NewPlayerElo now rates women's footballExplore →
← All matches

Championship · Regular Season - 9

Middlesbrough 1–0 Wolves

Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC · Riverside Stadium, Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough crestMiddlesbroughTeam 2079
1–0
Full time
HT 0–0
Wolves crestWolvesTeam 2084

Match story

Middlesbrough · draw · Wolves

Before kick-off: 41% · 29% · 30%

Live chances: Middlesbrough 98%, draw 2%, Wolves 0% at 90+5'1' · 0–0 · Middlesbrough 41%, draw 29%, Wolves 30%2' · 0–0 · Middlesbrough 41%, draw 29%, Wolves 30%3' · 0–0 · Middlesbrough 41%, draw 29%, Wolves 30%4' · 0–0 · Middlesbrough 41%, draw 29%, Wolves 30%5' · 0–0 · Middlesbrough 41%, draw 29%, Wolves 30%6' · 0–0 · Middlesbrough 41%, draw 29%, Wolves 30%7' · 0–0 · Middlesbrough 41%, draw 29%, Wolves 30%8' · 0–0 · Middlesbrough 41%, draw 30%, Wolves 30%9' · 0–0 · Middlesbrough 40%, draw 30%, Wolves 30%10' · 0–0 · Middlesbrough 40%, draw 30%, Wolves 30%11' · 0–0 · Middlesbrough 40%, draw 30%, Wolves 30%13' · 0–0 · Middlesbrough 40%, draw 30%, Wolves 30%14' · 0–0 · Middlesbrough 40%, draw 31%, Wolves 30%16' · 0–0 · Middlesbrough 40%, draw 31%, Wolves 30%17' · 0–0 · Middlesbrough 39%, draw 31%, Wolves 29%18' · 0–0 · Middlesbrough 39%, draw 31%, Wolves 29%19' · 0–0 · Middlesbrough 39%, draw 31%, Wolves 29%20' · 0–0 · Middlesbrough 39%, draw 32%, Wolves 29%21' · 0–0 · Middlesbrough 39%, draw 32%, Wolves 29%22' · 0–0 · Middlesbrough 39%, draw 32%, Wolves 29%23' · 0–0 · Middlesbrough 39%, draw 32%, Wolves 29%24' · 0–0 · Middlesbrough 38%, draw 32%, Wolves 29%25' · 0–0 · Middlesbrough 38%, draw 33%, Wolves 29%26' · 0–0 · Middlesbrough 38%, draw 33%, Wolves 29%27' · 0–0 · Middlesbrough 38%, draw 33%, Wolves 29%28' · 0–0 · Middlesbrough 38%, draw 33%, Wolves 29%29' · 0–0 · Middlesbrough 38%, draw 34%, Wolves 29%30' · 0–0 · Middlesbrough 38%, draw 34%, Wolves 29%31' · 0–0 · Middlesbrough 37%, draw 34%, Wolves 29%32' · 0–0 · Middlesbrough 37%, draw 34%, Wolves 28%34' · 0–0 · Middlesbrough 37%, draw 35%, Wolves 28%35' · 0–0 · Middlesbrough 37%, draw 35%, Wolves 28%36' · 0–0 · Middlesbrough 36%, draw 35%, Wolves 28%37' · 0–0 · Middlesbrough 36%, draw 36%, Wolves 28%38' · 0–0 · Middlesbrough 36%, draw 36%, Wolves 28%39' · 0–0 · Middlesbrough 36%, draw 36%, Wolves 28%40' · 0–0 · Middlesbrough 36%, draw 37%, Wolves 28%41' · 0–0 · Middlesbrough 35%, draw 37%, Wolves 28%42' · 0–0 · Middlesbrough 35%, draw 37%, Wolves 27%43' · 0–0 · Middlesbrough 35%, draw 38%, Wolves 27%44' · 0–0 · Middlesbrough 35%, draw 38%, Wolves 27%45' · 0–0 · Middlesbrough 35%, draw 38%, Wolves 27%45+1' · 0–0 · Middlesbrough 34%, draw 39%, Wolves 27%HT · 0–0 · Middlesbrough 34%, draw 40%, Wolves 27%46' · 0–0 · Middlesbrough 34%, draw 40%, Wolves 27%47' · 0–0 · Middlesbrough 33%, draw 40%, Wolves 26%48' · 0–0 · Middlesbrough 33%, draw 41%, Wolves 26%49' · 0–0 · Middlesbrough 33%, draw 41%, Wolves 26%51' · 0–0 · Middlesbrough 32%, draw 42%, Wolves 26%52' · 0–0 · Middlesbrough 32%, draw 43%, Wolves 25%53' · 0–0 · Middlesbrough 31%, draw 43%, Wolves 25%54' · 0–0 · Middlesbrough 31%, draw 44%, Wolves 25%55' · 0–0 · Middlesbrough 31%, draw 45%, Wolves 25%56' · 0–0 · Middlesbrough 30%, draw 45%, Wolves 24%57' · 0–0 · Middlesbrough 30%, draw 46%, Wolves 24%58' · 1–0 · Middlesbrough 75%, draw 20%, Wolves 5%59' · 1–0 · Middlesbrough 76%, draw 19%, Wolves 5%60' · 1–0 · Middlesbrough 76%, draw 19%, Wolves 5%61' · 1–0 · Middlesbrough 76%, draw 19%, Wolves 5%62' · 1–0 · Middlesbrough 77%, draw 19%, Wolves 4%63' · 1–0 · Middlesbrough 77%, draw 19%, Wolves 4%64' · 1–0 · Middlesbrough 77%, draw 19%, Wolves 4%65' · 1–0 · Middlesbrough 78%, draw 18%, Wolves 4%66' · 1–0 · Middlesbrough 78%, draw 18%, Wolves 4%67' · 1–0 · Middlesbrough 78%, draw 18%, Wolves 4%68' · 1–0 · Middlesbrough 79%, draw 18%, Wolves 3%69' · 1–0 · Middlesbrough 79%, draw 18%, Wolves 3%70' · 1–0 · Middlesbrough 80%, draw 17%, Wolves 3%71' · 1–0 · Middlesbrough 80%, draw 17%, Wolves 3%72' · 1–0 · Middlesbrough 80%, draw 17%, Wolves 3%73' · 1–0 · Middlesbrough 81%, draw 17%, Wolves 3%74' · 1–0 · Middlesbrough 81%, draw 16%, Wolves 2%75' · 1–0 · Middlesbrough 82%, draw 16%, Wolves 2%76' · 1–0 · Middlesbrough 82%, draw 16%, Wolves 2%78' · 1–0 · Middlesbrough 83%, draw 15%, Wolves 2%79' · 1–0 · Middlesbrough 84%, draw 14%, Wolves 2%80' · 1–0 · Middlesbrough 85%, draw 14%, Wolves 2%81' · 1–0 · Middlesbrough 85%, draw 13%, Wolves 1%82' · 1–0 · Middlesbrough 86%, draw 13%, Wolves 1%83' · 1–0 · Middlesbrough 87%, draw 12%, Wolves 1%84' · 1–0 · Middlesbrough 87%, draw 12%, Wolves 1%85' · 1–0 · Middlesbrough 88%, draw 11%, Wolves 1%86' · 1–0 · Middlesbrough 89%, draw 11%, Wolves 1%87' · 1–0 · Middlesbrough 89%, draw 10%, Wolves 1%88' · 1–0 · Middlesbrough 90%, draw 9%, Wolves 1%89' · 1–0 · Middlesbrough 91%, draw 8%, Wolves 0%90' · 1–0 · Middlesbrough 92%, draw 7%, Wolves 0%90+1' · 1–0 · Middlesbrough 93%, draw 6%, Wolves 0%90+2' · 1–0 · Middlesbrough 94%, draw 5%, Wolves 0%90+3' · 1–0 · Middlesbrough 96%, draw 4%, Wolves 0%90+4' · 1–0 · Middlesbrough 97%, draw 3%, Wolves 0%90+5' · 1–0 · Middlesbrough 98%, draw 2%, Wolves 0%

Last reading, 90+5': 98% · 2% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Middlesbrough 41% to win: they did.

