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League One · Regular Season - 10

Milton Keynes Dons 1–5 Reading

Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC · Stadium MK, Milton Keynes

Milton Keynes Dons crestMilton Keynes DonsTeam 1785
1–5
Full time
HT 0–1
Reading crestReadingTeam 1767

Match story

Milton Keynes Dons · draw · Reading

Before kick-off: 44% · 28% · 28%

Live chances: Milton Keynes Dons 0%, draw 0%, Reading 100% at 90+6'1' · 0–0 · Milton Keynes Dons 44%, draw 28%, Reading 28%2' · 0–0 · Milton Keynes Dons 44%, draw 28%, Reading 28%3' · 0–0 · Milton Keynes Dons 44%, draw 28%, Reading 28%4' · 0–0 · Milton Keynes Dons 44%, draw 28%, Reading 28%5' · 0–0 · Milton Keynes Dons 44%, draw 28%, Reading 28%6' · 0–0 · Milton Keynes Dons 44%, draw 28%, Reading 28%7' · 0–0 · Milton Keynes Dons 43%, draw 29%, Reading 28%8' · 0–0 · Milton Keynes Dons 43%, draw 29%, Reading 28%9' · 0–0 · Milton Keynes Dons 43%, draw 29%, Reading 28%10' · 0–0 · Milton Keynes Dons 43%, draw 29%, Reading 28%11' · 0–0 · Milton Keynes Dons 43%, draw 29%, Reading 28%13' · 0–0 · Milton Keynes Dons 43%, draw 30%, Reading 28%14' · 0–0 · Milton Keynes Dons 42%, draw 30%, Reading 28%16' · 0–0 · Milton Keynes Dons 42%, draw 30%, Reading 28%17' · 0–0 · Milton Keynes Dons 42%, draw 30%, Reading 28%18' · 0–0 · Milton Keynes Dons 42%, draw 30%, Reading 28%19' · 0–0 · Milton Keynes Dons 42%, draw 31%, Reading 28%20' · 0–0 · Milton Keynes Dons 42%, draw 31%, Reading 28%21' · 0–0 · Milton Keynes Dons 41%, draw 31%, Reading 27%22' · 0–0 · Milton Keynes Dons 41%, draw 31%, Reading 27%23' · 0–0 · Milton Keynes Dons 41%, draw 31%, Reading 27%24' · 0–0 · Milton Keynes Dons 41%, draw 32%, Reading 27%25' · 0–0 · Milton Keynes Dons 41%, draw 32%, Reading 27%26' · 0–0 · Milton Keynes Dons 41%, draw 32%, Reading 27%27' · 0–0 · Milton Keynes Dons 40%, draw 32%, Reading 27%28' · 0–0 · Milton Keynes Dons 40%, draw 33%, Reading 27%29' · 0–0 · Milton Keynes Dons 40%, draw 33%, Reading 27%30' · 0–0 · Milton Keynes Dons 40%, draw 33%, Reading 27%31' · 0–0 · Milton Keynes Dons 40%, draw 33%, Reading 27%32' · 0–0 · Milton Keynes Dons 39%, draw 34%, Reading 27%34' · 0–0 · Milton Keynes Dons 39%, draw 34%, Reading 27%35' · 0–0 · Milton Keynes Dons 39%, draw 34%, Reading 27%36' · 0–0 · Milton Keynes Dons 39%, draw 35%, Reading 27%37' · 0–0 · Milton Keynes Dons 38%, draw 35%, Reading 27%38' · 0–0 · Milton Keynes Dons 38%, draw 35%, Reading 26%39' · 0–0 · Milton Keynes Dons 38%, draw 36%, Reading 26%40' · 0–1 · Milton Keynes Dons 17%, draw 27%, Reading 56%41' · 0–1 · Milton Keynes Dons 17%, draw 27%, Reading 57%42' · 0–1 · Milton Keynes Dons 16%, draw 27%, Reading 57%43' · 0–1 · Milton Keynes Dons 16%, draw 27%, Reading 57%44' · 0–1 · Milton Keynes Dons 16%, draw 27%, Reading 58%45' · 0–1 · Milton Keynes Dons 15%, draw 27%, Reading 58%45+1' · 0–1 · Milton Keynes Dons 15%, draw 27%, Reading 58%HT · 0–1 · Milton Keynes Dons 14%, draw 