Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 32
Minnesota United FC vs Sporting Kansas City
Thu 29 Oct 2026 · 00:30 UTC · Allianz Field, Sao Paulo
Minnesota United FC host Sporting Kansas City on Thu 29 Oct 2026 (Major League Soccer); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Minnesota United FC 54%, draw 26%, Sporting Kansas City 21%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Minnesota United FC €2.0M, Sporting Kansas City €716K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Minnesota United FC goals first.
- 1–112%
- 2–110%
- 1–010%
- 2–010%
- 0–07%
- 3–16%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Minnesota United FC 1868 · Sporting Kansas City 1758
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Minnesota United FC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Good) · Elo 1920
Sporting Kansas City · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Average) · Elo 1900
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Minnesota United FC
13th in MLS · 34 pts from 30
- 17 OctWSt. Louis City MLS1867
- 15 OctDColorado Rapids MLS1828
- 11 OctDHouston Dynamo MLS1859
- 27 SepLSeattle Sounders MLS1860
- 20 SepLLos Angeles Galaxy MLS1916
Sporting Kansas City
15th in MLS · 22 pts from 30
- 18 OctLReal Salt Lake MLS1769
- 15 OctLNashville SC MLS1690
- 11 OctDPortland Timbers MLS1768
- 2 OctLSeattle Sounders MLS1792
- 27 SepWHouston Dynamo MLS1737
Season outlook
From the Major League Soccer simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota United FC | 34 /30 | 39.1 | 0% | 0% | 4% | 25th |
| Sporting Kansas City | 22 /30 | 26.3 | 0% | 0% | 100% | 30th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 30th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Minnesota United FC: direct (how Cameron Knowles plays) · Sporting Kansas City: balanced profile (how Raphael Wicky plays)