Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 9
Metz 3–2 Sochaux
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC · Stade Saint-Symphorien, Metz
MetzTeam 1653SochauxTeam 1528- Saad Agouzoul 10' (og)
- Giorgi Abuashvili 28'
- Teji Savanier 77'
- Benjamin Gomel 46'
- Louicius Deedson 90+2'
We gave Metz 52% to win: they did.
- Saad Agouzoul – (own goal)10'Metz:Saad Agouzoul – (own goal)
- Giorgi Abuashvili – assist Bouna Sarr –28'Metz:Giorgi Abuashvili – assist Bouna Sarr –
- 45'Mathis Clairicia – for Landry Nomel –Sochaux:Mathis Clairicia – for Landry Nomel –
- 45'Louicius Deedson – for Yohan Demoncy –Sochaux:Louicius Deedson – for Yohan Demoncy –
- 46'Benjamin Gomel – assist Bakary Diawara –Sochaux:Benjamin Gomel – assist Bakary Diawara –
- Teji Savanier –48'Metz:Teji Savanier –
- Bryan Rigobert Song Bahanag – for Bouna Sarr –53'Metz:Bryan Rigobert Song Bahanag – for Bouna Sarr –
- 61'Benjamin Gomel –Sochaux:Benjamin Gomel –
- 68'Dylan Tavares – for Dalangunypole Gomis –Sochaux:Dylan Tavares – for Dalangunypole Gomis –
- Teji Savanier –77'Metz:Teji Savanier –
- Maxime Colin – for Cristian Castro –79'Metz:Maxime Colin – for Cristian Castro –
- Florian Miguel – for Giorgi Abuashvili –79'Metz:Florian Miguel – for Giorgi Abuashvili –
- 83'Samy Baghdadi – for Kapitbafan Djoco –Sochaux:Samy Baghdadi – for Kapitbafan Djoco –
- 83'Boubacar Fofana – for Benjamin Gomel –Sochaux:Boubacar Fofana – for Benjamin Gomel –
- Nathan Mbala – for Abdourahmane Mbodj88'Metz:Nathan Mbala – for Abdourahmane Mbodj
- 90+2'Louicius Deedson – assist Samy Baghdadi –Sochaux:Louicius Deedson – assist Samy Baghdadi –
Before kick-off (provisional): 52% · 26% · 22%(Metz · draw · Sochaux)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 3–2 had 3%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Metz €804K, Sochaux €237K.
- Sochaux were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Metz
10th in Ligue 2 · 10 pts from 8
- 12 OctLDijon France Ligue 21676
- 19 SepDSaint Etienne France Ligue 21663
- 14 SepLRED Star FC 93 France Ligue 21659
- 5 SepWRodez France Ligue 21637
- 29 AugDAnnecy France Ligue 21657
Sochaux
9th in Ligue 2 · 11 pts from 8
- 9 OctDBoulogne France Ligue 21483
- 18 SepDLaval France Ligue 21517
- 12 SepWNantes France Ligue 21468
- 4 SepDPAU France Ligue 21482
- 28 AugDClermont Foot France Ligue 21432
Season outlook
From the Ligue 2 simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metz | 10 /8 | 46.4 | <1% | 9% | 3% | 8th |
| Sochaux | 11 /8 | 39.9 | 0% | 1% | 20% | 12th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Metz · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1718
Sochaux · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.9 (Average) · Elo 1534
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: dribble-heavy
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Metz: balanced profile (how Luc Holtz plays) · Sochaux: low-volume · direct (how Vincent Hognon plays)