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Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 28

Minnesota United FC 2–2 Houston Dynamo

Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 00:30 UTC · Allianz Field, Sao Paulo

Minnesota United FC crestMinnesota United FCTeam 1836
2–2
Full time
HT 0–1
Houston Dynamo crestHouston DynamoTeam 1973

Match story

Minnesota United FC · draw · Houston Dynamo

Before kick-off: 34% · 29% · 37%

Live chances: Minnesota United FC 0%, draw 100%, Houston Dynamo 0% at 90+11'2' · 0–0 · Minnesota United FC 34%, draw 29%, Houston Dynamo 37%3' · 0–0 · Minnesota United FC 34%, draw 29%, Houston Dynamo 37%4' · 0–0 · Minnesota United FC 34%, draw 29%, Houston Dynamo 37%5' · 0–0 · Minnesota United FC 34%, draw 29%, Houston Dynamo 37%6' · 0–0 · Minnesota United FC 34%, draw 29%, Houston Dynamo 37%7' · 0–0 · Minnesota United FC 34%, draw 29%, Houston Dynamo 37%8' · 0–0 · Minnesota United FC 34%, draw 29%, Houston Dynamo 37%9' · 0–0 · Minnesota United FC 34%, draw 30%, Houston Dynamo 37%10' · 0–0 · Minnesota United FC 34%, draw 30%, Houston Dynamo 37%11' · 0–0 · Minnesota United FC 34%, draw 30%, Houston Dynamo 37%12' · 0–0 · Minnesota United FC 33%, draw 30%, Houston Dynamo 36%13' · 0–0 · Minnesota United FC 33%, draw 30%, Houston Dynamo 36%14' · 0–0 · Minnesota United FC 33%, draw 30%, Houston Dynamo 36%15' · 0–0 · Minnesota United FC 33%, draw 31%, Houston Dynamo 36%16' · 0–0 · Minnesota United FC 33%, draw 31%, Houston Dynamo 36%17' · 0–0 · Minnesota United FC 33%, draw 31%, Houston Dynamo 36%18' · 0–0 · Minnesota United FC 33%, draw 31%, Houston Dynamo 36%19' · 0–1 · Minnesota United FC 16%, draw 23%, Houston Dynamo 61%20' · 0–1 · Minnesota United FC 16%, draw 23%, Houston Dynamo 61%21' · 0–1 · Minnesota United FC 16%, draw 23%, Houston Dynamo 61%22' · 0–1 · Minnesota United FC 15%, draw 23%, Houston Dynamo 61%23' · 0–1 · Minnesota United FC 15%, draw 23%, Houston Dynamo 61%24' · 0–1 · Minnesota United FC 15%, draw 23%, Houston Dynamo 61%25' · 0–1 · Minnesota United FC 15%, draw 24%, Houston Dynamo 62%26' · 0–1 · Minnesota United FC 15%, draw 24%, Houston Dynamo 62%28' · 0–1 · Minnesota United FC 14%, draw 24%, Houston Dynamo 62%29' · 0–1 · Minnesota United FC 14%, draw 24%, Houston Dynamo 62%31' · 0–1 · Minnesota United FC 14%, draw 24%, Houston Dynamo 62%32' · 0–1 · Minnesota United FC 14%, draw 24%, Houston Dynamo 63%33' · 0–1 · Minnesota United FC 14%, draw 24%, Houston Dynamo 63%34' · 0–1 · Minnesota United FC 13%, draw 24%, Houston Dynamo 63%36' · 0–1 · Minnesota United FC 13%, draw 24%, Houston Dynamo 63%37' · 0–1 · Minnesota United FC 13%, draw 24%, Houston Dynamo 63%38' · 0–1 · Minnesota United FC 13%, draw 24%, Houston Dynamo 64%40' · 0–1 · Minnesota United FC 12%, draw 24%, Houston Dynamo 64%42' · 0–1 · Minnesota United FC 12%, draw 24%, Houston Dynamo 64%43' · 0–1 · Minnesota United FC 12%, draw 24%, Houston Dynamo 65%44' · 0–1 · Minnesota United FC 11%, draw 24%, Houston Dynamo 65%45' · 0–1 · Minnesota United FC 11%, draw 24%, Houston Dynamo 65%45+1' · 0–1 · Minnesota United FC 11%, draw 24%, Houston Dynamo 65%HT · 0–1 · Minnesota United FC 10%, draw 24%, Houston Dynamo 66%47' · 0–1 · Minnesota United FC 10%, draw 24%, Houston Dynamo 66%48' · 0–1 · Minnesota United FC 10%, draw 24%, Houston Dynamo 66%49' · 1–1 · Minnesota United FC 29%, draw 41%, Houston Dynamo 31%50' · 1–1 · Minnesota United FC 28%, draw 41%, Houston Dynamo 