NewPlayerElo now rates women's footballExplore →
← All matches

Primera A · Clausura - 15

Millonarios 4–1 Jaguares

Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 23:00 UTC · Estadio El Campin, Bogota

Millonarios crestMillonariosTeam 1668
4–1
Full time
HT 2–1
Jaguares crestJaguaresTeam 1412

Match story

Millonarios · draw · Jaguares

Before kick-off: 67% · 20% · 12%

Live chances: Millonarios 100%, draw 0%, Jaguares 0% at 90+4'1' · 0–0 · Millonarios 67%, draw 20%, Jaguares 12%2' · 0–0 · Millonarios 67%, draw 21%, Jaguares 12%3' · 0–0 · Millonarios 67%, draw 21%, Jaguares 12%4' · 0–0 · Millonarios 67%, draw 21%, Jaguares 12%5' · 0–0 · Millonarios 67%, draw 21%, Jaguares 12%6' · 0–0 · Millonarios 66%, draw 21%, Jaguares 13%7' · 0–0 · Millonarios 66%, draw 21%, Jaguares 13%8' · 0–0 · Millonarios 66%, draw 21%, Jaguares 13%9' · 0–0 · Millonarios 66%, draw 22%, Jaguares 13%10' · 0–0 · Millonarios 65%, draw 22%, Jaguares 13%11' · 0–0 · Millonarios 65%, draw 22%, Jaguares 13%12' · 0–0 · Millonarios 65%, draw 22%, Jaguares 13%13' · 0–0 · Millonarios 65%, draw 22%, Jaguares 13%14' · 0–0 · Millonarios 64%, draw 22%, Jaguares 13%15' · 0–0 · Millonarios 64%, draw 23%, Jaguares 13%16' · 0–0 · Millonarios 64%, draw 23%, Jaguares 13%17' · 0–0 · Millonarios 64%, draw 23%, Jaguares 13%18' · 0–0 · Millonarios 63%, draw 23%, Jaguares 13%19' · 0–0 · Millonarios 63%, draw 23%, Jaguares 13%20' · 0–0 · Millonarios 63%, draw 24%, Jaguares 13%21' · 0–0 · Millonarios 63%, draw 24%, Jaguares 14%22' · 0–0 · Millonarios 62%, draw 24%, Jaguares 14%23' · 0–0 · Millonarios 62%, draw 24%, Jaguares 14%24' · 0–0 · Millonarios 62%, draw 24%, Jaguares 14%25' · 0–0 · Millonarios 62%, draw 25%, Jaguares 14%26' · 0–0 · Millonarios 61%, draw 25%, Jaguares 14%27' · 0–0 · Millonarios 61%, draw 25%, Jaguares 14%28' · 0–0 · Millonarios 61%, draw 25%, Jaguares 14%29' · 0–0 · Millonarios 60%, draw 26%, Jaguares 14%30' · 0–0 · Millonarios 60%, draw 26%, Jaguares 14%31' · 0–0 · Millonarios 60%, draw 26%, Jaguares 14%32' · 0–0 · Millonarios 59%, draw 26%, Jaguares 14%33' · 0–0 · Millonarios 59%, draw 27%, Jaguares 14%34' · 0–0 · Millonarios 59%, draw 27%, Jaguares 14%35' · 1–0 · Millonarios 84%, draw 12%, Jaguares 4%36' · 1–0 · Millonarios 84%, draw 12%, Jaguares 4%37' · 1–0 · Millonarios 84%, draw 13%, Jaguares 4%38' · 1–0 · Millonarios 84%, draw 13%, Jaguares 4%39' · 1–0 · Millonarios 84%, draw 13%, Jaguares 4%40' · 2–0 · Millonarios 97%, draw 3%, Jaguares 1%41' · 2–0 · Millonarios 97%, draw 3%, Jaguares 1%42' · 2–0 · Millonarios 97%, draw 3%, Jaguares 0%43' · 2–0 · Millonarios 97%, draw 3%, Jaguares 0%44' · 2–0 · Millonarios 97%, draw 3%, Jaguares 0%45' · 2–0 · Millonarios 97%, draw 3%, Jaguares 0%45+1' · 2–0 · Millonarios 97%, draw 3%, Jaguares 0%45+2' · 2–0 · Millonarios 97%, draw 