50' · 1–0 · Mirassol 86%, draw 12%, Internacional 2%51' · 1–0 · Mirassol 86%, draw 12%, Internacional 2%52' · 1–0 · Mirassol 86%, draw 12%, Internacional 2%53' · 1–0 · Mirassol 86%, draw 12%, Internacional 2%54' · 1–0 · Mirassol 86%, draw 12%, Internacional 2%55' · 1–0 · Mirassol 86%, draw 12%, Internacional 2%56' · 1–0 · Mirassol 86%, draw 12%, Internacional 2%57' · 1–0 · Mirassol 86%, draw 12%, Internacional 2%58' · 1–0 · Mirassol 86%, draw 12%, Internacional 2%59' · 1–0 · Mirassol 86%, draw 12%, Internacional 2%60' · 1–0 · Mirassol 87%, draw 12%, Internacional 2%61' · 1–0 · Mirassol 87%, draw 12%, Internacional 2%62' · 1–0 · Mirassol 87%, draw 12%, Internacional 2%63' · 1–0 · Mirassol 87%, draw 12%, Internacional 2%64' · 1–0 · Mirassol 87%, draw 11%, Internacional 1%65' · 1–0 · Mirassol 87%, draw 11%, Internacional 1%66' · 1–0 · Mirassol 87%, draw 11%, Internacional 1%67' · 1–0 · Mirassol 88%, draw 11%, Internacional 1%68' · 1–0 · Mirassol 88%, draw 11%, Internacional 1%69' · 1–0 · Mirassol 88%, draw 11%, Internacional 1%70' · 1–0 · Mirassol 88%, draw 11%, Internacional 1%71' · 1–0 · Mirassol 88%, draw 11%, Internacional 1%72' · 1–0 · Mirassol 89%, draw 10%, Internacional 1%73' · 1–0 · Mirassol 89%, draw 10%, Internacional 1%74' · 1–0 · Mirassol 89%, draw 10%, Internacional 1%75' · 1–0 · Mirassol 89%, draw 10%, Internacional 1%76' · 1–0 · Mirassol 90%, draw 10%, Internacional 1%77' · 1–0 · Mirassol 90%, draw 9%, Internacional 1%78' · 1–0 · Mirassol 90%, draw 9%, Internacional 1%79' · 1–0 · Mirassol 91%, draw 9%, Internacional 1%80' · 1–0 · Mirassol 91%, draw 9%, Internacional 1%81' · 1–0 · Mirassol 91%, draw 8%, Internacional 1%82' · 1–0 · Mirassol 92%, draw 8%, Internacional 0%83' · 1–0 · Mirassol 92%, draw 8%, Internacional 0%84' · 1–0 · Mirassol 92%, draw 7%, Internacional 0%85' · 1–0 · Mirassol 93%, draw 7%, Internacional 0%86' · 1–0 · Mirassol 93%, draw 7%, Internacional 0%87' · 1–0 · Mirassol 94%, draw 6%, Internacional 0%88' · 2–0 · Mirassol 100%, draw 0%, Internacional 0%89' · 2–0 · Mirassol 100%, draw 0%, Internacional 0%90' · 2–0 · Mirassol 100%, draw 0%, Internacional 0%90+1' · 2–0 · Mirassol 100%, draw 0%, Internacional 0%90+2' · 2–0 · Mirassol 100%, draw 0%, Internacional 0%90+3' · 2–0 · Mirassol 100%, draw 0%, Internacional 0%90+4' · 2–0 · Mirassol 100%, draw 0%, Internacional 0%90+5' · 2–0 · Mirassol 100%, draw 0%, Internacional 0%90+6' · 2–0 · Mirassol 100%, draw 0%, Internacional 0%90+7' · 2–0 · Mirassol 100%, draw 0%, Internacional 0%90+8' · 2–0 · Mirassol 100%, draw 0%, Internacional 0%90+9' · 2–0 · Mirassol 100%, draw 0%, Internacional 0%

Last reading, 90+9': 100% · 0% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Mirassol 42% to win: they did.

