1. SNL · Regular Season - 14
Maribor vs Olimpija Ljubljana
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC · Ljudski vrt, Maribor
Maribor host Olimpija Ljubljana on Sat 31 Oct 2026 (1. SNL); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Maribor 43%, draw 28%, Olimpija Ljubljana 29%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Maribor €503K, Olimpija Ljubljana €431K.
- A. Jug, T. Cipot, D. Pejičić, L. Krajnc, Č. Bumbić, B. M'bondo and D. Vizinger (Maribor) have not played for over 90 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Maribor goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–09%
- 2–08%
- 0–17%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Maribor 1575 · Olimpija Ljubljana 1559
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches; Maribor from last season's line-ups (latest 3 May 2026).
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Maribor · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.9 (Below) · Elo 1668
Olimpija Ljubljana · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -1.4 (Poor) · Elo 1596
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Maribor
1st in 1. SNL · 24 pts from 12
- 3 MayLRadomlje Slovenia 1 SNL1588
- 20 MarDAluminij Slovenia 1 SNL1630
- 14 MarWMura Slovenia 1 SNL1612
- 8 MarDOlimpija Ljubljana Slovenia 1 SNL1602
- 28 FebDRadomlje Slovenia 1 SNL1595
Olimpija Ljubljana
4th in 1. SNL · 18 pts from 12
- 29 AugDRadomlje Slovenia 1 SNL1575
- 25 JulLMura Slovenia 1 SNL1564
- 14 MarWRadomlje Slovenia 1 SNL1622
- 8 MarDMaribor Slovenia 1 SNL1633
- 28 FebWPrimorje Slovenia 1 SNL1600
Season outlook
From the 1. SNL simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maribor | 24 /12 | 59.3 | 43% | 98% | <1% | 1st |
| Olimpija Ljubljana | 18 /12 | 50.1 | 5% | 75% | 2% | 4th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 9th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –