A-League · Regular Season - 2
Melbourne Victory vs Melbourne City
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 08:40 UTC · AAMI Park, Melbourne
Melbourne Victory host Melbourne City on Sat 24 Oct 2026 (A-League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Melbourne Victory 39%, draw 29%, Melbourne City 32%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Melbourne Victory €469K, Melbourne City €460K.
- Style contrast in dribbling (A-League): Melbourne Victory rank #1 of 12, Melbourne City #11.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Melbourne Victory goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 0–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores43%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com2–1expected 0.7 pts
Team Elo: Melbourne Victory 1639 · Melbourne City 1617
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 1 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Melbourne Victory · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Elite) · Elo 1739
Melbourne City · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.5 (Good) · Elo 1468
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Melbourne Victory
11th in A-League · 0 pts from 1
- 18 OctLWellington Phoenix A-League1673
- 14 OctWFC Seoul AFC Cup1627
- 2 MayLSydney A-League1703
- 25 AprWWestern Sydney Wanderers A-League1713
- 17 AprDNewcastle Jets A-League1690
Melbourne City
12th in A-League · 0 pts from 1
- 17 OctLAuckland A-League1581
- 2 MayDAuckland A-League1679
- 26 AprLAdelaide United A-League1681
- 18 AprWBrisbane Roar A-League1669
- 12 AprWWellington Phoenix A-League1676
Season outlook
From the A-League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melbourne Victory | 0 /1 | 38.7 | 12% | 51% | 9% | 2nd |
| Melbourne City | 0 /1 | 37.3 | 8% | 42% | 13% | 3rd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: possession-based
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Melbourne Victory: creative (how Giovanni Savarese Rubinaccio plays) · Melbourne City: possession-based (how Aurelio Vidmar plays)