27%, Reading 59%47' · 0–1 · Milton Keynes Dons 14%, draw 27%, Reading 59%48' · 0–2 · Milton Keynes Dons 2%, draw 9%, Reading 89%49' · 0–2 · Milton Keynes Dons 2%, draw 8%, Reading 89%50' · 0–2 · Milton Keynes Dons 2%, draw 8%, Reading 90%51' · 0–2 · Milton Keynes Dons 2%, draw 8%, Reading 90%52' · 0–2 · Milton Keynes Dons 2%, draw 8%, Reading 90%53' · 0–2 · Milton Keynes Dons 2%, draw 8%, Reading 90%54' · 0–2 · Milton Keynes Dons 2%, draw 7%, Reading 91%55' · 0–2 · Milton Keynes Dons 2%, draw 7%, Reading 91%56' · 0–2 · Milton Keynes Dons 2%, draw 7%, Reading 91%57' · 0–2 · Milton Keynes Dons 1%, draw 7%, Reading 92%58' · 0–2 · Milton Keynes Dons 1%, draw 7%, Reading 92%59' · 0–2 · Milton Keynes Dons 1%, draw 6%, Reading 92%60' · 0–2 · Milton Keynes Dons 1%, draw 6%, Reading 93%61' · 0–2 · Milton Keynes Dons 1%, draw 6%, Reading 93%62' · 0–2 · Milton Keynes Dons 1%, draw 6%, Reading 93%63' · 0–2 · Milton Keynes Dons 1%, draw 6%, Reading 93%64' · 0–2 · Milton Keynes Dons 1%, draw 5%, Reading 94%65' · 0–3 · Milton Keynes Dons 0%, draw 1%, Reading 99%66' · 0–3 · Milton Keynes Dons 0%, draw 1%, Reading 99%67' · 0–3 · Milton Keynes Dons 0%, draw 1%, Reading 99%68' · 0–3 · Milton Keynes Dons 0%, draw 1%, Reading 99%69' · 0–3 · Milton Keynes Dons 0%, draw 1%, Reading 99%70' · 0–3 · Milton Keynes Dons 0%, draw 1%, Reading 99%71' · 0–3 · Milton Keynes Dons 0%, draw 0%, Reading 99%72' · 0–3 · Milton Keynes Dons 0%, draw 0%, Reading 100%73' · 0–3 · Milton Keynes Dons 0%, draw 0%, Reading 100%74' · 0–3 · Milton Keynes Dons 0%, draw 0%, Reading 100%75' · 0–3 · Milton Keynes Dons 0%, draw 0%, Reading 100%76' · 0–3 · Milton Keynes Dons 0%, draw 0%, Reading 100%77' · 0–3 · Milton Keynes Dons 0%, draw 0%, Reading 100%78' · 0–3 · Milton Keynes Dons 0%, draw 0%, Reading 100%79' · 0–3 · Milton Keynes Dons 0%, draw 0%, Reading 100%80' · 0–3 · Milton Keynes Dons 0%, draw 0%, Reading 100%81' · 0–3 · Milton Keynes Dons 0%, draw 0%, Reading 100%82' · 0–4 · Milton Keynes Dons 0%, draw 0%, Reading 100%83' · 0–4 · Milton Keynes Dons 0%, draw 0%, Reading 100%84' · 0–4 · Milton Keynes Dons 0%, draw 0%, Reading 100%85' · 0–4 · Milton Keynes Dons 0%, draw 0%, Reading 100%86' · 1–4 · Milton Keynes Dons 0%, draw 0%, Reading 100%87' · 1–4 · Milton Keynes Dons 0%, draw 0%, Reading 100%88' · 1–5 · Milton Keynes Dons 0%, draw 0%, Reading 100%89' · 1–5 · Milton Keynes Dons 0%, draw 0%, Reading 100%90' · 1–5 · Milton Keynes Dons 0%, draw 0%, Reading 100%90+1' · 1–5 · Milton Keynes Dons 0%, draw 0%, Reading 100%90+2' · 1–5 · Milton Keynes Dons 0%, draw 0%, Reading 100%90+3' · 1–5 · Milton Keynes Dons 0%, draw 0%, Reading 100%90+4' · 1–5 · Milton Keynes Dons 0%, draw 0%, Reading 100%90+5' · 1–5 · Milton Keynes Dons 0%, draw 0%, Reading 100%90+6' · 1–5 · Milton Keynes Dons 0%, draw 0%, Reading 100%

Last reading, 90+6': 0% · 0% · 100%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Milton Keynes Dons 44% to win: Reading won.

