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Championship · Regular Season - 10

Millwall 0–1 Swansea

Tue 13 Oct 2026 · 18:45 UTC · The Den, London

Millwall crestMillwallTeam 1964
0–1
Full time
HT 0–0
Swansea crestSwanseaTeam 2001

Match story

Millwall · draw · Swansea

Before kick-off: 38% · 29% · 32%

Live chances: Millwall 0%, draw 0%, Swansea 100% at 90+8'2' · 0–0 · Millwall 38%, draw 29%, Swansea 32%3' · 0–0 · Millwall 38%, draw 30%, Swansea 32%4' · 0–0 · Millwall 38%, draw 30%, Swansea 32%5' · 0–0 · Millwall 38%, draw 30%, Swansea 32%6' · 0–0 · Millwall 38%, draw 30%, Swansea 32%7' · 0–0 · Millwall 38%, draw 30%, Swansea 32%9' · 0–0 · Millwall 38%, draw 30%, Swansea 32%10' · 0–0 · Millwall 38%, draw 31%, Swansea 32%11' · 0–0 · Millwall 38%, draw 31%, Swansea 32%12' · 0–0 · Millwall 37%, draw 31%, Swansea 32%13' · 0–0 · Millwall 37%, draw 31%, Swansea 32%14' · 0–0 · Millwall 37%, draw 31%, Swansea 31%15' · 0–0 · Millwall 37%, draw 31%, Swansea 31%16' · 0–0 · Millwall 37%, draw 32%, Swansea 31%17' · 0–0 · Millwall 37%, draw 32%, Swansea 31%18' · 0–0 · Millwall 37%, draw 32%, Swansea 31%19' · 0–0 · Millwall 37%, draw 32%, Swansea 31%20' · 0–0 · Millwall 37%, draw 32%, Swansea 31%21' · 0–0 · Millwall 36%, draw 33%, Swansea 31%22' · 0–0 · Millwall 36%, draw 33%, Swansea 31%23' · 0–0 · Millwall 36%, draw 33%, Swansea 31%24' · 0–0 · Millwall 36%, draw 33%, Swansea 31%25' · 0–0 · Millwall 36%, draw 33%, Swansea 31%26' · 0–0 · Millwall 36%, draw 34%, Swansea 31%27' · 0–0 · Millwall 36%, draw 34%, Swansea 31%28' · 0–0 · Millwall 36%, draw 34%, Swansea 30%29' · 0–0 · Millwall 35%, draw 34%, Swansea 30%30' · 0–0 · Millwall 35%, draw 35%, Swansea 30%31' · 0–0 · Millwall 35%, draw 35%, Swansea 30%32' · 0–0 · Millwall 35%, draw 35%, Swansea 30%33' · 0–0 · Millwall 35%, draw 35%, Swansea 30%34' · 0–0 · Millwall 35%, draw 36%, Swansea 30%35' · 0–0 · Millwall 34%, draw 36%, Swansea 30%36' · 0–0 · Millwall 34%, draw 36%, Swansea 30%37' · 0–0 · Millwall 34%, draw 36%, Swansea 29%38' · 0–0 · Millwall 34%, draw 37%, Swansea 29%39' · 0–0 · Millwall 34%, draw 37%, Swansea 29%40' · 0–0 · Millwall 33%, draw 37%, Swansea 29%41' · 0–0 · Millwall 33%, draw 38%, Swansea 29%42' · 0–0 · Millwall 33%, draw 38%, Swansea 29%43' · 0–0 · Millwall 33%, draw 38%, Swansea 29%44' · 0–0 · Millwall 33%, draw 39%, Swansea 28%45' · 0–0 · Millwall 33%, draw 39%, Swansea 28%45+1' · 0–0 · Millwall 32%, draw 40%, Swansea 28%45+2' · 0–0 · Millwall 32%, draw 40%, Swansea 28%HT · 0–0 · Millwall 32%, draw 41%, Swansea 28%46' · 0–0 · Millwall 32%, draw 41%, Swansea 28%47' · 0–0 · Millwall 31%, draw 41%, Swansea 28%49' · 0–0 · Millwall 31%, draw 42%, Swansea 27%50' · 0–0 · Millwall 31%, draw 42%, Swansea 27%51' · 0–0 · Millwall 30%, draw 43%, Swansea 27%52' · 0–0 · Millwall 30%, draw 44%, Swansea 26%53' · 0–0 · Millwall 30%, draw 44%, Swansea 26%54' · 0–0 · Millwall 29%, draw 45%, Swansea 26%55' · 0–0 · Millwall 29%, draw 45%, Swansea 26%56' · 0–0 · Millwall 29%, draw 46%, Swansea 25%57' · 0–0 · Millwall 28%, draw 47%, Swansea 25%59' · 0–0 · Millwall 28%, draw 48%, Swansea 24%60' · 0–0 · Millwall 27%, draw 49%, Swansea 24%61' · 0–0 · Millwall 27%, draw 49%, Swansea 24%63' · 0–0 · Millwall 26%, draw 51%, Swansea 23%64' · 0–0 · Millwall 26%, draw 52%, Swansea 23%65' · 0–0 · Millwall 25%, draw 52%, Swansea 22%66' · 0–0 · Millwall 25%, draw 53%, Swansea 22%68' · 0–0 · Millwall 24%, draw 55%, Swansea 21%69' · 0–0 · Millwall 23%, draw 56%, Swansea 21%70' · 0–0 · Millwall 23%, draw 57%, Swansea 20%71' · 0–0 · Millwall 22%, draw 58%, Swansea 20%73' · 0–0 · Millwall 21%, draw 60%, Swansea 19%74' · 0–0 · Millwall 21%, draw 61%, Swansea 19%75' · 0–0 · Millwall 20%, draw 62%, Swansea 18%77' · 0–0 · Millwall 19%, draw 64%, Swansea 17%78' · 0–0 · Millwall 18%, draw 65%, Swansea 17%79' · 0–0 · Millwall 18%, draw 66%, Swansea 16%80' · 0–0 · Millwall 17%, draw 68%, Swansea 15%81' · 0–0 · Millwall 16%, draw 69%, Swansea 15%82' · 0–0 · Millwall 15%, draw 70%, Swansea 14%83' · 0–0 · Millwall 15%, draw 72%, Swansea 13%84' · 0–0 · Millwall 14%, draw 73%, Swansea 13%85' · 0–0 · Millwall 13%, draw 75%, Swansea 12%86' · 0–0 · Millwall 12%, draw 76%, Swansea 11%87' · 0–0 · Millwall 11%, draw 78%, Swansea 10%88' · 0–0 · Millwall 10%, draw 80%, Swansea 10%89' · 0–0 · Millwall 9%, draw 82%, Swansea 9%90' · 0–0 · Millwall 8%, draw 84%, Swansea 8%90+1' · 0–1 · Millwall 0%, draw 8%, Swansea 92%90+2' · 0–1 · Millwall 0%, draw 7%, Swansea 93%90+3' · 0–1 · Millwall 0%, draw 5%, Swansea 94%90+4' · 0–1 · Millwall 0%, draw 4%, Swansea 96%90+5' · 0–1 · Millwall 0%, draw 2%, Swansea 98%90+6' · 0–1 · Millwall 0%, draw 1%, Swansea 99%90+7' · 0–1 · Millwall 0%, draw 0%, Swansea 100%90+8' · 0–1 · Millwall 0%, draw 0%, Swansea 100%

