Primera A · Clausura - 17
Millonarios vs America de Cali
Wed 4 Nov 2026 · 01:10 UTC
Millonarios host America de Cali on Wed 4 Nov 2026 (Primera A); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Millonarios 44%, draw 28%, America de Cali 28%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Millonarios €479K, America de Cali €608K.
- Home advantage makes Millonarios the favourite here: it adds 12 points to their win chance.
- Millonarios are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Millonarios goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–19%
- 0–08%
- 2–08%
- 0–17%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Millonarios 1719 · America de Cali 1754
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Millonarios · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Elite) · Elo 1645
America de Cali · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.9 (Good) · Elo 1765
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Millonarios
10th in Primera A · 26 pts from 19
- 17 OctWJaguares Colombia Primera A1689
- 9 OctDFortaleza FC Colombia Primera A1693
- 30 SepDIndependiente Medellin Colombia Primera A1670
- 25 SepDAtletico Nacional Colombia Primera A1698
- 19 SepWChico Colombia Primera A1703
America de Cali
4th in Primera A · 33 pts from 19
- 18 OctDBucaramanga Colombia Primera A1733
- 12 OctLIndependiente Medellin Colombia Primera A1789
- 5 OctWLlaneros Colombia Primera A1769
- 24 SepWÁguilas Doradas Colombia Primera A1770
- 20 SepDDeportes Tolima Colombia Primera A1739
Season outlook
From the Primera A simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Millonarios | 26 /19 | 32.5 | 0% | <1% | 0% | 12th |
| America de Cali | 33 /19 | 41.9 | <1% | 74% | 0% | 2nd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: possession-based
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Millonarios: balanced profile (how A. Gamero plays) · America de Cali: balanced profile (how D. González plays)