3%, Jaguares 0%45+3' · 2–0 · Millonarios 97%, draw 3%, Jaguares 0%45+4' · 2–0 · Millonarios 97%, draw 3%, Jaguares 0%45+5' · 2–0 · Millonarios 97%, draw 3%, Jaguares 0%45+6' · 2–0 · Millonarios 97%, draw 3%, Jaguares 0%45+7' · 2–0 · Millonarios 97%, draw 3%, Jaguares 0%HT · 2–1 · Millonarios 83%, draw 13%, Jaguares 3%46' · 2–1 · Millonarios 83%, draw 13%, Jaguares 3%47' · 2–1 · Millonarios 83%, draw 13%, Jaguares 3%49' · 2–1 · Millonarios 83%, draw 13%, Jaguares 3%50' · 2–1 · Millonarios 83%, draw 13%, Jaguares 3%51' · 2–1 · Millonarios 83%, draw 13%, Jaguares 3%52' · 2–1 · Millonarios 84%, draw 13%, Jaguares 3%53' · 2–1 · Millonarios 84%, draw 13%, Jaguares 3%54' · 2–1 · Millonarios 84%, draw 13%, Jaguares 3%55' · 2–1 · Millonarios 84%, draw 13%, Jaguares 3%56' · 2–1 · Millonarios 84%, draw 13%, Jaguares 3%57' · 2–1 · Millonarios 84%, draw 13%, Jaguares 3%58' · 2–1 · Millonarios 84%, draw 13%, Jaguares 3%59' · 2–1 · Millonarios 84%, draw 13%, Jaguares 3%60' · 2–1 · Millonarios 84%, draw 13%, Jaguares 3%61' · 2–1 · Millonarios 84%, draw 13%, Jaguares 3%62' · 2–1 · Millonarios 84%, draw 13%, Jaguares 2%63' · 3–1 · Millonarios 98%, draw 2%, Jaguares 0%64' · 3–1 · Millonarios 98%, draw 2%, Jaguares 0%65' · 3–1 · Millonarios 98%, draw 2%, Jaguares 0%66' · 3–1 · Millonarios 98%, draw 2%, Jaguares 0%67' · 3–1 · Millonarios 98%, draw 2%, Jaguares 0%68' · 3–1 · Millonarios 98%, draw 2%, Jaguares 0%69' · 3–1 · Millonarios 98%, draw 2%, Jaguares 0%70' · 4–1 · Millonarios 100%, draw 0%, Jaguares 0%71' · 4–1 · Millonarios 100%, draw 0%, Jaguares 0%72' · 4–1 · Millonarios 100%, draw 0%, Jaguares 0%73' · 4–1 · Millonarios 100%, draw 0%, Jaguares 0%74' · 4–1 · Millonarios 100%, draw 0%, Jaguares 0%75' · 4–1 · Millonarios 100%, draw 0%, Jaguares 0%76' · 4–1 · Millonarios 100%, draw 0%, Jaguares 0%77' · 4–1 · Millonarios 100%, draw 0%, Jaguares 0%78' · 4–1 · Millonarios 100%, draw 0%, Jaguares 0%79' · 4–1 · Millonarios 100%, draw 0%, Jaguares 0%80' · 4–1 · Millonarios 100%, draw 0%, Jaguares 0%81' · 4–1 · Millonarios 100%, draw 0%, Jaguares 0%82' · 4–1 · Millonarios 100%, draw 0%, Jaguares 0%83' · 4–1 · Millonarios 100%, draw 0%, Jaguares 0%84' · 4–1 · Millonarios 100%, draw 0%, Jaguares 0%85' · 4–1 · Millonarios 100%, draw 0%, Jaguares 0%86' · 4–1 · Millonarios 100%, draw 0%, Jaguares 0%87' · 4–1 · Millonarios 100%, draw 0%, Jaguares 0%89' · 4–1 · Millonarios 100%, draw 0%, Jaguares 0%90' · 4–1 · Millonarios 100%, draw 0%, Jaguares 0%90+1' · 4–1 · Millonarios 100%, draw 0%, Jaguares 0%90+2' · 4–1 · Millonarios 100%, draw 0%, Jaguares 0%90+3' · 4–1 · Millonarios 100%, draw 0%, Jaguares 0%90+4' · 4–1 · Millonarios 100%, draw 0%, Jaguares 0%

Last reading, 90+4': 100% · 0% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Millonarios 67% to win: they did.

