Championship · Regular Season - 16
Millwall vs QPR
Sat 21 Nov 2026 · 12:30 UTC · The Den, London
Millwall host QPR on Sat 21 Nov 2026 (Championship); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Millwall 43%, draw 28%, QPR 29%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Millwall €3.6M, QPR €2.8M.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Millwall goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–08%
- 2–07%
- 0–17%
- Other scores46%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com2–1expected 0.7 pts
voetbalpoules.nl1–0expected 3.5 pts
Team Elo: Millwall 1987 · QPR 1971
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Millwall · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Good) · Elo 2052
QPR · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Average) · Elo 2099
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Millwall
16th in Championship · 18 pts from 15
- 7 NovLWest Brom England Championship2008
- 3 NovLBirmingham England Championship2012
- 31 OctWDerby England Championship1995
- 24 OctLPortsmouth England Championship2005
- 17 OctDLincoln England Championship1991
QPR
8th in Championship · 24 pts from 15
- 7 NovWLincoln England Championship1966
- 3 NovDBurnley England Championship1981
- 31 OctLSouthampton England Championship1980
- 24 OctWSwansea England Championship1929
- 17 OctLBirmingham England Championship1916
Season outlook
From the Championship simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Millwall | 18 /15 | 60.7 | 0% | 1% | 2% | 12th |
| QPR | 24 /15 | 65.2 | <1% | 5% | 1% | 10th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Millwall: direct · high-pressing (how A. Neil plays) · QPR: balanced profile (how Julien Stéphan plays)