Last reading, 90+8': 0% · 0% · 100%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Millwall 38% to win: Swansea won.

  1. 15'Swansea:Jay Fulton 1850 +11
  2. 23'Millwall:Derek Mazou Sacko 1853 0
  3. 23'Swansea:Vitor Matos
  4. 44'Millwall:Lyndon Dykes 1922 −3
  5. 51'Millwall:Zak Sturge 2107 −11
  6. 64'Millwall:Tristan Crama 2114 −3 for Jordi Osei-Tutu 1971 −10*
  7. 64'Millwall:Luke Cundle 1979 0 for Jenson Metcalfe 1962 0
  8. 65'Millwall:Yanis Ali Issoufou 1706 −8* for Kyrell Lisbie 1823 0
  9. 65'Swansea:Ross Stewart 1956 −5* for Zan Vipotnik 2058 +8
  10. 65'Swansea:melker widell 1973 +10 for Elijah Just 1871 +14
  11. 65'Swansea:Goncalo Franco 2012 +5 for Jay Fulton 1850 +11
  12. 77'Swansea:Stephen Welsh 2052 +4 for Jenson Seelt 1957 +39
  13. 83'Swansea:Filip Lissah 1928 +49
  14. 84'Millwall:Alfie Doughty 1980 −8* for Mark Sykes 1929 −2
  15. 84'Swansea:Ronald Pereira Martins 2018 −6* for Moussa Kounfolo Yeo 1985 +14
  16. 90'Swansea:Ronald Pereira Martins 2018 −6* assist Joseph Amankwaah Opoku 1888 +57
  17. 90+2'Millwall:D. Kelly 1794 −8* for Camiel Neghli 2138 −13

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-2-3-1Formations4-3-3
GF. Marschall18090
DJ. Osei-Tutu1971−10*
DC. Taylor2109−32
DJ. Cooper2126−15
DZak Norton Sturge2107−11
MD. Mazou-Sacko18530
MJenson Metcalfe19620
MM. Sykes1929−2
MC. Neghli2138−13
MK. Lisbie18230
FL. Dykes1922−3
CA. Neil2097−19
GL. Vigouroux2099+8
DF. Lissah1928+49
DB. Cabango2129+22
DJ. Seelt1957+39
DJ. Tymon2112+24
ME. Just1871+14
MJ. Fulton1850+11
MM. Stamenić2103+26
FJoseph Okopu1888+57
FZ. Vipotnik2058+8
FM. Yeo1985+14
CVítor Matos2088+19
Before kick-off: 38% · 29% · 32%(Millwall · draw · Swansea)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 0–1 had 8%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Millwall €3.0M, Swansea €3.1M.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Millwall

8th in Championship · 14 pts from 9

  • 10 OctWPreston 1978
  • 19 SepDWest Ham 1990
  • 15 SepDMiddlesbrough 1998
  • 12 SepLBlackburn 2014
  • 8 SepLNewcastle 1931

Swansea

1st in Championship · 20 pts from 9

  • 10 OctWNorwich 1968
  • 19 SepWLincoln 1975
  • 12 SepWBurnley 1961
  • 8 SepLSouthampton 1916
  • 5 SepDWrexham 1961

Season outlook

From the Championship simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Millwall14 /968.02%17%<1%6th
Swansea20 /973.36%38%0%3rd
Millwall
Swansea

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Championship

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

C. Taylor
C. Taylor

Millwall · +2.7 (Good) · Elo 2140

M. Stamenić
M. Stamenić

Swansea · +2.1 (Good) · Elo 2077

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Alexander Francis Neil

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Vitor Emanuel Soares Matos

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Millwall: direct · high-pressing (how Alexander Francis Neil plays) · Swansea: possession-based (how Vitor Emanuel Soares Matos plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.