  1. 34'Millonarios:Andrey Estupinan 1740 +23 assist Leonardo Castro 1701 +25
  2. 40'Millonarios:Leonardo Castro 1701 +25 assist Daniel Felipe Ruiz Rivera 1874 +18
  3. 42'Jaguares:Wilfrido De la Rosa 1410 −6
  4. 43'Millonarios:Sergio Mosquera 1768 +6
  5. 45'Millonarios:David Silva 1385 +10
  6. 45'Jaguares:Jerson Malagon 1553 −8 for Juan Esteban Franco 1549 −3
  7. 45'Jaguares:Darwin Lopez 1219 −6 for Wilfrido De la Rosa 1410 −6
  8. 45+1'Jaguares:Cristian Alvarez 1365 −6
  9. 45+5'Jaguares:Jonathan Lovera 1322 0
  10. 61'Millonarios:Andrey Estupinan 1740 +23
  11. 63'Millonarios:Andrey Estupinan 1740 +23 assist Leonardo Castro 1701 +25
  12. 66'Jaguares:Johan Beltrán 1490 −1 for Cristian Alvarez 1365 −6
  13. 69'Jaguares:Jerson Malagon 1553 −8
  14. 70'Millonarios:Daniel Felipe Ruiz Rivera 1874 +18 assist Juan Cuadrado 1560 +36
  15. 73'Millonarios:Stiven Vega 1703 +12
  16. 75'Jaguares:Andrés Rentería 1455 −6
  17. 77'Jaguares:Santiago Cubides 1252 0 for Jonathan Lovera 1322 0
  18. 78'Jaguares:Jose Yanez for Royscer Rafael Colpa Bolano 1503 −6
  19. 78'Millonarios:Leonai·Souza de Almeida 1659 −2 for Andrey Estupinan 1740 +23
  20. 78'Millonarios:Andrés Llinás 1824 −8* for Jaine Barreiro 1894 +1
  21. 78'Millonarios:Rodrigo Contreras 1777 −9* for Leonardo Castro 1701 +25
  22. 80'Millonarios:Juan Cuadrado 1560 +36
  23. 86'Millonarios:Julian Angulo 1557 −7* for Juan Cuadrado 1560 +36
  24. 89'Millonarios:Yeiner Matias Romero Pino for David Silva 1385 +10
  25. 90'Millonarios:Sebastián Valencia 1765 +8
  26. 90+1'Millonarios:Leonai·Souza de Almeida 1659 −2

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-4-2Formations4-2-3-1
GJ. Burrai1808+5
DM. Diaz Samuel1645+43
DS. Barreiro1894+1
DS. Mosquera1768+6
DSebastián Valencia Isaza1765+8
MJ. Cuadrado1560+36
MS. Vega1703+12
MD. Silva1385+10
MD. Ruiz1874+18
FL. Castro1701+25
FA. Estupiñán1740+23
CA. Gamero1737+22
GF. Mosquera1540−6
DJ. Franco1549−3
DJ. Lovera13220
DC. Henao1437−11
DL. Jiménez1447−1
MR. Colpa1503−6
MR. Bustamante1582−9
MW. De La Rosa1410−6
MC. Álvarez1365−6
MJ. Mejia12830
FA. Rentería1455−6
CH. Bodhert1549−12
Before kick-off: 67% · 20% · 12%(Millonarios · draw · Jaguares)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 2–0 (11%); the result 4–1 had 4%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Millonarios €442K, Jaguares €168K.
  • Draw chance was 19%, below the Primera A average of 26% this round.
  • Millonarios were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Millonarios

10th in Primera A · 26 pts from 19

  • 9 OctDFortaleza FC 1693
  • 30 SepDIndependiente Medellin 1670
  • 25 SepDAtletico Nacional 1698
  • 19 SepWChico 1703
  • 14 SepWCucuta 1624

Jaguares

16th in Primera A · 18 pts from 19

  • 11 OctWDeportes Tolima 1415
  • 3 OctLÁguilas Doradas 1443
  • 27 SepLAlianza Valledupar 1422
  • 22 SepLIndependiente Medellin 1424
  • 11 SepDFortaleza FC 1440

Season outlook

From the Primera A simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Millonarios26 /1933.00%0%0%12th
Jaguares18 /1923.70%0%48%18th
Millonarios
Jaguares

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Primera A

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Sebastián Valencia Isaza
Sebastián Valencia Isaza

Millonarios · +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1757

R. Bustamante
R. Bustamante

Jaguares · +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1591

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Alberto Miguel Gamero Morillo

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Hubert Antonio Bodhert Barrios

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Millonarios: balanced profile (how Alberto Miguel Gamero Morillo plays) · Jaguares: balanced profile (how Hubert Antonio Bodhert Barrios plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.