30%51' · 1–1 · Minnesota United FC 28%, draw 42%, Houston Dynamo 30%52' · 1–1 · Minnesota United FC 28%, draw 42%, Houston Dynamo 30%53' · 1–1 · Minnesota United FC 28%, draw 43%, Houston Dynamo 29%54' · 1–1 · Minnesota United FC 27%, draw 44%, Houston Dynamo 29%55' · 1–1 · Minnesota United FC 27%, draw 44%, Houston Dynamo 29%56' · 1–1 · Minnesota United FC 27%, draw 45%, Houston Dynamo 28%57' · 1–1 · Minnesota United FC 26%, draw 46%, Houston Dynamo 28%58' · 1–1 · Minnesota United FC 26%, draw 46%, Houston Dynamo 28%59' · 1–1 · Minnesota United FC 26%, draw 47%, Houston Dynamo 27%60' · 1–1 · Minnesota United FC 25%, draw 48%, Houston Dynamo 27%61' · 1–1 · Minnesota United FC 25%, draw 48%, Houston Dynamo 27%62' · 1–1 · Minnesota United FC 25%, draw 49%, Houston Dynamo 26%63' · 1–1 · Minnesota United FC 24%, draw 50%, Houston Dynamo 26%64' · 1–1 · Minnesota United FC 24%, draw 51%, Houston Dynamo 25%65' · 1–1 · Minnesota United FC 24%, draw 51%, Houston Dynamo 25%66' · 1–1 · Minnesota United FC 23%, draw 52%, Houston Dynamo 25%67' · 1–1 · Minnesota United FC 23%, draw 53%, Houston Dynamo 24%68' · 1–1 · Minnesota United FC 22%, draw 54%, Houston Dynamo 24%69' · 1–1 · Minnesota United FC 22%, draw 55%, Houston Dynamo 23%70' · 1–1 · Minnesota United FC 22%, draw 56%, Houston Dynamo 23%71' · 1–1 · Minnesota United FC 21%, draw 57%, Houston Dynamo 22%72' · 1–1 · Minnesota United FC 21%, draw 58%, Houston Dynamo 22%73' · 1–1 · Minnesota United FC 20%, draw 59%, Houston Dynamo 21%74' · 1–1 · Minnesota United FC 20%, draw 60%, Houston Dynamo 21%75' · 1–1 · Minnesota United FC 19%, draw 61%, Houston Dynamo 20%76' · 1–1 · Minnesota United FC 19%, draw 62%, Houston Dynamo 20%77' · 1–1 · Minnesota United FC 18%, draw 63%, Houston Dynamo 19%78' · 1–1 · Minnesota United FC 17%, draw 64%, Houston Dynamo 18%79' · 2–1 · Minnesota United FC 82%, draw 16%, Houston Dynamo 2%80' · 2–1 · Minnesota United FC 83%, draw 15%, Houston Dynamo 2%81' · 2–1 · Minnesota United FC 83%, draw 15%, Houston Dynamo 2%82' · 2–1 · Minnesota United FC 84%, draw 14%, Houston Dynamo 2%83' · 2–1 · Minnesota United FC 85%, draw 14%, Houston Dynamo 1%84' · 2–1 · Minnesota United FC 86%, draw 13%, Houston Dynamo 1%85' · 2–1 · Minnesota United FC 87%, draw 12%, Houston Dynamo 1%86' · 2–1 · Minnesota United FC 87%, draw 12%, Houston Dynamo 1%87' · 2–1 · Minnesota United FC 88%, draw 11%, Houston Dynamo 1%88' · 2–1 · Minnesota United FC 89%, draw 10%, Houston Dynamo 1%89' · 2–1 · Minnesota United FC 90%, draw 9%, Houston Dynamo 1%90' · 2–1 · Minnesota United FC 91%, draw 8%, Houston Dynamo 0%90+1' · 2–1 · Minnesota United FC 93%, draw 7%, Houston Dynamo 0%90+2' · 2–2 · Minnesota United FC 6%, draw 88%, Houston Dynamo 6%90+3' · 2–2 · Minnesota United FC 5%, draw 90%, Houston Dynamo 5%90+4' · 2–2 · Minnesota United FC 3%, draw 93%, Houston Dynamo 4%90+5' · 2–2 · Minnesota United FC 2%, draw 96%, Houston Dynamo 2%90+6' · 2–2 · Minnesota United FC 1%, draw 99%, Houston Dynamo 1%90+7' · 2–2 · Minnesota United FC 0%, draw 100%, Houston Dynamo 0%90+8' · 2–2 · Minnesota United FC 0%, draw 100%, Houston Dynamo 0%90+9' · 2–2 · Minnesota United FC 0%, draw 100%, Houston Dynamo 0%90+10' · 2–2 · Minnesota United FC 0%, draw 100%, Houston Dynamo 0%90+11' · 2–2 · Minnesota United FC 0%, draw 100%, Houston Dynamo 0%

Last reading, 90+11': 0% · 100% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Houston Dynamo 37% to win: it ended in a draw.