  1. 15'Internacional:Matheus Cunha 2003 −11*
  2. 17'Internacional:Kauan Jesus Santos Oliveira 1611 −8* for Alexandro Bernabéi 1980 −3
  3. 43'Internacional:Vitinho 1965 −16
  4. 45'Internacional:Felix Torres 1918 −7 for Alerrandro 1922 −5
  5. 45'Mirassol:Alesson dos Santos Batista 1954 +11 for Neto Moura 1784 +21
  6. 45+5'Mirassol:Neto Moura 1784 +21
  7. 48'Mirassol:Carlos Eduardo de Oliveira Alve 1624 +55 assist Edson Carioca 1896 +23
  8. 57'Internacional:Bruno Gomes 1957 −15
  9. 59'Internacional:joao victor 1664 −8* for José Carlos Ferreira Júnior 1783 −3
  10. 60'Internacional:Johan Carbonero 1929 −4 for Matheus Bahia 1926 −8
  11. 61'Internacional:Rodrigo Villagra 1935 −12
  12. 68'Mirassol:Fernandinho 1697 +5* for Edson Carioca 1896 +23
  13. 68'Mirassol:Wallisson 1776 +10 for Denilson Alves Borges 1939 +20
  14. 74'Mirassol:André Luis 1760 +5 for Bruno Santos de Oliveira 1680 +17
  15. 77'Mirassol:André Luis 1760 +5
  16. 79'Mirassol:Chico Kim 1394 +1 for Carlos Eduardo de Oliveira Alve 1624 +55
  17. 81'Internacional:Johan Carbonero 1929 −4
  18. 82'Internacional:João Bezerra 1651 −8* for Thiago Maia 1919 −11
  19. 87'Mirassol:André Luis 1760 +5 assist Fernandinho 1697 +5*
  20. 89'Internacional:Gabriel Mercado 1563 −14
  21. 90+1'Internacional:Kauan Jesus Santos Oliveira 1611 −8*
  22. 90+2'Mirassol:Reinaldo 1846 +31 (penalty missed)

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-2-3-1Formations3-4-2-1
GWalter1887+27
DIgor Formiga1981+21
DJoão Victor1967+23
DWillian Machado1929+27
DReinaldo1846+31
MNeto Moura1784+21
MDenilson1939+20
MShaylon1829+13
MEduardo1624+55
MEdson1896+23
FBruno Santos1680+17
CRafael Guanaes1964+16
GMatheus Cunha2003−11*
DBruno Gomes1957−15
DG. Mercado1563−14
DJuninho1783−3
MB. Aguirre1931−12
MR. Villagra1935−12
MThiago Maia1919−11
MMatheus Bahia1926−8
MVitinho1965−16
MA. Bernabéi1980−3
FAlerrandro1922−5
CEduardo Baptista17800
Before kick-off: 42% · 30% · 28%(Mirassol · draw · Internacional)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 2–0 had 8%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Mirassol €1.1M, Internacional €3.1M.
  • Internacional were without 2 expected starters: Anthoni (1928) and Alan Patrick (1808).
  • Home advantage made Mirassol the favourite: it added 12 points to their win chance; Série A has one of the three largest home advantages of our 20 competitions.
  • Style contrast in pressing & duels (Série A): Mirassol ranked #20 of 20, Internacional #1.
  • All 11 of Mirassol's expected starters were past their position's peak age.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Mirassol

15th in Série A · 33 pts from 30

  • 11 OctLBahia 1813
  • 7 OctDRB Bragantino 1796
  • 19 SepWBotafogo 1753
  • 13 SepDVitoria 1738
  • 6 SepWCoritiba 1786

Internacional

17th in Série A · 32 pts from 30

  • 11 OctDGremio 1884
  • 7 OctWCorinthians 1873
  • 20 SepLSao Paulo 1854
  • 6 SepLSantos 1892
  • 3 SepLGremio 1892

Season outlook

From the Serie A simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Mirassol33 /3042.30%0%26%18th
Internacional32 /3042.80%0%16%16th
Mirassol
Internacional

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Serie A

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Willian Machado
Willian Machado

Mirassol · +4.5 (Good) · Elo 1901

R. Villagra
R. Villagra

Internacional · +2.6 (Good) · Elo 1947

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Rafael Silva Guanaes

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Eduardo Alexandre Baptista

Coach DNA: direct

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Mirassol: balanced profile (how Rafael Silva Guanaes plays) · Internacional: balanced profile (how Eduardo Alexandre Baptista plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.