Primera División · Clausura - Quadrangular - 4
Metropolitanos FC vs Carabobo FC
Wed 4 Nov 2026 · 23:30 UTC · Estadio Olimpico de la UCV, Caracas
Metropolitanos FC host Carabobo FC on Wed 4 Nov 2026 (Primera División); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Metropolitanos FC 32%, draw 29%, Carabobo FC 39%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Metropolitanos FC €329K, Carabobo FC €345K.
- Largest team-Elo gap of the Primera División Clausura - Quadrangular - 4: 125 points.
- Metropolitanos FC are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Metropolitanos FC goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–19%
- 0–09%
- 1–29%
- 1–08%
- 2–18%
- Other scores43%
Team Elo: Metropolitanos FC 1388 · Carabobo FC 1513
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Carabobo FC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.9 (Good) · Elo 1568
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Metropolitanos FC
1st in Primera División · 57 pts from 26
- 18 OctDEstudiantes de Merida FC Venezuela Primera Division1334
- 16 SepWCaracas FC Venezuela Primera Division1418
- 12 SepWAnzoátegui FC Venezuela Primera Division1399
- 6 SepWMonagas SC Venezuela Primera Division1316
- 3 SepWTrujillanos FC Venezuela Primera Division1381
Carabobo FC
4th in Primera División · 41 pts from 26
- 17 OctDDeportivo Tachira FC Venezuela Primera Division1494
- 15 SepWDeportivo La Guaira Venezuela Primera Division1473
- 12 SepWPuerto Cabello Venezuela Primera Division1439
- 7 SepWEstudiantes de Merida FC Venezuela Primera Division1439
- 3 SepLRayo Zuliano Venezuela Primera Division1401
Season outlook
From the Primera División simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metropolitanos FC | 57 /26 | 65.1 | 85% | 100% | 0% | 1st |
| Carabobo FC | 41 /26 | 51.5 | 0% | 80% | 0% | 3rd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 14th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –