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Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 30

Minnesota United FC 3–2 St. Louis City

Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 20:30 UTC · Allianz Field, Sao Paulo

Minnesota United FC crestMinnesota United FCTeam 1848
3–2
Full time
HT 0–2
St. Louis City crestSt. Louis CityTeam 1918

Match story

Minnesota United FC · draw · St. Louis City

Before kick-off: 40% · 26% · 33%

Live chances: Minnesota United FC 99%, draw 1%, St. Louis City 0% at 90+6'1' · 0–0 · Minnesota United FC 40%, draw 26%, St. Louis City 33%2' · 0–0 · Minnesota United FC 40%, draw 27%, St. Louis City 33%3' · 0–0 · Minnesota United FC 40%, draw 27%, St. Louis City 33%4' · 0–1 · Minnesota United FC 25%, draw 24%, St. Louis City 51%5' · 0–1 · Minnesota United FC 25%, draw 24%, St. Louis City 51%6' · 0–1 · Minnesota United FC 25%, draw 24%, St. Louis City 51%7' · 0–1 · Minnesota United FC 25%, draw 24%, St. Louis City 51%8' · 0–1 · Minnesota United FC 25%, draw 24%, St. Louis City 51%9' · 0–1 · Minnesota United FC 25%, draw 24%, St. Louis City 51%10' · 0–1 · Minnesota United FC 24%, draw 24%, St. Louis City 51%11' · 0–2 · Minnesota United FC 8%, draw 14%, St. Louis City 79%12' · 0–2 · Minnesota United FC 7%, draw 14%, St. Louis City 79%13' · 0–2 · Minnesota United FC 7%, draw 14%, St. Louis City 79%14' · 0–2 · Minnesota United FC 7%, draw 13%, St. Louis City 79%15' · 0–2 · Minnesota United FC 7%, draw 13%, St. Louis City 80%16' · 0–2 · Minnesota United FC 7%, draw 13%, St. Louis City 80%17' · 0–2 · Minnesota United FC 7%, draw 13%, St. Louis City 80%18' · 0–2 · Minnesota United FC 7%, draw 13%, St. Louis City 80%19' · 0–2 · Minnesota United FC 7%, draw 13%, St. Louis City 80%20' · 0–2 · Minnesota United FC 7%, draw 13%, St. Louis City 80%21' · 0–2 · Minnesota United FC 6%, draw 13%, St. Louis City 81%22' · 0–2 · Minnesota United FC 6%, draw 13%, St. Louis City 81%23' · 0–2 · Minnesota United FC 6%, draw 13%, St. Louis City 81%24' · 0–2 · Minnesota United FC 6%, draw 13%, St. Louis City 81%25' · 0–2 · Minnesota United FC 6%, draw 13%, St. Louis City 81%26' · 0–2 · Minnesota United FC 6%, draw 13%, St. Louis City 82%27' · 0–2 · Minnesota United FC 6%, draw 12%, St. Louis City 82%29' · 0–2 · Minnesota United FC 6%, draw 12%, St. Louis City 82%30' · 0–2 · Minnesota United FC 5%, draw 12%, St. Louis City 82%31' · 0–2 · Minnesota United FC 5%, draw 12%, St. Louis City 83%32' · 0–2 · Minnesota United FC 5%, draw 12%, St. Louis City 83%33' · 0–2 · Minnesota United FC 5%, draw 12%, St. Louis City 83%34' · 0–2 · Minnesota United FC 5%, draw 12%, St. Louis City 83%35' · 0–2 · Minnesota United FC 5%, draw 12%, St. Louis City 84%36' · 0–2 · Minnesota United FC 5%, draw 12%, St. Louis City 84%37' · 0–2 · Minnesota United FC 5%, draw 11%, St. Louis City 84%38' · 0–2 · Minnesota United FC 4%, draw 11%, St. Louis City 84%39' · 0–2 · Minnesota United FC 4%, draw 11%, St. Louis City 84%40' · 0–2 · Minnesota United FC 4%, draw 11%, St. Louis City 85%41' · 0–2 · Minnesota United FC 4%, draw 11%, St. Louis City 85%42' · 0–2 · Minnesota United FC 4%, draw 11%, St. Louis City 85%43' · 0–2 · Minnesota United FC 4%, draw 11%, St. Louis City 85%44' · 0–2 · Minnesota United FC 4%, draw 11%, St. Louis City 86%45' · 0–2 · Minnesota United FC 4%, draw 10%, St. Louis City 86%45+1' · 0–2 · Minnesota United FC 4%, draw 10%, St. Louis City 86%45+2' · 0–2 · Minnesota United FC 3%, draw 10%, St. Louis City 86%45+3' · 0–2 · Minnesota United FC 3%, draw 10%, St. Louis City 87%45+4' · 0–2 · Minnesota United FC 3%, draw 10%, St. Louis City 87%HT · 0–2 · Minnesota United FC 3%, draw 10%, St. Louis City 87%47' · 0–2 · Minnesota United FC 3%, draw 10%, St. Louis City 87%49' · 0–2 · Minnesota United FC 3%, draw 9%, St. Louis City 88%50' · 1–2 · Minnesota United FC 14%, draw 26%, St. Louis City 60%51' · 1–2 · Minnesota United FC 14%, draw 26%, St. Louis City 60%53' · 1–2 · Minnesota United FC 13%, draw 26%, St. Louis City 61%54' · 1–2 · Minnesota United FC 13%, draw 26%, St. Louis City 61%55' · 1–2 · Minnesota United FC 13%, draw 26%, St. Louis City 62%56' · 1–2 · Minnesota United FC 12%, draw 26%, St. Louis City 62%57' · 1–2 · Minnesota United FC 12%, draw 26%, St. Louis City 62%58' · 1–2 · Minnesota United FC 11%, draw 26%, St. Louis City 63%59' · 1–2 · Minnesota United FC 11%, draw 26%, St. Louis City 63%60' · 1–2 · Minnesota United FC 11%, draw 25%, St. Louis City 64%61' · 1–2 · Minnesota United FC 10%, draw 25%, St. Louis City 64%62' · 1–2 · Minnesota United FC 10%, draw 25%, St. Louis City 65%63' · 1–2 · Minnesota United FC 10%, draw 25%, St. Louis City 65%64' · 1–2 · Minnesota United FC 9%, draw 25%, St. Louis City 66%65' · 1–2 · Minnesota United FC 9%, draw 25%, St. Louis City 66%66' · 1–2 · Minnesota United FC 9%, draw 25%, St. Louis City 67%67' · 1–2 · Minnesota United FC 8%, draw 25%, St. Louis City 67%68' · 1–2 · Minnesota United FC 8%, draw 24%, St. Louis City 68%69' · 1–2 · Minnesota United FC 8%, draw 24%, St. Louis City 68%70' · 2–2 · Minnesota United FC 26%, draw 50%, St. Louis City 24%71' · 2–2 · Minnesota United FC 26%, draw 51%, St. Louis City 23%72' · 2–2 · Minnesota United FC 25%, draw 52%, St. Louis City 23%73' · 2–2 · Minnesota United FC 25%, draw 53%, St. Louis City 22%74' · 2–2 · Minnesota United FC 24%, draw 54%, St. Louis City 22%75' · 2–2 · Minnesota United FC 24%, draw 55%, St. Louis City 21%76' · 2–2 · Minnesota United FC 23%, draw 56%, St. Louis City 21%77' · 2–2 · Minnesota United FC 22%, draw 57%, St. Louis City 20%78' · 2–2 · Minnesota United FC 22%, draw 59%, St. Louis City 20%79' · 2–2 · Minnesota United FC 21%, draw 60%, St. Louis City 19%80' · 2–2 · Minnesota United FC 20%, draw 61%, St. Louis City 18%81' · 2–2 · Minnesota United FC 20%, draw 63%, St. Louis City 18%82' · 2–2 · Minnesota United FC 19%, draw 64%, St. Louis City 17%83' · 2–2 · Minnesota United FC 18%, draw 66%, St. Louis City 16%84' · 2–2 · Minnesota United FC 17%, draw 67%, St. Louis City 15%85' · 2–2 · Minnesota United FC 16%, draw 69%, St. Louis City 15%86' · 2–2 · Minnesota United FC 15%, draw 71%, St. Louis City 14%87' · 3–2 · Minnesota United FC 87%, draw 12%, St. Louis City 1%88' · 3–2 · Minnesota United FC 88%, draw 11%, St. Louis City 1%89' · 3–2 · Minnesota United FC 89%, draw 10%, St. Louis City 1%90' · 3–2 · Minnesota United FC 90%, draw 9%, St. Louis City 1%90+1' · 3–2 · Minnesota United FC 91%, draw 8%, St. Louis City 0%90+2' · 3–2 · Minnesota United FC 93%, draw 7%, St. Louis City 0%90+3' · 3–2 · Minnesota United FC 94%, draw 6%, St. Louis City 0%90+4' · 3–2 · Minnesota United FC 96%, draw 4%, St. Louis City 0%90+5' · 3–2 · Minnesota United FC 97%, draw 3%, St. Louis City 0%90+6' · 3–2 · Minnesota United FC 99%, draw 1%, St. Louis City 0%

Last reading, 90+6': 99% · 1% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Minnesota United FC 40% to win: they did.

  1. 4'St. Louis City:Rafael Navarro Leal 2049 −26
  2. 10'St. Louis City:Sang-bin Jung 1851 0 assist Rafael Navarro Leal 2049 −26
  3. 24'Minnesota United FC:Aziel Jackson 1986 +26
  4. 26'St. Louis City:Miguel Perez 1482 −8*
  5. 45'St. Louis City:Daniel Edelman 2088 −5 for Dante Polvara 2022 −4
  6. 45'St. Louis City:Rafael Santos 1926 −2 for Tomas Totland 2063 −5
  7. 49'Minnesota United FC:Aziel Jackson 1986 +26 assist Kelvin Yeboah 1982 +30
  8. 51'St. Louis City:Sang-bin Jung 1851 0
  9. 68'Minnesota United FC:Kelvin Yeboah 1982 +30 assist Mauricio González Carabalí 1705 +58
  10. 69'St. Louis City:Damion Downs 1830 0 for Simon Becher 1951 −3
  11. 69'St. Louis City:Lukas MacNaughton 1827 −3 for Sang-bin Jung 1851 0
  12. 70'Minnesota United FC:Marcus Caldeira 1716 +15 for Mauricio González Carabalí 1705 +58
  13. 79'Minnesota United FC:Joaquín Pereyra 1915 +1 for Aziel Jackson 1986 +26
  14. 82'St. Louis City:Tomas Ostrak 1577 −8* for Mykhi Joyner 1478 −8*
  15. 86'Minnesota United FC:Marcus Caldeira 1716 +15 assist Joaquín Pereyra 1915 +1
  16. 90'Minnesota United FC:Jefferson Abel Díaz Beleño 1955 +12
  17. 90+2'Minnesota United FC:Tomás Chancalay 1892 −1 for Kelvin Yeboah 1982 +30
  18. 90+2'Minnesota United FC:Michael Boxall 1576 −11 for Cherrion Valerius 1713 +25

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

3-4-1-2Formations3-4-3
GD. Callender2013+9
DCherrion Valerius1713+25
DJ. Díaz1955+12
DM. Duggan1936+13
MB. Hlongwane1959+12
MN. Triantis1998+10
MW. Trapp1811+14
MA. Markanich1920+14
MM. Gonzalez1705+58
FA. Jackson1986+26
FK. Yeboah1982+30
CC. Knowles1618+61
GR. Bürki2010−11
DJ. Orozco18500
DT. Baumgartl2001−8
DF. Fall1923−1
MM. Joyner1478−8*
MD. Polvara2022−4
MM. Perez1482−8*
MT. Totland2063−5
FJeong Sang-Bin18510
FRafael Navarro2049−26
FS. Becher1951−3
CY. Damet1947−5
Before kick-off: 40% · 26% · 33%(Minnesota United FC · draw · St. Louis City)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (12%); the result 3–2 had 3%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Minnesota United FC €2.1M, St. Louis City €1.5M.
  • Minnesota United FC were without 1 expected starter: A. Markanich (1907).
  • St. Louis City's expected eleven was in form: average +2.2 over 180 days.
  • St. Louis City were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Minnesota United FC

13th in MLS · 31 pts from 29

  • 15 OctDColorado Rapids 1828
  • 11 OctDHouston Dynamo 1859
  • 27 SepLSeattle Sounders 1860
  • 20 SepLLos Angeles Galaxy 1916
  • 13 SepLSt. Louis City 1902

St. Louis City

2nd in MLS · 51 pts from 29

  • 15 OctDVancouver Whitecaps 2037
  • 11 OctWLos Angeles Galaxy 2012
  • 30 SepWNew York Red Bulls 1996
  • 20 SepWToronto FC 1946
  • 13 SepWMinnesota United FC 1942

Season outlook

From the Major League Soccer simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Minnesota United FC31 /2937.30%0%18%28th
St. Louis City51 /2959.00%62%0%3rd
Minnesota United FC
St. Louis City

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 30th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Major League Soccer

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

A. Markanich
A. Markanich

Minnesota United FC · +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1907

T. Totland
T. Totland

St. Louis City · +4.4 (Elite) · Elo 2068

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Cameron Knowles

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Yoann Damet

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Minnesota United FC: direct (how Cameron Knowles plays) · St. Louis City: direct (how Yoann Damet plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.