Primera A · Clausura - 13
Millonarios vs Once Caldas
Wed 21 Oct 2026 · 01:30 UTC · Estadio El Campin, Bogota
Millonarios host Once Caldas on Wed 21 Oct 2026 (Primera A); on the confirmed line-ups our model gives Millonarios 52%, draw 27%, Once Caldas 21%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Millonarios €451K, Once Caldas €404K.
- Millonarios are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Prediction — confirmed line-ups
Provisional, from both squads' Elo: 51% · 27% · 23%
Most likely scores
On the confirmed line-ups. Millonarios goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–011%
- 2–010%
- 2–110%
- 0–09%
- 0–16%
- Other scores41%
Team Elo: Millonarios 1724 · Once Caldas 1678
Confirmed line-ups
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Millonarios · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +6.0 (Elite) · Elo 1784
Once Caldas · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.9 (Average) · Elo 1719
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Millonarios
10th in Primera A · 26 pts from 19
- 17 OctWJaguares Colombia Primera A1689
- 9 OctDFortaleza FC Colombia Primera A1693
- 30 SepDIndependiente Medellin Colombia Primera A1670
- 25 SepDAtletico Nacional Colombia Primera A1698
- 19 SepWChico Colombia Primera A1703
Once Caldas
5th in Primera A · 33 pts from 19
- 18 OctWIndependiente Medellin Colombia Primera A1678
- 10 OctWLlaneros Colombia Primera A1662
- 4 OctDInternacional de Bogota Colombia Primera A1666
- 26 SepLBucaramanga Colombia Primera A1629
- 20 SepLDeportivo Pasto Colombia Primera A1654
Season outlook
From the Primera A simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Millonarios | 26 /19 | 32.6 | 0% | <1% | 0% | 12th |
| Once Caldas | 33 /19 | 40.7 | <1% | 54% | 0% | 4th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Millonarios: balanced profile (how Alberto Miguel Gamero Morillo plays) · Once Caldas: balanced profile (how Hernán Darío Herrera Ramírez plays)