FA Cup · 1/128-finals
Milton Keynes Dons vs Swindon Town
Sat 7 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UTC · Stadium MK, Milton Keynes
Milton Keynes Dons host Swindon Town on Sat 7 Nov 2026 (FA Cup); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Milton Keynes Dons 64%, draw 22%, Swindon Town 15%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Milton Keynes Dons €593K, Swindon Town €215K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Milton Keynes Dons goals first.
- 2–011%
- 1–110%
- 2–110%
- 1–09%
- 3–08%
- 3–17%
- Other scores45%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com2–1expected 1.0 pts
Team Elo: Milton Keynes Dons 1844 · Swindon Town 1610
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Milton Keynes Dons · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1903
Swindon Town · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Good) · Elo 1709
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Milton Keynes Dons
14th in League One · 15 pts from 12
- 27 OctWBromley England League One1834
- 24 OctWStevenage England League One1807
- 20 OctLBlackpool England League One1820
- 17 OctWLuton England League One1797
- 10 OctLReading England League One1803
Swindon Town
14th in League Two · 16 pts from 13
- 24 OctDBristol Rovers England League Two1612
- 20 OctWBarnet England League Two1518
- 17 OctDWalsall England League Two1557
- 10 OctLCrewe England League Two1534
- 3 OctLRochdale England League Two1542
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Milton Keynes Dons: possession-based (how Paul Warne plays) · Swindon Town: balanced profile (how Scott Holloway Ian plays)