  1. 18'Houston Dynamo:Lyle Foster 1970 −5*
  2. 48'Minnesota United FC:Kelvin Yeboah 1943 −9* assist Morris Duggan 1920 −9*
  3. 63'Houston Dynamo:Nick Markanich 1327 −4* for Lyle Foster 1970 −5*
  4. 63'Houston Dynamo:Franco Negri 1907 −10* for Felipe·De Andrade Vieira 2023 −7*
  5. 63'Minnesota United FC:Marcus Caldeira 1696 −8* for Bongokuhle Hlongwane 1944 −8*
  6. 63'Minnesota United FC:Mauricio González Carabalí 1641 −8* for Aziel Jackson 1959 −8*
  7. 63'Minnesota United FC:Nectarios Triantis 1988 −8* for Owen Gene 1886 −8*
  8. 66'Minnesota United FC:Mauricio González Carabalí 1641 −8*
  9. 75'Houston Dynamo:Blake Gillingham 1556 −7* for Jonathan Bond 2042 −8*
  10. 78'Minnesota United FC:Marcus Caldeira 1696 −8* assist Cherrion Valerius 1680 −8*
  11. 82'Minnesota United FC:Wil Trapp 1796 −13*
  12. 84'Houston Dynamo:Duane Holmes 1615 −11* for Lawrence Ennali 2036 −7*
  13. 84'Houston Dynamo:Matthew Arana 1565 −7* for Diadie Samassekou 1850 −9*
  14. 88'Minnesota United FC:Carlos Harvey 1929 −8* for Tomás Chancalay 1890 −8*
  15. 88'Minnesota United FC:Kyle Duncan 1934 −9* for Cherrion Valerius 1680 −8*
  16. 89'Houston Dynamo:Duncan McGuire 1826 −8* for Agustín Bouzat 1847 −10*
  17. 90+2'Houston Dynamo:Duncan McGuire 1826 −8* assist Nick Markanich 1327 −4*
  18. 90+6'Minnesota United FC:Maurice Malone 1838 −8* for Kelvin Yeboah 1943 −9*

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

3-4-3Formations5-3-2
GD. Callender2002−8*
DCherrion Valerius1680−8*
DM. Boxall1588−19*
DM. Duggan1920−9*
MB. Hlongwane1944−8*
MO. Gene1886−8*
MW. Trapp1796−13*
MA. Markanich1907−8*
FA. Jackson1959−8*
FK. Yeboah1943−9*
FT. Chancalay1890−8*
CC. Knowles1538−8*
GJ. Bond2042−8*
DFelipe Andrade2023−7*
DLucas Halter2005−7*
DArtur1969−9*
DAntônio Carlos1946−11*
DL. Ennali2036−7*
MM. Bogusz2112−7*
MD. Samassékou1850−9*
MA. Bouzat1847−10*
FL. Foster1970−5*
FGuilherme2036−10*
CBen Olsen2038−6*
Before kick-off: 34% · 29% · 37%(Minnesota United FC · draw · Houston Dynamo)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 2–2 had 5%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Minnesota United FC €2.1M, Houston Dynamo €2.3M.
  • Minnesota United FC were without 1 expected starter: J. Díaz (1948).
  • Houston Dynamo were without 1 expected starter: H. Herrera (1821).
  • Home advantage made Minnesota United FC the favourite: it added 9 points to their win chance.
  • All 11 of Houston Dynamo's expected starters were past their position's peak age.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Minnesota United FC

14th in MLS · 29 pts from 27

  • 27 SepLSeattle Sounders 1860
  • 20 SepLLos Angeles Galaxy 1916
  • 13 SepLSt. Louis City 1902
  • 10 SepLFC Dallas 1892
  • 6 SepLPortland Timbers 1898

Houston Dynamo

5th in MLS · 44 pts from 27

  • 27 SepLSporting Kansas City 1990
  • 20 SepDFC Cincinnati 2005
  • 13 SepLSan Jose Earthquakes 2011
  • 10 SepWReal Salt Lake 1989
  • 5 SepDCharlotte 1999

Season outlook

From the Major League Soccer simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Minnesota United FC29 /2737.80%0%15%27th
Houston Dynamo44 /2754.30%11%0%10th
Minnesota United FC
Houston Dynamo

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 30th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Major League Soccer

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

A. Markanich
A. Markanich

Minnesota United FC · +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1915

Guilherme
Guilherme

Houston Dynamo · +4.5 (Good) · Elo 2046

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Cameron Knowles

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Benjamin Robert Olsen

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Minnesota United FC: direct (how Cameron Knowles plays) · Houston Dynamo: possession-based (how Benjamin Robert Olsen plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.