  1. 28'Reading:Haydon Roberts 1817 +19
  2. 38'Reading:P. Lane 1882 +44 assist Udoka Godwin-Malife 1888 +42
  3. 47'Reading:Cohen Bramall 1733 −10* (own goal)
  4. 55'Milton Keynes Dons:Alex Gilbey 1782 −12* for Daniel Barlaser 1845 −8
  5. 55'Milton Keynes Dons:ibrahim fullah 1665 0 for Curtis Nelson 1746 −12*
  6. 64'Reading:Kyreece Joshua Lisbie 1639 +114
  7. 73'Milton Keynes Dons:Marvin Ekpiteta 1808 −7
  8. 80'Reading:Kyreece Joshua Lisbie 1639 +114
  9. 81'Reading:Jacob Brown 1787 +5 for Jamie Reid 1730 +62
  10. 82'Milton Keynes Dons:Samuel Silvera 1949 −2 for Gethin Jones 1787 −12*
  11. 82'Milton Keynes Dons:Jack Sanders 1858 −2 for Marvin Ekpiteta 1808 −7
  12. 85'Milton Keynes Dons:Aaron Collins 1792 −9 assist Samuel Silvera 1949 −2
  13. 86'Reading:Daniel·Kyerewaa 1752 +1 for Haydon Roberts 1817 +19
  14. 86'Reading:Randell Williams 1836 −1 for Kyreece Joshua Lisbie 1639 +114
  15. 87'Reading:Jacob Brown 1787 +5 assist Josh Stokes 1878 +45
  16. 90+1'Reading:Liam Fraser 1752 −1 for Andy Rinomhota 1801 +19

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

3-1-4-2Formations4-2-3-1
GW. Dennis1797−3
DM. Ekpiteta1808−7
DC. Nelson1746−12*
DC. Goode1770−3
MD. Barlaser1845−8
MG. Jones1787−12*
MB. Wiles1834−9
MR. Wintle1888−18
MC. Bramall1733−10*
FS. Nombe1710−1
FA. Collins1792−9
CP. Warne1829−15
GJoel Pereira1883+14
DU. Godwin-Malife1888+42
DP. O'Connor1879+43
DBenn David Ward1884+14
DH. Roberts1817+19
ML. Wing1820+16
MA. Rinomhota1801+19
MKyreece Lisbie1639+114
MJ. Stokes1878+45
MP. Lane1882+44
FJ. Reid1730+62
CL. Richardson1850+34
Before kick-off: 44% · 28% · 28%(Milton Keynes Dons · draw · Reading)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 1–5 had <1%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Milton Keynes Dons €589K, Reading €541K.
  • Home advantage made Milton Keynes Dons the favourite: it added 7 points to their win chance.
  • All 11 of Milton Keynes Dons' expected starters were past their position's peak age.
  • Milton Keynes Dons were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Milton Keynes Dons

22nd in League One · 6 pts from 7

  • 6 OctWBrentford U21 1742
  • 22 SepWCrawley Town 1780
  • 17 SepDAFC Wimbledon 1759
  • 12 SepDPeterborough 1769
  • 5 SepDWycombe 1797

Reading

7th in League One · 12 pts from 8

  • 3 OctDBradford 1804
  • 26 SepDWycombe 1799
  • 19 SepWNotts County 1785
  • 15 SepLBrentford 1783
  • 12 SepLCambridge United 1798

Season outlook

From the League One simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Milton Keynes Dons6 /758.1<1%4%11%16th
Reading12 /865.73%22%2%5th
Milton Keynes Dons
Reading

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: League One

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

A. Collins
A. Collins

Milton Keynes Dons · +0.9 (Good) · Elo 1800

P. O'Connor
P. O'Connor

Reading · +0.9 (Average) · Elo 1835

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Paul Warne

Coach DNA: direct

Leam Nathan Richardson

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Milton Keynes Dons: possession-based (how Paul Warne plays) · Reading: balanced profile (how Leam Nathan Richardson plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.