League One · Regular Season - 14
Milton Keynes Dons vs Doncaster
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC · Stadium MK, Milton Keynes
Milton Keynes Dons host Doncaster on Sat 31 Oct 2026 (League One); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Milton Keynes Dons 49%, draw 27%, Doncaster 24%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Milton Keynes Dons €487K, Doncaster €438K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Milton Keynes Dons goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–110%
- 2–09%
- 0–08%
- 1–26%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Milton Keynes Dons 1807 · Doncaster 1731
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Milton Keynes Dons · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1836
Doncaster · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Average) · Elo 1760
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Milton Keynes Dons
18th in League One · 9 pts from 9
- 17 OctWLuton England League One1797
- 10 OctLReading England League One1803
- 6 OctWBrentford U21 England EFL Trophy1742
- 22 SepWCrawley Town England EFL Trophy1780
- 17 SepDAFC Wimbledon England League One1759
Doncaster
17th in League One · 9 pts from 9
- 17 OctLLeicester England League One1742
- 10 OctWBurton Albion England League One1723
- 6 OctWLiverpool U21 England EFL Trophy1714
- 19 SepWPeterborough England League One1706
- 12 SepLAFC Wimbledon England League One1713
Season outlook
From the League One simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milton Keynes Dons | 9 /9 | 58.1 | <1% | 3% | 8% | 15th |
| Doncaster | 9 /9 | 53.7 | 0% | 1% | 20% | 21st |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Milton Keynes Dons: possession-based (how Paul Warne plays) · Doncaster: balanced profile (how Grant Samuel McCann plays)