  1. 11'Middlesbrough:Sebastian Berhalter 2207 −2*
  2. 12'Wolves:Yacouba Nasser Djiga 2118 −13*
  3. 40'Middlesbrough:Neto Borges 2072 +26*
  4. 51'Wolves:Rafiki Said Ahamada 1896 −8* for Rodrigo Gomes 2083 −10*
  5. 53'Wolves:Rafiki Said Ahamada 1896 −8*
  6. 57'Middlesbrough:will lankshear 1994 +35* assist Tommy Conway 2062 +20*
  7. 61'Wolves:Jordan James 2032 0 for Marshall Munetsi 2123 −13*
  8. 61'Wolves:Jean-Ricner Bellegarde 2070 −2 for Thomas Doyle 2048 −11*
  9. 61'Wolves:Fer López 2160 −14* for Mateus Mane 1938 −8*
  10. 66'Wolves:Jean-Ricner Bellegarde 2070 −2
  11. 70'Middlesbrough:Luke Ayling 2005 −6* for Sebastian Berhalter 2207 −2*
  12. 70'Middlesbrough:Myles Peart-Harris 1948 −4* for Tommy Conway 2062 +20*
  13. 80'Middlesbrough:Jeremy Sarmiento 2002 −6* for Riley McGree 2047 +25*
  14. 82'Wolves:Sean Neave 963 −8* for André 2179 −15*
  15. 87'Middlesbrough:Kyle Joseph 2053 −7* for will lankshear 1994 +35*
  16. 87'Middlesbrough:Max Arfsten 2043 −6* for Amario Cozier-Duberry 1931 +10*
  17. 90+4'Middlesbrough:Myles Peart-Harris 1948 −4*

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-2-3-1Formations4-2-3-1
GR. Vítek2031+10*
DC. Brittain2103+23*
DA. Phillips1967+40*
DA. Malanda2145+20*
DNeto Borges2072+26*
MA. Morris2092+25*
MS. Berhalter2207−2*
MA. Cozier-Duberry1931+10*
MR. McGree2047+25*
MT. Conway2062+20*
FW. Lankshear1994+35*
CK. Hellberg2118+13*
GJosé Sá2171−33*
DK. Trippier2152−37*
DN. Djiga2118−13*
DToti Gomes2134−26*
DHugo Bueno2202−17*
MT. Doyle2048−11*
MM. Munetsi2123−13*
MRodrigo Gomes2083−10*
MAndré2179−15*
MM. Mane1938−8*
FA. Armstrong2086−13*
CCésar Peixoto2071−13*
Before kick-off: 41% · 29% · 30%(Middlesbrough · draw · Wolves)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 1–0 had 9%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Middlesbrough €5.0M, Wolves €8.4M.
  • Home advantage made Middlesbrough the favourite: it added 7 points to their win chance.
  • Style contrast in chance creation (Championship): Middlesbrough ranked #2 of 24, Wolves #23.
  • Middlesbrough's expected eleven was in form: average +1.8 over 180 days.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Middlesbrough

3rd in Championship · 15 pts from 8

  • 19 SepDBirmingham 2012
  • 15 SepDMillwall 2032
  • 12 SepWNorwich 2022
  • 8 SepLCrystal Palace 2014
  • 5 SepWQPR 2026

Wolves

4th in Championship · 14 pts from 7

  • 20 SepWWest Brom 2119
  • 16 SepLEverton 1849
  • 13 SepWSheffield Utd 2102
  • 6 SepDBirmingham 2133
  • 29 AugWStoke City 2102

Season outlook

From the Championship simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Middlesbrough15 /873.58%45%<1%3rd
Wolves14 /779.224%73%0%1st
Middlesbrough
Wolves

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Championship

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

S. Berhalter
S. Berhalter

Middlesbrough · +6.7 (Elite) · Elo 2209

José Sá
José Sá

Wolves · +1.8 (Good) · Elo 2205

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Kim Alexander Hellberg

Coach DNA: dribble-heavy · possession-based

Paulo César da Silva Peixoto

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Middlesbrough: possession-based (how Kim Alexander Hellberg plays) · Wolves: balanced profile (how Paulo César da Silva Peixoto plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.