Taça de Portugal · Round of 32
Maritimo vs Chaves
Sat 21 Nov 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Maritimo host Chaves on Sat 21 Nov 2026 (Taça de Portugal); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Maritimo 59%, draw 24%, Chaves 17%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Maritimo €637K, Chaves €273K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Maritimo goals first.
- 1–111%
- 1–011%
- 2–011%
- 2–110%
- 3–07%
- 0–07%
- Other scores43%
Team Elo: Maritimo 1677 · Chaves 1498
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Maritimo · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.0 (Average) · Elo 1845
Chaves · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.4 (Average) · Elo 1536
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Maritimo
15th in Primeira Liga · 8 pts from 10
- 1 NovLSanta Clara Primeira Liga1668
- 23 OctLVitória SC Primeira Liga1691
- 10 OctLFC Porto Primeira Liga1701
- 19 SepDGIL Vicente Primeira Liga1697
- 14 SepLMoreirense Primeira Liga1665
Chaves
17th in Segunda Liga · 8 pts from 10
- 7 NovLPenafiel Liga Portugal 21522
- 31 OctLBenfica B Liga Portugal 21527
- 23 OctWVizela Liga Portugal 21492
- 11 OctDLusitânia Lourosa Liga Portugal 21481
- 4 OctLFarense Liga Portugal 21482
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: low-volume
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Maritimo: balanced profile (how M. van der Gaag plays) · Chaves: direct (how Vitor Martins plays)