Championship · Regular Season - 13
Middlesbrough vs Charlton
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC · Riverside Stadium, Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough host Charlton on Sat 31 Oct 2026 (Championship); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Middlesbrough 56%, draw 25%, Charlton 19%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Middlesbrough €4.3M, Charlton €2.5M.
- Style contrast in discipline (Championship): Middlesbrough rank #1 of 24, Charlton #21.
- Middlesbrough are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Middlesbrough goals first.
- 1–112%
- 2–010%
- 2–110%
- 1–010%
- 0–07%
- 3–06%
- Other scores45%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com2–1expected 0.9 pts
voetbalpoules.nl1–0expected 4.2 pts
Team Elo: Middlesbrough 2067 · Charlton 1890
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Middlesbrough · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.5 (Good) · Elo 2030
Charlton · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1904
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Middlesbrough
3rd in Championship · 22 pts from 11
- 17 OctDCardiff England Championship2070
- 13 OctWStoke City England Championship2054
- 10 OctWWolves England Championship2042
- 19 SepDBirmingham England Championship2012
- 15 SepDMillwall England Championship2032
Charlton
17th in Championship · 14 pts from 11
- 17 OctLWatford England Championship1901
- 13 OctDBurnley England Championship1899
- 10 OctDBristol City England Championship1887
- 19 SepLCardiff England Championship1914
- 12 SepDPortsmouth England Championship1916
Season outlook
From the Championship simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough | 22 /11 | 77.6 | 10% | 59% | 0% | 2nd |
| Charlton | 14 /11 | 54.4 | 0% | <1% | 18% | 21st |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: dribble-heavy · possession-based
Coach DNA: direct
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Middlesbrough: possession-based (how Kim Alexander Hellberg plays) · Charlton: balanced profile (how Nathan Jason Jones plays)